NCAA Basketball Chase System 2013-2014

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  • allidoiswin89
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-22-11
    • 915

    #1
    NCAA Basketball Chase System 2013-2014
    I will preface this system like I did for the baseball system I ran this year. I do not have time to explain all filters and answer questions on a daily basis. My system took the basic rules that Wallco implements in his NBA system but I have numerous filters due to the amount of college basketball plays.

    As you can imagine, it takes a lot of time to find qualifiying plays...

    4 Game Chase
    Bets are always ATS unless otherwise stated
    We will use covers.com and identify wins/losses based on the closing line.

    I back tested this system for the past 5 years for most conferences. I will list all plays that fall outside of the conferences I did not back test as unofficial plays merely for tracking purposes. As far as the units go, I do not have an exact unit count of how much this system has made as this back test was extremely time consuming. I simply tracked the win/loss record and assumed a -20 unit loss on a 4 game chase which is 4 games ATS with a little extra added juice. There was only loss when playing the M/L that would have accounted for about a 25 unit loss.

    That being said, I am confident in my numbers and I wouldn't be spending this much time on something if it wasn't profitable...in the end you can make the decision.

    Finally, I will not update this thread daily unless a team qualifies for a play that is playing on a back to back night (some of these early conference tournies may apply).
  • allidoiswin89
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-22-11
    • 915

    #2
    AllIDoIsWin NCAAB Chase System
    2013-14 System to date: 0-0
    Profit/Loss:

    Official Record 0-0
    Unofficial Record 0-0

    11/16/2013
    ###Fade St. Marys - Drake *** (A)
    ###Tennesse St *** (A)

    11/17/2013
    Boston College *** (A)


    Open Series:



    ***Closing line at covers.com
    ### Unofficial Play
    @@@ Bet M/L
    Comment
    • KC Needs Hockey
      SBR Sharp
      • 10-27-10
      • 387

      #3
      I know you don't want to answer a lot of question but real quick ### unofficial play mean that you will be playing the but don't have a line so its unofficial or that something may change and a bet is not placed thanks for your time!
      Comment
      • allidoiswin89
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-22-11
        • 915

        #4
        read the first post...
        Comment
        • bauerranch
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 08-01-10
          • 611

          #5
          Let me check it out- thanks
          Comment
          • KC Needs Hockey
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-27-10
            • 387

            #6
            completely missed that part thanks and gl!
            Comment
            • imotiv8
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-28-09
              • 892

              #7
              check
              Comment
              • analyzer
                SBR MVP
                • 02-03-11
                • 2049

                #8
                Checking in...
                Comment
                • Wallco99
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-01-11
                  • 7261

                  #9
                  Originally posted by allidoiswin89
                  I will preface this system like I did for the baseball system I ran this year. I do not have time to explain all filters and answer questions on a daily basis. My system took the basic rules that Wallco implements in his NBA system but I have numerous filters due to the amount of college basketball plays.

                  As you can imagine, it takes a lot of time to find qualifiying plays...

                  4 Game Chase
                  Bets are always ATS unless otherwise stated
                  We will use covers.com and identify wins/losses based on the closing line.

                  I back tested this system for the past 5 years for most conferences. I will list all plays that fall outside of the conferences I did not back test as unofficial plays merely for tracking purposes. As far as the units go, I do not have an exact unit count of how much this system has made as this back test was extremely time consuming. I simply tracked the win/loss record and assumed a -20 unit loss on a 4 game chase which is 4 games ATS with a little extra added juice. There was only loss when playing the M/L that would have accounted for about a 25 unit loss.

                  That being said, I am confident in my numbers and I wouldn't be spending this much time on something if it wasn't profitable...in the end you can make the decision.

