W kentucky- arkansas st. - did you notice?

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  • Capnick
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-05-13
    • 831

    #1
    W kentucky- arkansas st. - did you notice?
    ARKANSAS ST. beat W KENTUCKY twice this year by double digits and they come out with a line of 3.5..... And now everybody bets ark. st. figuring its gonna be easy win no. 3 , and W kent. wins the first half...... Then , they come out with a line ark. st only - 3 in 2nd half... Its like vegas knows....
  • Frisco
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-27-12
    • 6138

    #2
    I don't get it
    Comment
    • Owls
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-01-12
      • 240

      #3
      You can't extrapolate two teams based on the two times they played each other. There are 30 other games that these teams played which show that there isn't much of a difference in quality between the two teams.

      And the 2nd half line is basically half of the total game line plus a couple of points given to the team that is ahead because of the comeback factor.
      Comment
      • Frisco
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-27-12
        • 6138

        #4
        Originally posted by Owls
        You can't extrapolate two teams based on the two times they played each other. There are 30 other games that these teams played which show that there isn't much of a difference in quality between the two teams.

        And the 2nd half line is basically half of the total game line plus a couple of points given to the team that is ahead because of the comeback factor.
        Bullsh*t. It's obviously a conspeercy
        Comment
        • Capnick
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 02-05-13
          • 831

          #5
          Are you f in kidding me? Im not saying its 100%, but tell me a better handicapping angle than games played vs. the team their playing...
          Comment
          • Owls
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-01-12
            • 240

            #6
            Computer power ratings is the most accurate indicator of the correct point spread between two teams. That is why Vegas pretty much just follows the computer ratings to determine the lines of the games. I thought this stuff was basic bettor's knowledge.

            Is everyone a friggin square in this place?
            Comment
            • Capnick
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 02-05-13
              • 831

              #7
              Not saying your wrong brother, im just saying i thought the line should have been higher considering they beat them by 14 and 18 earlier this season..
              Comment
              • Frisco
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-27-12
                • 6138

                #8
                Originally posted by Capnick
                Not saying your wrong brother, im just saying i thought the line should have been higher considering they beat them by 14 and 18 earlier this season..
                Ppl would have hammered WKY if the line was any higher. Books wanted a lot of Ark State action
                Comment
                • Owls
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 01-01-12
                  • 240

                  #9
                  Would have hammered W Ky myself if the line got to 5. No way Ark State is 5 points better than W Ky.
                  Comment
                  • Capnick
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-05-13
                    • 831

                    #10
                    Easy to say now, but they blew them out twice.. cant say that doesnt mean anything BEFORE THE GAME!!!!
                    Comment
                    • pulledclear
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-19-12
                      • 6684

                      #11
                      What a dck head!!!!
                      Comment
                      • pulledclear
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-19-12
                        • 6684

                        #12
                        Praying Arky St came back were you!!!!
                        Comment
                        • Frisco
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-27-12
                          • 6138

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Owls
                          Would have hammered W Ky myself if the line got to 5. No way Ark State is 5 points better than W Ky.
                          Yea put a play on them at +3 but if it was in the 5 to 6 range myself and a lot of bettors would have been putting plays on that ML too b/c of the nice payout. Most these conf tourney games have teams that are very equal which is why dogs are covering left and right
                          Comment
                          • pulledclear
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-19-12
                            • 6684

                            #14
                            [QUOTE=Capnick;18055914]Easy to say now, but they blew them out twice.. cant say that doesnt mean anything BEFORE THE GAME!!!![/QUOTE

                            S Q U A R E!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                            Comment
                            • pulledclear
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-19-12
                              • 6684

                              #15
                              I gave W Kent and Charleston at 5pm. Then you come in my thread whining like a loser????? Step away from the chalk its gonna kill you faster then a bullet!!!
                              Comment
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