Oregon @ CU

[neutral]

Oregon +3.5 2.2 units

This line is way off based on the line from 1st game, off by 1.5 from power ranking with home court adjustment. Contest is important for both team, Oregon can win title outright but due to poor non conference SOS, RPI could do with some improvement for better NCAA seeding with road win @ team with better RPI. Colorado 5 in the PAC 12 and could get bye in conf... tournament finishing 4th. This is a revenge game for UO after CU ruined UO's 20 home win streak [Artis was injured at the time]. Also CU's senior night is next week, so focus might be top notch. If learned one lesson from the S.Utah loss, when the line is out of whack and case from motivation standpoint can be made for either side, it is the better side or nothing.

[neutral]

6pt Teaser on Oregon +9.5 & MSU +2 2.2units

[neutral]

Texas St +12.5 1.1units

[Utah St very offensive challenged team & short-handed after lots of injuries to this squad laying & senior night on deck]

[neutral]

SE Missouri +7.5 1.1 units

According to insider for OVC , SE Miss made changes to its offence and odds-maker haven't caught up yet. Since the change, the have won 5 SU and 2 very close loses of 2 & 3.
E. Kentucky's opponent have shot EFG of 51.1% compare to 46% from SE Miss's opponent. Grab the points

S. Caro Upstate -5 3 units

[neutral]

Winnipeg/Tampa Bay over 6 2.2 units

Toronto/Boston under 5 1.1 units

[Louisvillekid1]

I set this line at CU - 4.5 I think its low. Staying away, so gl

[ckominski]

Sad sad day I would have to agree with you!

[Jeff Grant]

[neutral]

I set this line at CU - 4.5 I think its low. Staying away, so gl

Based on the 1st game, CU was a +7 dog meaning, this should -3 Oregon [7-4(home court adv)]. Obviously Artis missing meant Oregon lost games they would never have lost hence power ranking now, Oregon is 80 & CU is 80 [wider in reality], adjust home court adv again, the line should be CU -2. So from line and some Artis involvement, you are getting value and projected improved play against line even if he only plays 20mins, he is head & shoulder the best player on the court.

Then you get into height advantage for Oregon, i believe CU will slow tempo today & in my humble opinion, this will be their undoing because the quicker the game then Oregon might turn it over more & limit scoring especially when Artis is sitting. With 2 sided motivation, i can't pass on Oregon here.

[Nomadik]

Great analysis. Analysis paralysis. Maybe Oregon would have won if we had our best player, best rebounder in the country, on the floor.

[neutral]

Must do better