snowball's march madness

[Snowball]

Texas Southern +6 (-150) 585/390
Texas Southern (+165) 190/314
Valparaiso (-165) 330/200
Cincinnati -1 (-140) 280/200
PT Under 169 (-106) Canisius/VMI 106/100
Mt. St. Mary's +7 / NC State +8.5 250/192
Fla. St. -0.5 / Canisius -1 / Sam Houston St +0.5 / SMU +1 192/148
Dayton +16 / American +23.5 / Stephen F. Austin +16.5 / Duke -3 192/148
Valparaiso +6.5 / Texas Southern +14 / Cincinnati +7.5 / Memphis +7 200/154
Mount St. Mary's 1h +1 (-110) 110/100

[ridims]

why you like texas southern so much?

[wdmguy]

Good luck to us snowball, counting on you my man. Love your handicapping!

[wdmguy]

Any parlay plays or just the teasers above?

[Snowball]

why you like texas southern so much?

Cal Poly is nothing. Texas Southern is taller and can score on CP no problem.

[Snowball]

Any parlay plays or just the teasers above?

no parlays tonight.

[wdmguy]

What do you think of Xavier tonight Snow?

[Snowball]

adding a Mount St Mary's 1h +1 110/100
Albany got lucky Stony Brook was good for nothing in their last game.
MSM should have offensive success against this rudimentary Albany squad.

[Snowball]

What do you think of Xavier tonight Snow?

I like NC State better as a team which is why I have the wolf pack in teaser
and I think they would win however Xavier is basically at home in this game
so I went tease instead.

[wdmguy]

Thanks buddy

[Snowball]

At +155 I think NC State is worth a ML 142/220
no guts no glory

[yoderlw]

Did Canisius really just give up over 100 points?! What a way to kill a teaser

[RavensFan2k3]

Cal Poly is nothing. Texas Southern is taller and can score on CP no problem.

But then why buy points?

[Capper1124]

GL to you

[Snowball]

hey guys last might was mezza-mezz. i hit the NC ML and went pretty big on NC +4 in the second half but didn't have time to post it here. 2h plays can be a time issue.
Tonight I'm biggest on Texas Southern. Yes I went ML and +6. why did I buy those pts because although I think TS is the better team you never know if a team is just going to get hot on 3's or another team is going to have tournament jitters. Then in general if a team is down going into the last minute, intentional fouls can aggravate the lead. There is no value in getting 2-3 or even 4 points in basketball because of this. Teams I like/have in high teasers include include American, Dayton, Cincy, Duke, Austin, TSU, Texas, Providence, and Memphis.
I also like Cincy to beat Harvard tomorrow. Teams in lesser tournaments such as Towson, UTEP, and SMU appear attractive however we need to question their motivations - as many experienced cappers here have said - some teams will show up and give 100% effort for the lesser tourneys but others will just want to end the season and concentrate on studies or personal matters.
That's why Canisius gave up 111 to VMI last night. So I'm not going to bother with those until perhaps the actual finals when it's safer because if a team gets to the finals of the NIT/CIB/CIT then you know they want it.

[wdmguy]

Snowball what do you think of today's games? especially Iowa and Illinois

[Snowball]

Snowball what do you think of today's games? especially Iowa and Illinois

i'm not betting on either of them. although i reserve a possible bet on the Iowa/Tenn second half.
Sometimes you have to wait to see these teams play each other on the floor then get a better opportunity in the second half. My lean is Tennessee but if the real Iowa please stands up, they can win it. My lean is also Illinois but it's a road game and question motivation.
I added to Texas Southern both ML and +6 more earlier.
I hope they do work. If not, I'll wait for the teasers and
then if I rly get desperate I'll go heavier on Cincy over Harvard or
Providence ML.

[dgrin001]

Snowball, I am on Texas as well, to include the over. I am coming up with a 69-66 final in favor of Texas Southern. Got the over 128.5.

[wdmguy]

Thanks for your input. Tons of NIT games. Any teasers?

[sportcap]

How much more did you add to tx southern?

[Capper1124]

GL to you tonight

[Snowball]

going 1h Tennessee +1 440/400
i don't like the way Iowa stumbled into the tournament
Tennessee has been confident - stuck right with Florida.
lucky Texas Southern even covered the superteasers
the way they played tonight.

[dgrin001]

yeah i know, got covered with the over though

[Snowball]

this is what i got goin on about 100 on Cincy then 200s in each teaser
from days ago
Cincy -1
Dayton +16, Amer +23.5, SFA +16.5, Duke -3
Valpo (won) TSU (won) Cincy +7.5, Mem +7
TSU (won), Cincy +7.5, Prov +14, Tex +8.5

just going to add a ML Pitt / ML Cincy @ 576/700

[Snowball]

Oklahoma 1700/1000
Oklahoma -1.5 300/200
Oklahoma -2 280/200

[Snowball]

ML parlay +392 235/924
Duke 1h, Baylor, New Mexico, Tennessee, UCLA.
Teaser 280/215 Duke -3, Baylor +6, Creighton -3.5, Gonzaga +13
still waiting on Providence and Memphis in superteasers.

[Snowball]

guys after going on a monster run into the tournament - the tournament
is beating the crap out of me. do not tail.
i got Pvd and Mem in teasers which only need 1 to hit, and a long teaser at 10-1
which is Pvd, Mem, SFA, Gonz, KY, UCLA, Pitt, SDSU. (thats a 5pt)

Oklahoma, Duke, NM, Cincy, TSU all f'd me.
next year no more carrying winning season into NCAA tournament
how many times do we see this chit happen and still get sucked in
i know a lot of other people are getting killed too.

[yoderlw]

Yeah I had a real bad day yesterday tailing several different guys so I know it's not just you. One of your teasers is still good for me. Good luck getting back on track man

[juvieg]

Turned 100 into 2000 last night and damn near broke now unless ok st makes a run...duke killed my bank...really need to work on money management..any tips fa longevity?

[Snowball]

well tides turned finally, won all the teasers, and the 10/1 teaser is still alive.
i just did a partial hedge on it with some Tulsa ML 2h +205
going to hedge tomorrow also.

[PlusUltra]

Hedging is for gardeners.

[Snowball]

Hedging is for gardeners.

hedging works to preserve the wager against a loss that shouldn't happen.
when you have covered 6 out of 8 on a 10-1 odd bet you have to think
about hedging unless you bet next to nothing on it.

I'm going 10pt tease on Pitt, Louisville, SDSU and Michigan St.
hedge bet : Florida -6.5 (-102). Hedge to pay for hedge: Pitt ML.

[Snowball]

well, Pitt f'd my 10/1 tease and my supertease also, losing by 16
when I needed 15.5 or 10.5
If I'm goin down, I'll go down in flames, that's how it is..

ML parlay +187
Louisville, San Diego State, Syracuse, Michigan State.
ML parlay +567
Louisville, Michigan, San Diego State, Syracuse, Michigan State, Villanova.

[Snowball]

Syracuse killed my parlay.
Betting small now. Just hoping to build a real br again for MLB.
1h Kansas -215

[Snowball]

hit 1h, taking 2h -230 now. See Kansas winning by at least 2.