Purely a spot play. Pittsburgh on the road after taking the last second L against Cuse. They have to be emotionally drained. UNC already favored by 3.5 points (and climbing). My model likes them as at least a five-point favorite on their home court. UNC has the best 3-point defense in the ACC while Pitt has gone completely cold recently (30%) from behind the arc. UNC hasn't played in over a week, so they have to be itching to play. UNC has the coaching advantage, the home court, and is 3-1 against ranked teams this year. Pitt's last two losses were by less than five points, so I'm more inclined to lay more on the money line than the spread.
Pick: UNC -ML (2 units); -3.5 (1 unit).
Good luck.
Pick: UNC -ML (2 units); -3.5 (1 unit).
Good luck.