What was KenPom's Cincy-Louisville score projection? Anyone?
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CappinTerp
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
9650
#37
Originally posted by No coincidences
My issue isn't with KenPom. He's an advanced stats guy with a lot of flaws in his system (i.e., favoring Wisconsin year in and year out). It is what it is. He doesn't claim to be a linesmaker.
My issue is with Vegas copying their lines from his score projections basically verbatim (like the Texas Tech example I posted). It's lazy and has resulted in the public opening the floodgates on college basketball. You used to be able to rely on oddsmakers' intelligence with a line like Texas Tech -1 vs. Oklahoma. It was typically that # for a reason. Now it's there just because KenPom said so.
I agree 100 % . It use to be a lot easier to read into a line.
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No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#38
Originally posted by CappinTerp
I agree 100 % . It use to be a lot easier to read into a line.
Perfect example was this Louisville-Cincinnati line tonight. Back in the day, if you saw a team like Louisville favored by 9 over a team like Cincinnati, it was for a reason. Today it just means public orgy.
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Ab34
SBR Wise Guy
10-30-11
570
#39
I think his lou line was lou by 8
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No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#40
Originally posted by Ab34
I think his lou line was lou by 8
But wasn't that # set back at the start of the season? Do his numbers change at all?
