Early Leans 1/22

MrHalftime · 01-22-14, 02:40 AM

I hope best for your plays but my take:

I can absolutely not see Miami even come close to sticking with this athletic and phenomenal Duke team playing average as of late. Miami at +5 even at home just seems like not enough. Jabari goes off after not playing great recently and Duke gets up by 15 in the 1H and maintains throughout the whole game, win by 12-13

I do like your Ole Miss play. I HATE Henderson, but I believe Ole Miss pulls this one out, after watching Vandy get slaughtered by LSU, you were able to see their weaknesses. Ole Miss is a good play

Koldazzice · 01-22-14, 04:52 AM

Duke is definitely athletic but -5 is just to high (they are shading the number to much because its "duke")

Duke has played the majority of their games at home and the games they have played on the road were bad besides a win vs Elon (lol).
Granted kansas and zona are no slouches.

Date	Matchup	Line	Total	ATS Result
01/11/14	DUKE 59 @ CLEM 72	-5.5	130	LOSS/O
01/04/14	DUKE 77 @ ND 79	-6	149	LOSS/O
12/31/13	DUKE 86 @ ELON 48	+16.5	153	WIN/U
11/29/13	DUKE 66 @ ARIZ 72	+3	161.5	LOSS/U
11/12/13	DUKE 83 @ KAN 94	+5.5	158.5	LOSS/O

Miami couldn't hit anything vs FSU then had a road win beating GT 56-42 on the road.

I'm not saying duke doesn't have the talent to win and cover 5 but Duke should not be laying 5 points ON THE ROAD to any decent D1 team. Until this young duke team can prove they can get big W's on the road I can't trust them laying points.

I see this game as more of a Duke -1/-2 game so its a pure value play for me.

jtoler · 01-22-14, 06:09 AM

Already got a tiny bet on Miami and will put bigger if it goes higher.

Koldazzice · 01-22-14, 07:12 AM

GL Jt lets win some cash

MrHalftime · 01-22-14, 02:01 PM

Good luck to you and liked the write up but I am sticking on Duke, we shall see