My biggest bet in a while...

[ridims]

great play. hope it cashes.

disregard the attention seeking whores.

[hustlehard617]

Line moved to +1

[BiffTFinancial]

The gym will not be hopping... I don't think the gym was ever hopping while I went there, and especially not on a Monday...

This is one of the few CAA games where I actually like W&M ATS & +EV ML. They defend the 3 pretty well, which NE shoots a lot of, and NE is bad at defending the 3, which is a staple of the W&M offense. NE is 1-4 ATS against the bottom 4 CAA teams and will have to play their 3rd road game in 6 days, which is tough for them because they don't have much depth.

They probably would have won the last meeting if Rusthoven didn't foul out in the 1st OT, yet they still managed to send it into a 2nd OT with their 2nd best player out.

Like the person above me said, you will get the most value if you wait for the line to move in NE's favor. Should close at about 3.5/4

like Tribe, but agree 110% that the gym will not be rockin'. last time it was rocking i remember was when they took UVA to OT in the early 90s. i think that W&M Hall was about 2/3 full that Saturday night.

[sportsguy04]

I dont think the line will go up. THis will be a RLM special tommorrow. +2 now, I see this closing at +1.

Like I said RLM! 70+% on ne and line drops

[Romanov]

Pulling for ya

[sportsguy04]

Love William tt over 65 as well .

[Fanatik]

What is RLM?

[irish1]

THis game reminds me of last year

02/11/12	covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/results/2011-2012/boxscore830202.html
01/14/12	covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/results/2011-2012/boxscore828868.html

NE got them at home, then WMMRY opened a can of whoop ass at home.

I really wouldn't go by last years results. I'm not on it but GL

[sportsguy04]

What is RLM?

Reverse line movement. When a big percent of public is on one team the line should move accordingly to reflect those percentages but RLM the line goes against that team that has a high public percentage.

Example if 80% of public on team a and the line is at -3 that line should go up to -4 or -5 based on the high percentage of people, but in RLM it goes to -2 or -1

[sportsguy04]

I really wouldn't go by last years results. I'm not on it but GL

Please read whole thread, I'm not going based on last year, sayin it will be similar to last year. William smacks them at home after losing on the road.

[Fanatik]

Reverse line movement. When a big percent of public is on one team the line should move accordingly to reflect those percentages but RLM the line goes against that team that has a high public percentage.

Example if 80% of public on team a and the line is at -3 that line should go up to -4 or -5 based on the high percentage of people, but in RLM it goes to -2 or -1

I just meant the acronym... But thanks for everything else, I understand. It is odd to me that the first game on yesterdays card UCONN/SHALL was a RLM which did not cash and now today the same. This also looks like a great day for favorites to cover due to all the dogs that covered yesterday...

[sportsguy04]

Doesn't look like the 2 injured guys for northeastern will play tonight. Last game they only had 8 guys play, 2 of the 8 barely recorded a few minutes, making the starters play the whole game basically. William Mary gonna wear them out tonight.

[WMtribe17]

Man was really hoping this line would move to +3.

Guess I will wait in see if any late action comes on NE.

Over 131 looks like a pretty good play also. Even though NE runs a slow paced offense (W&M not much faster), I see both teams shooting 45-50% from the field. If there are as many 3s as I expect in this game, wouldn't be surprised if both teams hit 70.

[sportsguy04]

Wish I could find a reverse line and see what WM line up to -6 would be.

[hustlehard617]

At herritage -6 +248

[sportsguy04]

At herritage -6 +248

Very Interesting. Thanks.

[sportsguy04]

It appears WM likes to revenge their losses. They lost at Hofstra and Towson earlier this year, then beat them SU at home. Now it's NE's time.

[WMtribe17]

Looks like the line is still moving in W&Ms favor. Wouldn't be surprised if it moves to a PK soon at most shops.

[DavieVegas]

Looks like the line is still moving in W&Ms favor. Wouldn't be surprised if it moves to a PK soon at most shops.

Which means public is not on NE but the other way around. Im not touching this game

[sportsguy04]

Which means public is not on NE but the other way around. Im not touching this game

70% of public on ne. RLM

[WMtribe17]

Which means public is not on NE but the other way around. Im not touching this game

Still think about 70% of the public is on NE. Like sportsguy said earlier, RLM is the cause of the line shift, which is a good sign for W&M

[ridims]

What is the success rate of rlm teams on Mondays?

[PAULYPOKER]

RLM does not mean this particular play will cash especially since the game is not a huge public interest wagering wise,which means RLM in this game is reduced to a coin flip at best...........

[BiffTFinancial]

NE has gone into Williamsburg three times going back to 2009, all as a fave, all losing outright. let's hope that Shaver and the boys make it four tonight.

[sportsguy04]

RLM does not mean this particular play will cash especially since the game is not a huge public interest wagering wise,which means RLM in this game is reduced to a coin flip at best...........

My experience... When in small conferences these hit at a higher rate. Cause people that don't know shit about either team take the 10-1 team that's -2 over a 3-8 team: then when line goes to -1 they load up and crash and burn l.

[sportsguy04]

What is the success rate of rlm teams on Mondays?

College bball very high.

[PAULYPOKER]

My experience... When in small conferences these hit at a higher rate. Cause people that don't know shit about either team take the 10-1 team that's -2 over a 3-8 team: then when line goes to -1 they load up and crash and burn l.

I hope this one works out for you.........

[sportsguy04]

Alright every one I'm out. Be back after the game and celebrating. I'm telling ya William about to win by Double digits.

[ridims]

RLM does not mean this particular play will cash especially since the game is not a huge public interest wagering wise,which means RLM in this game is reduced to a coin flip at best...........

Thanks tips.

Now go fukurself in your own thread jerkoff.

[WMtribe17]

Alright every one I'm out. Be back after the game and celebrating. I'm telling ya William about to win by Double digits.

Doubt they win by DD. W&M's defense is too bad to blow out a good NE offense

[WMtribe17]

Line moved to WM -1

[OhMyEli]

The gods must hate you bud, NE starts off 8 for 8 from the field

[WMtribe17]

Good, Lee got his 2nd. That hurts NE

[alamo]

NE putting on a show from outside the arc 7/9. Wow, you wont even see that next week at the all stars.

[WMtribe17]

W&M just needs to close out on Joel Smith on defense and keep feeding the ball to Rusthoven in the paint. NE hit some very tough shots and hopefully they won't hit them in the 2nd half.