Has anybody ran data on what the records are when 90% of the public is on a given side for CBB both ATS and or O/U? I'm willing to pay for a good site with a good database... any thoughts and or suggestions? I figured with a 90% public on a side... fading that would at least be somewhat profitable long-term?
-
-
FWIW, I used to have a local who trusted scoresandodds.com a whole lot. I think they list percentages and it's free. Not sure how accurate they are. I can't answer the rest of your question though.Comment -
ThanksComment -
I also use scores and odds for lines and percentages but as far as tracking them idont think they do. Nba seems to be money on reverse line moves meaning 75% or more on the fav. Yet line moves in thierfavor. Ncaa basketball not so much in my opinion like fsu vs miami.Comment -
Sports Insight has the information
The table below shows the optimum levels for Betting Against the Public for College Football, NFL, NBA, College Basketball, MLB and NHL.
* All betting percentages represent Sports Insights’ closing Betting Trends data.Sport Seasons Betting % Level Home/Visitor Win %/Units Won College Football 2003-10 < 20% Home 54.5% NFL 2003-10 < 20% Home 54.5% NBA 2003-10 < 25% Visitor 53.0% College Basketball 2003-10 < 25% Both (> 6 pt. dogs) 53.9% MLB 2003-10 < 30% Home +69.0 units NHL 2005-10 < 35% Both +118.8 units
** Pinnacle’s closing lines were used to determine units won/lost and winning percentagesComment
