Going for my books jugular: Tourney destroyer edition

[survivalinstinct]

Its that time of the year fellas ... im not big on advising people on plays because i have guilt when a play loses but i love discussion and seeing different angles that i might miss.

Won't see write ups or a whole lot in depth from me but i make decisions mostly based on line and movement.

early lines that look good for Tuesday

st marys -3
lehigh +5
Kent state -6
northern Iowa -15.5

If anyone has info or wants to share... let it be heard!!!

[Renegades]

I like st marys as well

[survivalinstinct]

I like st marys as well

Im really starting to over think the st marys play. looking at mid Tenn's schedule and sonera teams they have beaten as well as how dependant st marys is on delladova... if he's not on point the its going to be a long game.

[survivalinstinct]

3/19/13
Locking in

La Tech +3.5

lines dropping and i don't want to jump in too late

dont usually play teasers but this might be a good one to add on a 3 team

[mountie12]

I love St. Marys also...so if everyone loves it ...it should either skyrocket by gametime or I should stay away from it. St. Mary's guard Jordan Page is most likely not gonna play tonight. But I'll still take them with that other white boy guard that always looks hungover and likes he has all his teeth knocked out with that mouthpiece. Gooo St. Marys.

[survivalinstinct]

I love St. Marys also...so if everyone loves it ...it should either skyrocket by gametime or I should stay away from it. St. Mary's guard Jordan Page is most likely not gonna play tonight. But I'll still take them with that other white boy guard that always looks hungover and likes he has all his teeth knocked out with that mouthpiece. Gooo St. Marys.

Just made it a play officially and locked it in

St Marys -3

[survivalinstinct]

forgot to post a few plays that i played but if it matters got eastern kentucky and NCAT ... wont count them in my record though since it already tipped off

[mountie12]

have to say I like the elevation at Wyoming.....I'm gonna go against ya on that one. Good luck either way. At least you made me research that game.

[survivalinstinct]

have to say I like the elevation at Wyoming.....I'm gonna go against ya on that one. Good luck either way. At least you made me research that game.

Im actually only playing st marys from my early leans.

So far the card that i Have

St Marys
La Tech
Santa Clara Over

[survivalinstinct]

adding 2h over st johns 69

[survivalinstinct]

adding 2h college of charleston -4

[survivalinstinct]

adding 2h La tech +1

shooting only 26% but controlling the boards and forcing turnovers. I cant see snaer continuing to shoot from distance like he did in the first half. Look for a La Tech outright win here.

[survivalinstinct]

Great start to a long road ahead 3/19/13

La Tech +3.5
St marys -3
Santa Clara/Vermont Over 136

2h La tech +1
2h Charleston -4
2h St Jonhs/Stjoes over 69

Overall Record 5-1

[survivalinstinct]

3/20/13

nothing locked in yet but looking at

charleston southern
weber state
green bay over
fairfield
western Illinois

[survivalinstinct]

3/20/13

nothing locked in yet but looking at

charleston southern
weber state
green bay over
fairfield
western Illinois

Played

Fairfield
Indiana state
Western Illinois

[survivalinstinct]

Should have sticked to my original plays but oh well

lost western Illinois lost Indiana state

won fairfield

record 6-3

still good day because a few unposted plays hit but back at it tomorrow

[survivalinstinct]

3/21/13

first plays of the day

Valpo +11
wichita state +4

waiting on a decision to play
Bucknell

[survivalinstinct]

Adding

Bucknell +3.5

[survivalinstinct]

Adding

Harvard
Harvard over
Montana

[survivalinstinct]

3-3 posted plays

9-6 total Record

killed it on totals today but didn't post most of them

I think every reverse line movement total hit today

[survivalinstinct]

3/22/13

playing

albany
creighton over
unc over
Miami

[survivalinstinct]

Good day
4-0
total record 13-6

Need to get better at posting plays. missed a few that hit for me.

still a good 2nd round

[survivalinstinct]

3/23/13

ready for a big day again... Surprisingly not a single person has any thoughts on my plays
Today Plays

Marquette
Gonzaga under
Michigan(max play)
Arizona
Oregon
Northern Iowa under (max play)

lot of favorites but i don't see these teams letting down today

total record 13-6

[Bet10Heinekens]

3/23/13

ready for a big day again... Surprisingly not a single person has any thoughts on my plays
Today Plays

Marquette
Gonzaga under
Michigan(max play)
Arizona
Oregon
Northern Iowa under (max play)

lot of favorites but i don't see these teams letting down today

total record 13-6

What kind of numbers are you getting, are playing the ml or ATS

[survivalinstinct]

What kind of numbers are you getting, are playing the ml or ATS

Playing spreads unless specified. Most of the time i wait 5-10 minutes before game time to actually place my bet so i get whatever the closing line is.

As of now i have Michigan -4 locked in

[briedward]

Michigan looks like a great call!

[survivalinstinct]

Michigan looks like a great call!

Its hard to imagine Michigan not covering that spread when they are essentially playing a home game.

[ljohnso8]

What is your insight over the Arizona game? Do you think they can stop Harvard three point game?

[survivalinstinct]

What is your insight over the Arizona game? Do you think they can stop Harvard three point game?

Watched plenty of Harvard this year and they are not as impressive as they seem. Have a tendency to break down 2h and rely too heavily on jump shots. If they hit long range they will have a outside shot of covering but otherwise i think they are overvalued. Should be a spread closer to 14 in my opinion.

Look for Arizona to control the boards and the pace of this game.

[survivalinstinct]

Adding play

Memphis/MSU under 131

[16johnnymac]

Michigan looks like a great call!

Wow is she beautiful. Who is she ?

[ljohnso8]

Any thoughts on Marquette and butler over?

[survivalinstinct]

Any thoughts on Marquette and butler over?

Can't say i have a good read on the total for that game but if i had a gun to my head i would play the under. Seeing a lot of action on the over already probably because last matchup they scored 143.

[survivalinstinct]

Adding

Memphis/msu 2h under 70

Half unit play only. Shouldnt play it but its too tempting

[survivalinstinct]

Cash out on

Michigan
Memphis/msu under
Memphis/msu under 2h

good start. lets keep it rolling