2/9 Favorable Matchup Plays... Thoughts?

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  • Crate Mayne
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-19-13
    • 655

    #1
    2/9 Favorable Matchup Plays... Thoughts?
    Didn't go too in-depth with looking at the spreads, but these two jumped out at me for value.

    Northeastern -4.5
    @ OD

    New coach for OD finally got them a win within the conference, but facing the #1 team in the conference is a tall order to ask for a repeat, even at home... Might buy some points to play it safe, or just roll with ML when it comes out, but should be quick 8+ pt win. Betting against OD is usually a quick way to fatten your wallet this year. Especially when books keep giving these low lines against them.

    Butler -3.5 @ George Washington

    #1 team in the conference... Sure it's an away game, but GW is below their talent level and that spread is tempting.



    Potential ML plays (depending on what they're released as)

    If these teams lose, they barely gave 50% effort
    S Illinois @ Indiana St
    DePaul @ Marquette
    Bowling Green @ Ohio
    Penn State @ Nebraska
    USF @ Villanova
    SF @ BYU
    Idaho @ Denver
    UTSA @ Tx-Arlington
    Southern Utah @ Weber State
    Saint Mary's
    @ San Diego <----Steamrolling, and won by 33 at home
    Texas Tech @ Louisiana Tech <---solid parlay closer if ML isn't astronomical
    Seattle @ New Mexico State <---solid parlay closer if ML isn't astronomical
    North Dakota @ Montana <---solid parlay closer if ML isn't astronomical


    Thoughts on any of these I posted? Shitload of teams I posted up, so most likely far from betting on them all... But there's definitely some solid matchups to take advantage of tomorrow depending on how the spreads move and ML's post. Most of the ML potentials I posted had -10 spreads (etc), and even though they should all hit, I don't like creeping into double digit spreads.

    And yes I realize I didn't post many top 20 teams, but I'd rather throw my money at more probable blowouts/wins than risk evenly matched major conference teams costing me a win... Mid-major conferences get no love around here, but their money is always good!
  • qb1789
    SBR Sharp
    • 12-22-12
    • 497

    #2
    Butler will not lose tmrw but I am gonna take the ml there. Oh and I like your ml parlays up to smc...San Diego is solid and at home idc if st Mary's is the second best in the wcc...still scares me. May make the exact same parlay if I wake up early enough tonmorow of course cuz sportsbook sucks. But big money on butler/ku ml tmrw for me!
    Comment
    • Crate Mayne
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-19-13
      • 655

      #3
      Good looks for feedback, but damn some of those last picks are the "safest" plays of the day... Most already blew out their matchup on the opponent's home court. I'll give it to ya that Mary's is a more risky play though, but I can see them winning. SD recently lost to SC at home pretty good, while Mary's just whupped SC on the road.

      And forgot to mention the ML plays were also great to look into for 10Min/1stH plays due to (some) previous commanding leads on their matchups. Not tryna drop -800 ML odds, so those other bets turn clutch at like -200 or so when it's a potential steamroll type game.
      Comment
      • enflip27
        SBR Rookie
        • 02-03-13
        • 44

        #4
        I'll be tailing you on Ind. St, Ohio, Marquette on the ML

        Northeastern on the spread
        Comment
        • WMtribe17
          SBR High Roller
          • 12-29-12
          • 230

          #5
          I'd watch out for Northeastern. They have played way down to the bad teams in the CAA this year. They struggled in both matchups against Hofstra (should have lost their last one against Hofstra) & at home against UNCW.

          I thought ODU actually looked good on offense for the 1st time this year against Drexel. They actually drove to the hoop and got to the FT line instead of settling for low percentage jump shots like they usually do. Not sure if that was because of their new interim coach or just a one time thing.

          Northeastern has been getting destroyed on the boards of late and ODU does a real good job of grabbing offensive boards.
          Comment
          • Fishscale
            SBR Sharp
            • 08-24-10
            • 411

            #6
            ODU just got a big win on the road. I could see them rattling off a few more and playing the spoiler. Most of their home games have been somewhat close from what I can remember.

            Butler is a no brainer, but staying away from that one. George Washington has a solid team.

            Almost a guarantee that one of those two plays loses straight up. I'd split the homedog moneylines.
            Comment
            • Crate Mayne
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-19-13
              • 655

              #7
              So far Butler/Marquette 1st 10 minute bets cashed quickly, and helped close out two big money 6 team open parlays... -120 10 min odds for Butler was a gift.

              Didn't play the Indiana St or Ohio games, and got lucky not playing ISU. They might come back for the win, but came out flat in the 1st and had to erase around a 15 pt deficit. Been chasing to take the lead ever since.

              BOL on those two plays Enflip, hopefully they pull them out
              Comment
              • WMtribe17
                SBR High Roller
                • 12-29-12
                • 230

                #8
                Apparently it was a one time thing. Baffling how this team continues to shoot 3s when they are 1-25 from 3.

                NE got beat mercilessly on the boards like I expected though... Otherwise it would have been a NE blowout
                Comment
                • Crate Mayne
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-19-13
                  • 655

                  #9
                  Yup, had me sweating for a minute there, but it turned out good. Couldn't believe all those 3s either! Down by 2 multiple times, and they still kept throwing up a 3 ball miss.

                  Took the ML/1st Half ML/Full Spread for the game. I haven't lost one bet yet today... I'm hoping it carries over into the late night matchups
                  Comment
                  • Crate Mayne
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-19-13
                    • 655

                    #10
                    Woooooo! Played 12 outta the 15 games listed, and whether 10 min, 1H, or ML, I hit EVERY single bet played. And that is what you call a PERFECT day!

                    Was also 14/15 on the matchups I posted, only loss being BYU...Luckily I only played 1st half of that one though, so I still walked away with a win.

                    Hope tomorrow doesn't bring me down to reality, and hope others had great results today! Crazy Lou vs ND game!
                    Comment
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