killing the 2009 SOCON tourny softly [3/06-3/09]

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  • chrisharvard01
    Restricted User
    • 10-24-08
    • 2943

    #1
    killing the 2009 SOCON tourny softly [3/06-3/09]
    I am attempting to take down the SOUTHERN CONFERENCE
    this week, March 3rd-9th. Feedback cool.


    Lets make some $$$$


    SEEDS:

    1N: DAVIDSON
    2N: W. CAR
    3N: SAMFORD
    4N: APP ST-OUT
    5N: ELON
    6N: UNC-GRNS-OUT

    1S: CHATT
    2S: CITADEL
    3S: COLL OF CHAR
    4S: WOFF-OUT
    5S: GA SOUTH-OUT
    6S: FURMAN-OUT


    MARCH 6th: 50%

    GAME 1:

    APP ST v GA SOUTH

    GA SOUTH (5-15 conf.) struggles off their home court. I expect APP ST to roll, but I still lean towards the UNDER 129, so I'm staying away from the total on this one.

    play: APPST (-7.5)win


    GAME 2:

    COLL of CHAR v UNC-GRNS

    I am not very impressed with COLL of CHAR (23-7), and sickened by UNC-GRNS' 5-24 season. The only real good thing UNC-GRNS has done all year was beat APPST on their home court. Thats... about it.

    COLL of CHAR has beaten UNC-GRNS by 15 points or more twice this season, so it'd be really tough to back UNC-GRNS (+600) in this one. But something tells me COLL of CHAR doesn't have what it takes I like the UNDER 155 win in this one.

    play: Taking the dog against my better judgement.
    If this moves to 14, I will be jumping on UNC-GRNS +14!
    Line stayed at +12 and I stayed away! lose?


    GAME 3:

    WOFF v ELON

    ELON (10-19) has disappointed me all year.

    WOFFORD (16-13) has looked solid in their conference (12-8) and has impressed me with some big game bad beats, like losing by only 1 point at GEORGIA this year, and 5 points at NAVY. These boys can play on the road. I would be suprised if this turns out to be a tight game...
    I'm looking for WOFFORD to roll on this one. I like the OVER 132 lose here.

    play: WOFF -6 lose
    pathetic!



    GAME 4:

    SAMFORD v FURMAN

    Geeze FURMAN has only 4 stinkin' wins! Its tough to get behind a team like that. SAMFORD (14-15) almost beat CHATT at home Feb 21st, but thats about all I see that entices me this club has something. FURMAN is (1-1) against SAMFORD...they gave each other wins at home.

    I like FURMAN (+8) win-should have laid it, but I'm staying off the side on this one and taking the OVER at 120.5


    play: OVER 120.5 lose




    Good luck EVERYONE today in the Southern Conference Tournament!!!
  • TORONTOBBALL
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-12-09
    • 372

    #2
    with u on app st geo southern just lost two of there top scorers due to suspensions not to mention those two scorers last time they played combined for 26 points.
    Comment
    • chucksmith
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-06-08
      • 412

      #3
      The total on Ga Southern and App St is 150, not 129

      So if you liked under 129, I would assume this is a huge play for you at 150
      Comment
      • GreatDanes52
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-12-09
        • 297

        #4
        im on the under 154
        Comment
        • chucksmith
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-06-08
          • 412

          #5
          yeah, totals at sbrlines were all the way from 149.5 to 155

          You got a good line

          GL
          Comment
          • chrisharvard01
            Restricted User
            • 10-24-08
            • 2943

            #6
            ahhh, don't know what i was looking at!
            Comment
            • GreatDanes52
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-12-09
              • 297

              #7
              under looks shot already
              Comment
              • chrisharvard01
                Restricted User
                • 10-24-08
                • 2943

                #8
                What a mediocre night.

                SHOCKED at ELON win and that the OVER hit on GA SOUTH/APP ST.

