As I mentioned in my betting thread today I decided to take the points and play the over in games where there was a prohibited favorite, I decided to make the cutoff 9 points. My logic was the superior teams in these match ups have just a game or two left in reg season and then conference tournaments and postseason on the horizon. I felt this was an ideal spot to be lazy and overlook an opponent, play poor defense, not get the cover and give up tons of points. I felt the exact opposite applied to the weak teams facing a real strong team. This may be their final statement game of the year and the entire season might only have 2-3 games remaining, so I was expecting a max effort from the dogs.
I played each game four wagers. Underdog and over, game and half. I only have two offices so no major line shopping is available. I won a few by a point, I lost a few by a point. Typical of basketball betting in general. Here is my final results for today.....
NCAA overs 10-14 -5.3 units
Ncaa sides. 19-5 +16.4 units
soccer 0-2. -2.0. Units
NBA. 2-0. +3.0 units
Obviously the faves were sleepwalking tonight, several lost outright. Virtually all games I bet today the faves were unmotivated. As a matter of fact in the two college games the faves were focused and gave max effort I went a combined 0-8 yet I still had a huge day. Only Kansas and New Mexico played hard and dominated weaker teams resulting in favorite and under in both first half and game results resulting in 8 losses out of 8 wagers for me.Despite that horrendous 0-8 I was 29-19 in ncaa today.
I saw 3-4 games tomorrow where this angle applies. I am going to wager the sides heavier then the totals but I will do both again. Despite a poor totals result I still feel the over has some value in these spots.
This is was the busiest betting day I had since NFL playoffs. I made 52 bets wagering a total of 60 units. I won 12.1 units going 31-21 ATS
I played each game four wagers. Underdog and over, game and half. I only have two offices so no major line shopping is available. I won a few by a point, I lost a few by a point. Typical of basketball betting in general. Here is my final results for today.....
NCAA overs 10-14 -5.3 units
Ncaa sides. 19-5 +16.4 units
soccer 0-2. -2.0. Units
NBA. 2-0. +3.0 units
Obviously the faves were sleepwalking tonight, several lost outright. Virtually all games I bet today the faves were unmotivated. As a matter of fact in the two college games the faves were focused and gave max effort I went a combined 0-8 yet I still had a huge day. Only Kansas and New Mexico played hard and dominated weaker teams resulting in favorite and under in both first half and game results resulting in 8 losses out of 8 wagers for me.Despite that horrendous 0-8 I was 29-19 in ncaa today.
I saw 3-4 games tomorrow where this angle applies. I am going to wager the sides heavier then the totals but I will do both again. Despite a poor totals result I still feel the over has some value in these spots.
This is was the busiest betting day I had since NFL playoffs. I made 52 bets wagering a total of 60 units. I won 12.1 units going 31-21 ATS