                  Finally, I will not update this thread daily unless a team qualifies for a play that is playing on a back to back night (some of these early conference tournies may apply).
                  What profits did this generate during your test? Are you really not going to post criteria, and also say that you won't be available to answer questions? Seems interesting, but I usually don't follow systems blindly like this, without knowing the criteria for plays. I won't let myself get into series betting with total faith that another person will post all the plays and post them at the times I need them posted, while not knowing when series continue or even why I'm betting on those teams in the first place. And with no backtested results posted, this becomes completely blind. I tried it with Stifler and that ended badly. If you decide to post criteria for plays and results from backtest, like I do for all the systems I put on here, then please let me know. Otherwise, good luck and I wish you the best.
                  Comment
                  • snark
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-12-12
                    • 311

                    #10
                    Ditto. Sounds like the DarkKnight's baseball stuff.
                    Comment
                    • analyzer
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-03-11
                      • 2049

                      #11
                      So, just to make sure I understand - the four game chase is on the team we are playing, correct?

                      Nice to pick up 2 wins yesterday I'm just wondering how handle when a loss does occur.

                      Thanks!
                      Comment
                      • allidoiswin89
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-22-11
                        • 915

                        #12
                        AllIDoIsWin NCAAB Chase System
                        2013-14 System to date: 2-0
                        Profit/Loss: +2 units

                        Official Record 0-0
                        Unofficial Record 2-0

                        11/16/2013
                        ###Fade St. Marys - Drake +14 (A) win
                        ###Tennesse St +24 (A) win

                        11/17/2013
                        Boston College -17 (A) loss


                        Open Series:
                        Boston College (B)


                        ***Closing line at covers.com
                        ### Unofficial Play
                        @@@ Bet M/L
                        Comment
                        • allidoiswin89
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 03-22-11
                          • 915

                          #13
                          No plays tomorrow
                          Comment
                          • KC Needs Hockey
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 10-27-10
                            • 387

                            #14
                            Originally posted by allidoiswin89
                            AllIDoIsWin NCAAB Chase System
                            2013-14 System to date: 2-0
                            Profit/Loss: +2 units

                            Official Record 2-0
                            Unofficial Record 0-0

                            11/16/2013
                            ###Fade St. Marys - Drake +14 (A) win
                            ###Tennesse St +24 (A) win

                            11/17/2013
                            Boston College *** (A) loss


                            Open Series:
                            Boston College (B)


                            ***Closing line at covers.com
                            ### Unofficial Play
                            @@@ Bet M/L

                            How are the two unofficial plays counting as 2-0 on the official line.
                            Comment
                            • allidoiswin89
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-22-11
                              • 915

                              #15
                              Originally posted by KC Needs Hockey
                              How are the two unofficial plays counting as 2-0 on the official line.
                              fixed
                              Comment
                              • allidoiswin89
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 03-22-11
                                • 915

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Wallco99
                                What profits did this generate during your test? Are you really not going to post criteria, and also say that you won't be available to answer questions? Seems interesting, but I usually don't follow systems blindly like this, without knowing the criteria for plays. I won't let myself get into series betting with total faith that another person will post all the plays and post them at the times I need them posted, while not knowing when series continue or even why I'm betting on those teams in the first place. And with no backtested results posted, this becomes completely blind. I tried it with Stifler and that ended badly. If you decide to post criteria for plays and results from backtest, like I do for all the systems I put on here, then please let me know. Otherwise, good luck and I wish you the best.
                                Don't blame you if you choose not to follow. I think that was the same reasoning as to why you didn't follow the baseball system that was profitable this year. Lurking in the threads has taught me that complexity just causes more headaches since people choose not to read. As far as posting all the plays goes, I will post every one. CBB makes it easy as I can post the night before as the earliest teams would play between games would be saturday/monday...that is of course excluding tournaments.
                                Comment
                                • allidoiswin89
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-22-11
                                  • 915

                                  #17
                                  AllIDoIsWin NCAAB Chase Syste ***m
                                  2013-14 System to date: 2-0
                                  Profit/Loss: +2 units

                                  Official Record 0-0
                                  Unofficial Record 2-0

                                  11/19/2013
                                  ###Lasalle *** (A)
                                  ###Fade Drexel - Rutgers *** (A)
                                  ###Fade Arizona - Rhode Island *** (A)

