Gameday's $50 Experiment

007Fatty · 02-16-09, 11:42 AM

good luck man!

gameday10 · 02-16-09, 07:03 PM

Selection: NCAA
Loyola-Maryland
Spread -5.5 for -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
Loss

gameday10 · 02-16-09, 07:04 PM

Selection: NCAA
Louisiana Tech
Spread +9 for -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
Win

gameday10 · 02-16-09, 07:29 PM

Selection: NCAA
Siena
Spread -4 for -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
Win

ijustwant2bpaid · 02-16-09, 07:50 PM

dude u should only bet about 2 percent of your bank roll so to give yourself a fair chance you cant be betting 10%, maybe make a 100 dollar deposit, and play 1 or 2 dollar moves, long run you will have better chances, but good luck with your plays

gameday10 · 02-16-09, 08:48 PM

Originally posted by ijustwant2bpaid

dude u should only bet about 2 percent of your bank roll so to give yourself a fair chance you cant be betting 10%, maybe make a 100 dollar deposit, and play 1 or 2 dollar moves, long run you will have better chances, but good luck with your plays

Min is $5 bets with the book. I know I should not be betting 10% of my bankroll. Really if you want to get technical no one should be betting no more than 5% of there bankroll on a single game. But this is $50, nothing I am that worried about. Just want a challenge.

gameday10 · 02-16-09, 11:26 PM

Bankroll: $54
YTD: 2-1

Tough loss on Loyola-MD. Lost it in the clutch up by 8 with 2:30 left. Made up for it with Louisiana Tech. All ready started tomorrow's capping.

Vonnegut · 02-16-09, 11:28 PM

Good luck buddy.

kipper32 · 02-17-09, 02:11 AM

go all in.

gameday10 · 02-17-09, 02:42 AM

Evansville at Creighton -12.5
Trends:
- Evansville is 0-4 ATS revenging a home loss
- Creighton 5-1 ATS against team with winning record after 15 games
- Creighton 5-0 ATS in February and last 5 home games

My lean is Creighton -12.5 and I will make it official play tomorrow more than likely. Want to wait in case something else comes up. In conference Evansville is on a 0-2 SU and ATS streak. 2-5 SU in away games and 3-3-1 away ATS. While Creighton is on a 6-0 SU and 5-0 ATS streak, 5-2 SU at home and 3-4 ATS at home all in conference. Creighton 3 of 4 in conference losses ATS at home were when they shot less than 40% FG putting up just 68.5 ppg in those 4 games. Every SU loss was where they shot <=40% FG also. Since there last loss ATS (5 games) they have averaged 50.8% FG a game which means they have been shooting well. Look for them to continue this shooting at home to a team that they beat by 22 earlier and who is giving up 50.1% ppg the last 4 games. They are 1-4 ATS when giving up greather than 50% FG a game. And Evansville last 2 games have given up 59.5% FG and 50.9%. They have put up 52% FG last game agianst a Drake team who is also the second highest team in points against in the conference. And 52% the other game against Illinois St. at home when Illinois St. was without Lloyd Phillips who is there leader in assists, 2nd in minutes, and 3rd in PPG which is a big factor in there shooting and Illinois St. only winning by 2. Evansville has only put up greater than 50% FG 3 times in conference and the other time besides those 2 was the previous meeting with Drake. I do not see Creighton letting Evansville make it a 3rd straight game with greater than 50%FG shooting when they have only allowed 1 of those games in conference play this year. So, with Creighton's hot shooinng and great FG% defense I see Creighton taking this game at home against an Evansville team who's defense has struggled. Creighton held Evansville to just 35% last game and I see them doing it again.

Also, the over might be a play. Both teams on streaks of overs. Creighton's last 4 games have gone over and 5 out of the lst 6 have. Evansville last 2 have gone over and 3 of there last 4. Evansville last 4 games have given up average of 50.1% FG and Creighton has averaged 52% the last 4 games. When Creighton makes above 50% FG the over is 7-0. This might be my play for this game. I have not decided. I will have more games later.

gameday10 · 02-17-09, 05:42 PM

17-February
Selection: NCAA
Austin Peay/Jacksonville St.
over 149 at -110
Risking $11.00 for $10.00
LOSS

Love the over in this game. AP has been ridiculous with the over's this season. 11-2 OVER in conference play. When the o/u is >=149 they are 5-0. Jacksonville, when the o/u is >=149 they are 2-1 and the lose they scored 149. Jacksonville is 4-3 o/u in conference play.

gameday10 · 02-17-09, 06:00 PM

17-February
Selection: NCAA
Evansville/Creighton
over 137 at -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
WIN

Trends:
-Creighton is 17-6 overall o/u
- 15-4 as a favorite
- 11-3 after a conference game

-Evansville is 12-10 overall o/u
- 6-3 as a underdog

Both teams on streaks of overs. Creighton's last 4 games have gone over and 5 out of the last 6 have. They are 6-1 over when the line is >=137. Evansville last 2 have gone over and 3 of there last 4. When the line is >=137 they are 2-1 Evansville last 4 games have given up average of 50.1% FG and Creighton has averaged 52% the last 4 games. When Creighton makes above 50% FG the over is 7-0. This might be my play for this game. I have not decided. I will have more games later.