                CAA action kept me alive to fight another day...we start early again tomorrow.
                Comment
                • chrisharvard01
                  Restricted User
                  • 10-24-08
                  • 2943

                  #9
                  WHY HASN'T THE LVSC OR ANY BOOK RELEASED THE LINES??!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                  I can't find anything lines on the SOCON tourny. I'm trying vegasinsider for LVSC and pinnicle for offshore-- nothing! They have the lines out for the big and bad schools but not the CAA or SOUTHERN tournys...

                  Comment
                  • Vonnegut
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-08-09
                    • 1499

                    #10
                    No lines on Pinny-WTF ?
                    Comment
                    • chrisharvard01
                      Restricted User
                      • 10-24-08
                      • 2943

                      #11
                      MARCH 7th: 50%

                      Staying off all totals today...



                      GAME 5:

                      DAVIDSON vs APPST

                      I expect a blow out; I would have taken this one at up to (-18)

                      play: DAVIDSON (-15) win



                      GAME 6:

                      COLL of CHAR vs W CARO

                      W.CARO (11-9 southern) is 1-1 against COLL of CHAR (they met twice in one week) and although WESTERN CAROLINA got beat by 11 on the road by this club, I just don't see COLL of CHAR advancing in this tourny.

                      play: W.CARO (+3.5) lose



                      GAME 7:

                      CHATT vs ELON

                      CHATT isn't as good as they're given credit. They've been beaten by FURMAN, W.CARO, and APPST. They are a pathetic (1-1) vs ELON.

                      ELON (at home) has beaten this club (by 1 point) but also been thrashed by 27, on Feb 12th.

                      ELON shouldn't even be in this tourny. They should have been knocked out by WOFFORD last night.

                      I was going over my notes last night, I had written "if ELON def. WOFF stay away!".

                      I like CHATT to win S/U... I don't know how I feel about this 8 points though. I'm staying far, far, away.

                      play: none



                      GAME 8:

                      SAMFORD vs CITADEL

                      SAMFORD has some good wins in the book... like beating ELON by over 20 on their home court. But this club is NOT going to be able to hang with the CITADEL (15-5 southern). Any team that cannot dispatch FURMAN with ease is not a team that should be in this tournament.

                      THE CITADEL (on the road) has beaten SAMFORD by 25. Thats good enough for me.


                      play: CITADEL -4 lose WOW




                      BOL EVERYONE today in the SOUTHERN CONFERENCE tourny!!!



                      Other leans and plays:

                      VMI / RADFORD - VMI (+2) lose
                      - VMI is a solid club.

                      DUQ / DAYTON - DAYTON (-6) win
                      - DAY beat these buys by 9 on the road

                      CHAR / ST BONNY - CHARLOTTE (+1) lose
                      - CHAR is terrible on the road, but I think today could be different.
                      This is just a lean, not so confident in this one.

                      ILL ST / CREIGH - ILL ST (+3) win
                      - Yep, I said it. ILL ST (+3). This club is 1-1 against CREIGH but (at home) have beaten them by 22. Thats enough, thank you.

                      BRAD / N. IOW - BRADLEY (+1.5) lose


                      UTEP / SO. MISS - UTEP (-1) win
                      - UTEP is a good club. I'll take it!


                      LOUISV / W VA - LOUISVILEE (+2.5) win
                      - I am not impressed by WEST VIRGINIA, but I am with LOUISVILLE



                      CS NRTH / PACIFIC - PACIFIC (-5.5) lose
                      - I don't know how CS NRTH got as many conf. wins as they did but PACIFIC will roll these guys up. I expect an easy cover.


                      SAN DIEGO / SANTA CLARA - SD (PK) lose
                      - SD has been a disappointment this year, losing losing losing. This is just a lean, but I like SD here


                      CAA pick:
                      - I expect JMU to get slaughtered by GEORGE MASON. win




                      GL
                      Comment
                      • chrisharvard01
                        Restricted User
                        • 10-24-08
                        • 2943

                        #12
                        DAVIDSON had me worried, but they ran up the score the last 3 mintues... COUNT IT
                        Comment
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