BtB early leans for THUR 2/28.....who you got???

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  • BlitzTheBooks
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-05-12
    • 472

    #1
    BtB early leans for THUR 2/28.....who you got???
    Pissed after yesterdays (4-4) performance (thanks SMU, one point from a push and two from a win).....here are a few that jumped out at me for tomorrow:

    UNC, Drexel, Ohio State, San Fran, Cal, Missouri, Santa Clara, and Gonzaga.

    Usually hate betting on big names, especially as favs but the few in that list I like.

    I'm a Clemson fan so that UNC bet doesn't faze me if I can land it at -3 and grab the ML as well. We have a tendency to play them well at home but I have *zero* faith in our squad this season. Aside from decent defense, we're a mess.

    I'm hittin' the sack but will throw another $.02 on the other ones manana but feel free to chime in.....

    Deuces guys
  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #2
    zags not typically my kind of bet but i think they on a mission, they havnt allowed anyone to score more than 63 in forever and with that offense think this line short even for a road gm against a decent byu team..only gm i played early as am happy laying the 6, would think it goes up but hell if i know, just know im content with this number..

    leans..

    osu/nw un 123..be nice if it got bet up a few points, whether it does i dunno...feel like NW be lucky to get to the 50-55 point range and with as slow as they play dont think osu cracks 65..

    they open det/temple total anything less than 160 and ill be on the over..defense optional here,, just look at the scores in temple gms when they play fast pace teams, det plays as fast as anyone and their d is terrible..

    really wanna play uva, they could use a big time win (not that teams that need a win always get it but think uva good enough to accomplish it)..duke been playing the defensive softies of the acc pretty much since getting waxed in mia over a month ago, gonna be a much different gm than they been playing of late and they in a look ahead spot to mia on Sat.. slight lean to under as well..

    mizzou one of those gms where you can prob bet them laying the points and play scary ml,,if scary plays the gm inside the number no reason to think mizzou will pull out a tight gm as most the team vanishes in those spots on the road and leave it all on pressy who inevitably presses and makes bunch of poor decisions and mistakes. tend to think tigers go in there and lay it on the shitbag cocks, who knows tho? sip st the only team they have beaten on the road all yr (in a very similar lined gm coincidentally enough)..all i know if you trust mizzou to win the points wouldnt scare me..

    pretty much all i have until the rest of the totals come out..
    Comment
    • MFgerm
      SBR Hustler
      • 02-26-13
      • 57

      #3
      Tomorrow I may play gonzaga leaning on missouri ohio st and duke I woulf put a few bucks on clemson SU and points.
      Comment
      • nba2013
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-01-12
        • 464

        #4
        zaga -6 just looks to good to me
        they are playing great ball
        whipping everyone and i think they will cover -6
        Comment
        • BlitzTheBooks
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-05-12
          • 472

          #5
          Bank, good luck on the totals. I'm done with that sh!t until I get a better model formulated. Lost 3-4 bets by either a half point or just one. Frustrating as he!!.


          Locked and loaded
          UNC -4 (yes, I'm betting AGAINST my Tigers)
          Drexel -2
          Ohio State -10
          San Fran +2
          Cal -10
          Santa Clara -14
          Gonzaga -5
          Temple -6


          GL everyone
          Comment
          • saints1856
            SBR MVP
            • 11-12-10
            • 1189

            #6
            Of your 8 picks, you have 7 favorites? Thats a recipe for disaster this time of year... But I do have the Zags like you do, BOL
            Comment
            • BlitzTheBooks
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-05-12
              • 472

              #7
              7 of 8 are 'favorites'? Where'd you see that?

              And usually I don't have this many wagers, but I follow my model. Done very well thus far so if tonight is a slight down turn, I can handle it financially.
              Comment
              • agharah1
                SBR MVP
                • 09-07-10
                • 2304

                #8
                Man, that Mizzou game looks really tricky. The tigers almost got run off their home floor by the gamecocks, and they're terrible on the road. As we saw last night, its "really bad teams peaking at just the right time to win home games" season.
                Comment
                • BlitzTheBooks
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-05-12
                  • 472

                  #9
                  Originally posted by agharah1
                  Man, that Mizzou game looks really tricky. The tigers almost got run off their home floor by the gamecocks, and they're terrible on the road. As we saw last night, its "really bad teams peaking at just the right time to win home games" season.
                  Bingo. That's exactly why I ended up passing on it. Something just doesn't sit right about it, and it was a borderline 'play' at best for me anyways when I first saw it.
                  Comment
                  • Shifty107
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-05-10
                    • 1582

                    #10
                    Originally posted by BlitzTheBooks
                    7 of 8 are 'favorites'? Where'd you see that?

