New system off to hot start, let's jinx it by creating a thread

[frongi]

I've been using a new system/method that is off to a hot start. Maybe it will continue, maybe it won't but I will post my plays regardless.

Previous plays:

Date	Side	Odds	Units Bet	Result
2/28	Dartmouth ML	+167	1	-1
3/1	Notre Dame ML	+157	1	-1
3/1	William & Mary 1H ML	+160	2.14	+3.42
3/6	Cal State Northridge	+145	3.54	+5.13
3/8	Baylor ML	+150	1.88	+2.82
3/8	Eastern Michigan ML	+210	1.54	-1.54
3/9	FSU ML	+145	1	-1
3/9	Albany 1H ML	+177	1.82	+3.35
Total	N/A	N/A	14 units bet	+10.2 units

Note that I use Kelly to determine bet amount, which is why the units bet are not exact amounts. Also the units are rounded. The system doesn't have to be all dogs but it tends to be. Note that despite being 4-4, I'm up 10.2 units while only having bet 14 units.

Anyway there's another play tonight: Western Illinois +250 on the first half ml. 1.86 units to win 4.65 units.
EDIT: One more. Stony Brook -210 on the ml. 2.1 units to win 1.

GL all.

[iloseagain]

nice job so far

[Capper1124]

[frongi]

nice job so far

thanks guys. After leading by 2 at half and then by 15 with 7:30 left, Stony Brook held on to win by 5.

With 7 mins left in the first half, W Illinois is up by 2. Would be sweet if they could hold on.

[iloseagain]

didnt hold on for the ML, but i bet them +5

[frongi]

didnt hold on for the ML, but i bet them +5

Unfortunately they went 5 minutes without scoring (8 min left to 3 min left), a couple buckets in that stretch and i cover. oh well, glad to see someone took advantage of them staying close enough to cover.

[frongi]

Another play today, Western Carolina +145 on the moneyline. 1.95 units to win 2.83 units.

Date	Play	Odds	Units Bet	Net Result
Previous Total	N/A	N/A	14	+10.2
3/9	Western Illinois 1H ML	+250	1.86	-1.86
3/9	Stony Brook ML	-210	2.1	+1
New Total	N/A	N/A	17.96	+9.32
3/10	Western Carolina ML	+145	1.95

[frongi]

Western Carolina was right there but couldn't manage the upset. Still, being down 1 with 6 secs left (though without the ball) at +145 isn't a bad spot to be in.

Only have one play today, Texas Tech +390 on the ML. Hoping to see a chance for a live bet arb.

[frongi]

Texas Tech didn't play well at all. Oh well. Two plays today, both for 1 unit on the 1H ML. G-Tech +135 and Penn St +145.

[frongi]

Georgia Tech hit on the 1H ml, Penn state didn't. Net of .35 units. Got four plays today:

UL Lafayette 1H ML at -135. 7.23 units to win 5.36 units.
Georgia 1H ML +197, 1.78 units bet.
Providence ML +310, 1.46 units bet.
Geo Wash ML +230, 1 unit bet.

[frongi]

Up to an awesome ROI of 38% over 18 plays.

Georgia Tech hit on the 1H ml, Penn state didn't. Net of .35 units. Got four plays today:

WINNER UL Lafayette 1H ML at -135. 7.23 units to win 5.36 units.
Georgia 1H ML +197, 1.78 units bet.
WINNER Providence ML +310, 1.46 units bet.
Geo Wash ML +230, 1 unit bet.

ULL = Win +5.36, Georgia = Loss -1.78, Providence = Win +4.53 , Geo Wash = Loss -1. Net = +7.11.

Date	Play	Odds	Units Bet	Result
Previous Total	N/A	N/A	17.96	+9.32
3/10	Western Carolina ML	+145	1.95	-1.95
3/12	Texas Tech ML	+390	1.61	-1.61
3/13	Georgia Tech 1H ML	+135	1	+1.35
3/13	Penn St 1H ML	+145	1	-1
3/15	George Washington ML	+230	1	-1
3/15	Providence ML	+310	1.46	+4.53
3/15	Georgia 1H ML	+197	1.78	-1.78
3/15	UL-L 1H ML	-135	7.23	+5.36
New Total	N/A	N/A	34.37	+13.21

[frongi]

Chattanooga +195 moneyline. 1.05 units.

[frongi]

Pretty big size play tonight. BU +150 on the moneyline. 5.27 units on the line

[IWANTMONEY]

Full Kelly will kill you

[Capper1124]

GL to you