Fairly new to betting but I was wondering about strategy with betting big underdogs moneylines in basketball. Everything that I know says that we should be looking to in our own perspective find value in the long term and win long term. Say team A is +2000 against team B on a given night. This tells me personally that they are basically expected to win 1 out of 20 games in this situation. Say you disagree with that and think they win 3 out of 20. Would it be a wise strategy to take them since you think they win 3 out of 20 that would roughly equate to a +667 moneyline and you are getting . This is all just how I see it I am just wondering if this is a good strategy or am I totally off base here? Looking for any advice or strategy in this situation.