                    And usually I don't have this many wagers, but I follow my model. Done very well thus far so if tonight is a slight down turn, I can handle it financially.
                    You are laying points in 7 out of your 8 bets.
                    Comment
                    • BlitzTheBooks
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 10-05-12
                      • 472

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Shifty107
                      You are laying points in 7 out of your 8 bets.
                      Ah, I misread what was said. I thought he meant I mentioned some of those picks as favorites of mine. Brain fart. Apologies.
                      Comment
                      • BlitzTheBooks
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-05-12
                        • 472

                        #12
                        Originally posted by BlitzTheBooks
                        Locked and loaded
                        UNC -4 (yes, I'm betting AGAINST my Tigers)
                        Drexel -2

                        Ohio State -10
                        San Fran +2
                        Cal -10
                        Santa Clara -14
                        Gonzaga -5
                        Temple -6
                        2-1-1 start to the night. Temple won by 5, missing a push by a point
                        Comment
                        • BlitzTheBooks
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 10-05-12
                          • 472

                          #13
                          Originally posted by BlitzTheBooks
                          Locked and loaded
                          UNC -4 (yes, I'm betting AGAINST my Tigers)
                          Drexel -2

                          Ohio State -10
                          San Fran +2
                          Cal -10

                          Santa Clara -14
                          Gonzaga -5
                          Temple -6
                          4-1-1 so far today

                          Temple missing by a point and Ohio State shooting 56% on FT's the only non-wins. 56%. FIFTY-SIX PERCENT. Taking a note from my Clemson boys with the sub 60% BS.
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            pimping this shit so far,,,now just need zags to cap this bitch off !!!
                            Comment
                            • BlitzTheBooks
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-05-12
                              • 472

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              pimping this shit so far,,,now just need zags to cap this bitch off !!!
                              No doubt

                              Need Santa Clara to do work @ home tonight too. I Couldn't resist my urge for a parlay (love the rush): Hawaii ML, Hawaii/UCSB OVER, and Oregon ML. Peanuts but still fun.
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #16
                                wanted to get on santa clara but was busy talking bout the zags gm and missed the damn tip
                                Comment
                                • BlitzTheBooks
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 10-05-12
                                  • 472

                                  #17
                                  Understandable.....looooot of discussion/debate about that game going on. Really wanted 1H action but Stations betting app didn't have it available. I'll be pissed if I get back door covered.
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #18
                                    wouldnt worry to much,,,byu whole front line already has foul issues..
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      doesnt look like im gonna get a shot at a clara 2nd half, they handling their business early atm..
                                      Comment
                                      • BlitzTheBooks
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 10-05-12
                                        • 472

                                        #20
                                        perfectly fine with that. 9 point leads for Clara and Zaga. Love it.
                                        Comment
                                        • BlitzTheBooks
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 10-05-12
                                          • 472

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                                          doesnt look like im gonna get a shot at a clara 2nd half, they handling their business early atm..
                                          Always hope for those late first half runs by the dog. great time to jump on the fav. use that approach myself sometimes.
                                          Comment
                                          • BlitzTheBooks
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-05-12
                                            • 472

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by BlitzTheBooks
                                            Locked and loaded
                                            UNC -4 (yes, I'm betting AGAINST my Tigers)
                                            Drexel -2

                                            Ohio State -10
                                            San Fran +2
                                            Cal -10

                                            Santa Clara -14
                                            Gonzaga -5
                                            Temple -6
                                            Santa Clara with the easy cover. (5-1-1) today, just need Zaga to separate themselves a little here.
                                            Comment
                                            • BlitzTheBooks
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-05-12
                                              • 472

                                              #23
                                              WTF. Pi$$ poor, sub-60% free throw shooting caused me two pushes today. They're FREE THROWS guys, come on.

                                              Solo loss was by a point (Temple).

                                              All in all a good day at (5-1-2)..... I'll have early leans up in a few for those interested.


                                              Locked and loaded
                                              UNC -4 (yes, I'm betting AGAINST my Tigers)
                                              Drexel -2

                                              Ohio State -10
                                              San Fran +2
                                              Cal -10

                                              Santa Clara -14
                                              Gonzaga -5
                                              Temple -6
                                              Comment
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