                                  11/21/2013
                                  Boston College *** (B)
                                  Fade UCONN - Boston College *** (A)
                                  ###Davidson *** (A)
                                  ###Fade Kent - Western Carolina *** (A)
                                  ###South Dakota State *** (A)


                                  Open Series:


                                  ***Closing line at covers.com (Bet M/L if spread is -6 or less)
                                  ### Unofficial Play
                                  @@@ Bet M/L
                                  Comment
                                  • allidoiswin89
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 03-22-11
                                    • 915

                                    #18
                                    see updated plays from tournies
                                    Comment
                                    • hoopdreams
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-19-12
                                      • 231

                                      #19
                                      So today's play would be Rutgers, lasalle, and RI?
                                      Comment
                                      • analyzer
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-03-11
                                        • 2049

                                        #20
                                        Thanks!
                                        Comment
                                        • Firegreek
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 11-19-13
                                          • 17

                                          #21
                                          What does it mean when u put fade?
                                          Comment
                                          • allidoiswin89
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 03-22-11
                                            • 915

                                            #22
                                            no plays today. full update later
                                            Comment
                                            • Firegreek
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 11-19-13
                                              • 17

                                              #23
                                              Does anyone on this thread know what a fade is? Thanks.
                                              Comment
                                              • dbartinbwgc
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 11-11-08
                                                • 795

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Firegreek
                                                Does anyone on this thread know what a fade is? Thanks.
                                                I believe it was a hair cut style popular back in the late 80's
                                                If you,re talking about fading a team, it means betting against.
                                                Comment
                                                • allidoiswin89
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-22-11
                                                  • 915

                                                  #25
                                                  AllIDoIsWin NCAAB Chase System
                                                  2013-14 System to date: 2-0
                                                  Profit/Loss: +2 units

                                                  Official Record 0-0
                                                  Unofficial Record 2-0

                                                  11/19/2013
                                                  ###Lasalle +3 (A) loss
                                                  ###Fade Drexel - Rutgers -1.5 (A) loss
                                                  ###Fade Arizona - Rhode Island +22.5 (A) loss

                                                  11/21/2013
                                                  Boston College *** (B)
                                                  Fade UCONN - Boston College *** (A)
                                                  ###Davidson *** (A)
                                                  ###Fade Kent - Western Carolina *** (A)
                                                  ###South Dakota State *** (A)


                                                  Open Series:
                                                  ###Lasalle (B)
                                                  ###Fade Drexel (B)
                                                  ###Fade Arizona (B)


                                                  ***Closing line at covers.com (Bet M/L if spread is -6 or less)
                                                  ### Unofficial Play
                                                  @@@ Bet M/L
                                                  Comment
                                                  • allidoiswin89
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 03-22-11
                                                    • 915

                                                    #26
                                                    full update later

                                                    11/22 plays
                                                    fade asu - bradley (A)
                                                    ###fade unc Charlotte - northeastern (A)
                                                    ###long beach state (A)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • allidoiswin89
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-22-11
                                                      • 915

                                                      #27
                                                      Add for 11/22
                                                      Fade fsu - michigan (A)
                                                      ###temple (A)
                                                      ###fade loyola maramount - uni (A)
                                                      ###marist (A)
                                                      ###la salle (B)
                                                      fade indiana - uconn (A)
                                                      fade portland - columbia (A)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • allidoiswin89
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 03-22-11
                                                        • 915

                                                        #28
                                                        add
                                                        ###western carolina (A)
                                                        ###csu Northridge (A)
                                                        ###loyola chicago (A)
                                                        seton hall (A)
                                                        fade wyoming - south dakota (A)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • analyzer
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-03-11
                                                          • 2049

                                                          #29
                                                          Wow, lot of plays tonight!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • allidoiswin89
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 03-22-11
                                                            • 915

                                                            #30
                                                            AllIDoIsWin NCAAB Chase System
                                                            2013-14 System to date: 5-0
                                                            Profit/Loss: +5 units

                                                            Official Record 2-0
                                                            Unofficial Record 3-0