Vonnegut · 02-17-09, 06:16 PM

Originally posted by gameday10

Selection: NCAA
Austin Peay/Jacksonville St.
over 149 at -110
Risking $11.00 for $10.00

Love the over in this game. AP has been ridiculous with the over's this season. 11-2 OVER in conference play. When the o/u is >=149 they are 5-0. Jacksonville, when the o/u is >=149 they are 2-1 and the lose they scored 149. Jacksonville is 4-3 o/u in conference play.

Looks pretty good, you almost have me convinced.

gameday10 · 02-17-09, 06:59 PM

17-February
Selection: NCAA
Princeton
Spread -2.5 at -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
LOSS

Trends:
- Princeton 8-4 ATS this year
- Penn is 5-9 ATS

Princeton has not lost 3 straight ATS this year and are on a 2 game losing streak ATS(second time this year). Penn has not won more than 3 games SU and ATS in a row and they are on a 2 games winning streak SU and ATS(second time this year). Princeton is 2-0 SU and ATS at home in conference. Penn is 3-1 ATS in away games, and 2 of those games were against Harvard and Brown who are a combined 3-13 in conference play. Princeton is on a 2 game losing streak ATS and SU both being on the road. There last game they lost against a very poor Brown team and now I look for them to come back home and make a point where the last 5 they have won SU and won the last 3 ATS. They are in second place in conference play and a loss here would drop them.

gameday10 · 02-17-09, 09:02 PM

17-February
Selection: NCAA
Vanderbilt
Spread +1 at -110
Risking $5.50 to win $5.00
WIN

gameday10 · 02-17-09, 10:02 PM

17-February
Selection: NCAA
BYU
Spread -6 at -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
WIN

17-February
Selection: NCAA
New Mexico/BYU
Over 143 at -110
Risking $8.80 to win $8.00
LOSS

I like the over and BYU. BYU has been on a tear the lasat 4 games winning by a minimum of 15(2away and 2home). Won them SU and ATS. Now they are at home to a team that slaughtered them last time. I see revenge here and the over. BYU has shot 57.9% FG average the last 4 games with a average score of 82 and also 52.5% from 3pt. Going against a team who has gave up 42.5% from 3pt the last 4 games and there previous 2 games have gone over the total, same as BYU.

gameday10 · 02-18-09, 07:04 PM

Bankroll: $43.20 (YTD:5-4)

18-February
Selection: NCAA
Houston
Spread -5 at -110
Risking $11.00 to win $10.00
LOSS

18-February
Selection: NCAA
Ball St.
Spread pk at -110
Risking $5.50 to win $5.00
LOSS

18-February
Selection: NCAA
Richmond/LaSalle
Over 136.5 at -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
LOSS

18-February
Selection: NCAA
Penn St/Illinois
Under 124 at -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
WIN

18-February
Selection: NCAA
James Madison
Spread +3.5 at -110
Risking $5.50 to win $5.00
WIN

18-February
Selection: NCAA
Parlay:
Kansas 1H -10 at -110
Wisconsin-Green Bay -12 at -110
Risking $5.00 to win $13.22
WIN

gameday10 · 02-18-09, 09:00 PM

18-February
Selection: NCAA
Colorado/Nebraska
Under 122 at -120
Risking $6.00 to win $5.00
WIN

18-February
Selection: NCAA
Texas Tech/Oklahoma St.
Over 165 at -110
Risking $5.50 to win $5.00
WIN

18-February
Selection: NCAA
Parlay:
UNLV/Wyoming
Over 148 at -120
UC Davis/Cal Poly
Over 150 at -110
Risking $3.70 to win $9.25
LOSS

gameday10 · 02-18-09, 11:57 PM

Bankroll:$50.22 (YTD:10-8)

Another average day with wins and losses. I am started to like capping over/unders a lot. I think I might try to stick to more of those and if a side stands out I am cap that. I increased my bankroll by $10. I have started on tomorrow's card. I like it because there are not as many games and I can concetrate on certain games I like and spend more time capping them. Good Luck!