Saturday Final 8 plays

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  • robbeduagain
    SBR MVP
    • 08-25-12
    • 1248

    #1
    Saturday Final 8 plays
    22-16-1 for the tournament, but 2-3 last night. Here are today's picks:

    Wisconsin +3 and over 130 I will stay with the Badgers here. They passed the "could they handle the athleticism" test on Thursday. This is probably most balanced team left in the tournament. They a lot of weapons and are very well coached. I think that their perimeter offense gives them the slightest of edges in this game. Arizona is a very good team as well, and will cause the Badgers some problems as they shoot it well too and are explosive in transition. I expect this game to be played quicker than what most people expect only because both teams respect each others defensive abilities and will want to get things done early in the shot clock. Hence the over selection. (I'm horrible at totals, definite fade material, lol)

    Dayton +10 It's hard to go against the Gators here, but I'm backing Dayton in this spot. While everyone knows Florida can defend, Dayton's defensive ability has been flying under the radar. The Flyers are an excellent defensive team, and are especially good at defending the 3 point line, which is an offensive weakness of Florida. I also think that the depth of Dayton will come into play in this game. The benches of the Gators other 3 opponents have combined for 12-33 shooting. I don't think that will be the case today. I think Florida will win, but this will not be an easy win for the Gators

    GL to everyone today!
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    Once again I have no clue w the wiscy gm, think ill stick to passing altogether as that has served me well so far, lol..gotta believe Bo Ryan will get to 1 final 4 in his lifetime tho and now as good a time as any..

    Agree that a ton of points for Dayton but worry they will play gators tight for about 30 minutes then fla breaks out and goes on a run and ends up winning by right around that number.. Leaning to playing Dayton 1st half thinking they come out playing loose w nothing to lose and hangs in there early on, if that works out and I can get decent number on fla 2nd half I'll consider that... Gl today
    Comment
    • robbeduagain
      SBR MVP
      • 08-25-12
      • 1248

      #3
      Originally posted by 2daBank
      Once again I have no clue w the wiscy gm, think ill stick to passing altogether as that has served me well so far, lol..gotta believe Bo Ryan will get to 1 final 4 in his lifetime tho and now as good a time as any..

      Agree that a ton of points for Dayton but worry they will play gators tight for about 30 minutes then fla breaks out and goes on a run and ends up winning by right around that number.. Leaning to playing Dayton 1st half thinking they come out playing loose w nothing to lose and hangs in there early on, if that works out and I can get decent number on fla 2nd half I'll consider that... Gl today
      I've never bet first half lines, but might have talked me into one here.
      Comment
      • 2daBank
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-26-09
        • 88966

        #4
        Seems logical to me, of coarse I also recall the sec championship and few other gms where gators got up big then let off the gas to let teams come back.. I just think it more likely Dayton hangs early and of coarse if they don't can always re-pop them at half if they down big and potentially get a better number if we want..plus side is Dayton has came out smoking in every gm in this tourney, actually letting Osu and cuse back in gms and taking leads in 2nd half before bouncing back to win, if they have that 2nd half lull against fla it could be lights out.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          Crazy when we were talking bout the um/vols gm and u said we both could win and sure enough! Of coarse I split my bet between the spread and ml so I didn't win shit on that gm but still pretty accurate..That charge they called on stokes was total bs tho!
          Comment
          • robbeduagain
            SBR MVP
            • 08-25-12
            • 1248

            #6
            Yep. I was thinking about that as it was happening. Then I was think much more negative thoughts, then I thought ... wow when they called the charge. It was a wild finish. That said, I thought Michigan was much better and I think they are better than Kentucky. I've already locked my bet in for tomorrow. Michigan +2.5. I think they win, but we will see.
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              Ya I gotta roll w uk.. Maybe I am guilty of disrespecting um but I honestly don't think they all that good, just don't buy teams that live on jump shots and don't play great d.. Seriously think only reason they still alive is cause they had the softest road to this point by far..
              Comment
              • robbeduagain
                SBR MVP
                • 08-25-12
                • 1248

                #8
                I guess we'll see. I wrote something in another thread. Check it out.
                Comment
                • robbeduagain
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-25-12
                  • 1248

                  #9
                  Adding a 4th play:
                  Dayton/Florida over 134.5 I think both teams defend very well in the half court. So I think both teams are going to push the pace in search of early offense. This will be game played in 70's, and Dayton will keep it close enough that the free throws will be shot at the end. Hopefully Florida makes some of them.
                  Comment
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