NCAAB Picks of the Day

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  • jjacks60
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-28-13
    • 14

    #1
    NCAAB Picks of the Day
    I am testing a sports betting formula/method I worked tediously over. So this is more of a test run to see how it performs with picks today. Picks are in order of confidence that I got through my formula system.

    5* Confidence
    Southern Miss -6
    Indiana -7.5

    4* Confidence
    Duke -19.5
    Longwood +12.5
    Campbell -3
    Miami OH +16
    Liberty +9.5
    Bowling Green +8
    Ball St. +9.5
    St. Johns +9.5

    3* UNLV -7.5
    Ohio -4.5
    Ole Miss -5
    Rutgers +7
    Eastern Michigan +3
    Northern Illinois +11
    Providence -8.5
    UTEP -3

    Again these are in specific order of how the ranked on the formula's confidence scale. Today's pool is mostly a large sample to gather better intel and try to improve the system if possible. I tested it on games earlier in the year and compared it to their actual point differentials and they were very close. If this works for College basketball I think it could also be used for the NBA but I have yet to test that theory. 5* I am extremely confident about based on the scales results. 4* I would say 60-80% certain. 3* 50-60%.
    We shall see how the night cap turns out.
  • jjacks60
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-28-13
    • 14

    #2
    Originally posted by jjacks60
    I am testing a sports betting formula/method I worked tediously over. So this is more of a test run to see how it performs with picks today. Picks are in order of confidence that I got through my formula system.

    5* Confidence
    Southern Miss -6 X
    Indiana -7.5

    4* Confidence
    Duke -19.5
    Longwood +12.5
    Campbell -3

    Miami OH +16
    Liberty +9.5
    Bowling Green +8 Push
    Ball St. +9.5
    St. Johns +9.5 X

    3* UNLV -7.5
    Ohio -4.5
    Ole Miss -5
    Rutgers +7
    Eastern Michigan +3
    Northern Illinois +11 X
    Providence -8.5
    UTEP -3

    Again these are in specific order of how the ranked on the formula's confidence scale. Today's pool is mostly a large sample to gather better intel and try to improve the system if possible. I tested it on games earlier in the year and compared it to their actual point differentials and they were very close. If this works for College basketball I think it could also be used for the NBA but I have yet to test that theory. 5* I am extremely confident about based on the scales results. 4* I would say 60-80% certain. 3* 50-60%.
    We shall see how the night cap turns out.
    So far 9-3-1 however Indiana and UNLV are losing. I should probably reevaluate the confidence points on the system considering my two sure picks are probably going 0-2. Regardless here are tomorrow's picks I've calculated thus far.

    Florida Gulf Coast -5.5
    Dayton -7
    Charlotte -2.5
    Fordham +10.5
    La Salle -9.5
    UNC Pick
    St. Joes -10
    LSU +4
    NM -6.5

    May put in more.
    Comment
    • jjacks60
      SBR Rookie
      • 02-28-13
      • 14

      #3
      Originally posted by jjacks60

      5* Confidence
      Southern Miss -6 X
      Indiana -7.5 X

      4* Confidence
      Duke -19.5
      Longwood +12.5
      Campbell -3
      Miami OH +16
      Liberty +9.5

      Bowling Green +8 Push
      Ball St. +9.5
      St. Johns +9.5 X

      3* UNLV -7.5 X
      Ohio -4.5
      Ole Miss -5 X
      Rutgers +7
      Eastern Michigan +3

      Northern Illinois +11 X
      Providence -8.5
      UTEP -3

      Record ytd 11-6-1

      Tomorrow's slate
      Florida Gulf Coast -5.5
      Dayton -7
      Charlotte -2.5
      Fordham +10.5
      La Salle -9.5
      UNC Pick
      St. Joes -10
      LSU +4
      NM -6.5
      SDSU -11
      Stanford +4
      USC +5
      Xavier +3.5
      ISU -1.5
      Tulsa -4.5

      Will be betting equally on them this time, as the confidence points seemed to be irrelevant in the system. Highest rated is Fordham +10.5, Xavier +3.5, Charlotte -2.5, Dayton -7, USC +5, ISU -1.5 in that order. The rest are pretty much equal in terms of their value in my the scale. BOL tomorrow.
      Comment
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