                                                            11/21/2013
                                                            Boston College +9.5 (B) Win
                                                            Fade UCONN - Boston College +9.5 (A) Win
                                                            ###Davidson +2.5 (A) Win
                                                            ###Fade Kent - Western Carolina +9.5 (A) loss
                                                            ###South Dakota State +6.5 (A) loss

                                                            11/22/2013
                                                            fade asu - bradley (A)
                                                            ###fade unc Charlotte - northeastern (A)
                                                            ###long beach state (A)
                                                            Fade fsu - michigan (A)
                                                            ###temple (A)
                                                            ###fade loyola maramount - uni (A)
                                                            ###marist (A)
                                                            ###la salle (B)
                                                            fade indiana - uconn (A)
                                                            fade portland - columbia (A)
                                                            ###western carolina (A)
                                                            ###Fade Kent - USC Upstate (B)
                                                            ###csu Northridge (A)
                                                            ###loyola chicago (A)
                                                            seton hall (A)
                                                            fade wyoming - south dakota (A)


                                                            Open Series:
                                                            ###Fade Drexel (B) 11/27
                                                            ###Fade Arizona (B) 11/27
                                                            ###South Dakota State (B) 11/25


                                                            ***Closing line at covers.com (Bet M/L if spread is -6 or less)
                                                            ### Unofficial Play
                                                            @@@ Bet M/L
                                                            Comment
                                                            • snark
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 11-12-12
                                                              • 311

                                                              #31
                                                              I can see this going to hell real fast.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KC Needs Hockey
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 10-27-10
                                                                • 387

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by snark
                                                                I can see this going to hell real fast.
                                                                How would you know he doesn't even explain the system or give back testing results no one has a clue how this is going to go lol.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • allidoiswin89
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-22-11
                                                                  • 915

                                                                  #33
                                                                  AllIDoIsWin NCAAB Chase System
                                                                  2013-14 System to date: 19-0
                                                                  Profit/Loss: +19 units

                                                                  Official Record 4-0
                                                                  Unofficial Record 15-0



                                                                  11/23/2013
                                                                  ###UNC Wilmington +7 (A) loss
                                                                  ###Fade Utah St. - Miss St +11 (A) loss
                                                                  ###Fade Pacific - Fresno st +5.5 (A) loss
                                                                  ###marist +11.5 (B) win
                                                                  ###fade southern miss - Houston baptist +21 (A) win
                                                                  ###wright state +2 (A) loss
                                                                  ###csu Northridge +4 (B) loss
                                                                  ###loyola chicago -2 (B) loss
                                                                  ###UC Davis +2 (A) win
                                                                  ###fade portland - SIU Edwardville +9 (B) win
                                                                  ###Fade Nebraska Omaha - Drake -6 (A) win
                                                                  ###College of charleston -10.5 (A) win
                                                                  ###Samford +15.5 (A) win

                                                                  Open Series:
                                                                  ###Fade Drexel (B) 11/27
                                                                  ###Fade Arizona (B) 11/27
                                                                  ###South Dakota State (B) 11/25
                                                                  ###fade unc Charlotte (B) 11/24
                                                                  Fade fsu (B) 11/24
                                                                  fade indiana (B) 11/26
                                                                  ###temple (B) 11/24
                                                                  ###fade wyoming (B) 11/25
                                                                  ###UNC Wilmington (B)
                                                                  ###Fade Utah St (B)
                                                                  ###Fade Pacific (B)
                                                                  ###wright state (B)
                                                                  ###csu Northridge (C)
                                                                  ###loyola chicago (C)

                                                                  ***Closing line at covers.com (Bet M/L if spread is -6 or less)
                                                                  ### Unofficial Play
                                                                  @@@ Bet M/L
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • allidoiswin89
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 03-22-11
                                                                    • 915

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Feel free to spot check and check my numbers. I'm not so much concerned if I fat fingered and typed the wrong spread as much as I am labeling the games wrong for tracking purposes
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • allidoiswin89
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 03-22-11
                                                                      • 915

                                                                      #35
                                                                      11/23 plays added
                                                                      Comment
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