Bet any game where Silver's projected winning % (I converted to pt spread) differed with Vegas closer by more than 1. He tracked it in 2011 and it went 26-18: http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/...1-popup-v2.jpg
Today's plays:
Albany +20.5 (His line: +16.5)
Ohio State -14 (His line: -16)
Cincinnati +3.5 (His line: +2.5)
Wisconsin -6 (his line: -7)
Northwestern St +20.5 (his line: +17)
Notre Dame +1 (his line: -2.5)
Oklahoma +3 (his line: +1.5)
NC State -4 (his line: -6)
I don't follow college bball that closely so I figured this was better than throwing darts. This is the sharpest publicly available info IMO, if you are a skeptic read here as to how he does it: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...n-c-a-a-picks/
Also, for the conversions of winning probability % to point spread, I used the same number (10.36) that he used in 2011. I have no clue whether that is standard or if it would differ from year to year.
Today's plays:
Albany +20.5 (His line: +16.5)
Ohio State -14 (His line: -16)
Cincinnati +3.5 (His line: +2.5)
Wisconsin -6 (his line: -7)
Northwestern St +20.5 (his line: +17)
Notre Dame +1 (his line: -2.5)
Oklahoma +3 (his line: +1.5)
NC State -4 (his line: -6)
I don't follow college bball that closely so I figured this was better than throwing darts. This is the sharpest publicly available info IMO, if you are a skeptic read here as to how he does it: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes...n-c-a-a-picks/
Also, for the conversions of winning probability % to point spread, I used the same number (10.36) that he used in 2011. I have no clue whether that is standard or if it would differ from year to year.