Money Line Parlay, Daily Discussion Thread

[Louisvillekid1]

Here's a link to a parlay calculator if anyone needs to bookmark one

http://www.parlaycalculator.com/

What do you guys think about using this thread to discuss possible ML Parlay PLays.

Seems like these are very popular plays I'd thought It be nice to have a thread just dedicated to these?

Anyway Here would be my Possible ML plays for tonight

BTW ( I only play home teams in these)

In order

James Madison -500
Alabama -290
Florida Atlantic -450
Michigan St -400 (Although Illinois has to put a good game together at some point)

That Parlay pays Close to +150,

Might be worth a shot... Maybe narrow it down to 3...

Thoughts?

[hoopdreams]

I'm looking at this, but my place doesn't have the ML up yet.

James Madison
Florida Atlantic
New Mexico St
East Kentucky
Tennessee St
Denver

[Legion#21]

I like that parlay minus Michigan St. Illinois should be very motivated tonight.

[Doeboy22]

Not worth the return maybe 2 of the lowest ml with a -110 spread line

[Louisvillekid1]

I'm nervous about MIch St as well...

If you take 'em out still pays $97 for every $100

[Legion#21]

Love Alabama and James Madison. What about AK St as the fourth team?

[BMaddz]

1. 1/31/2013 7:00 PM College Basketball 508 James Madison* -485 vs Hofstra
2. 1/31/2013 7:00 PM College Basketball 512 Michigan State* -380 vs Illinois
3. 1/31/2013 10:30 PM College Basketball 589 Montana* -220 vs Portland State

Risking $45.00 To Win $54.73

[Louisvillekid1]

Arky ST should get the W, But I'm not overly confident

[Louisvillekid1]

montana should win as well, but as stated before I only play home teams in these parlays...

[BMaddz]

James Madison, Eastern Kentucky, Weber State, Denver, FAU, Montana, Mich State.. lots of nice ones.. just gotta pick the right 3

[BMaddz]

montana should win as well, but as stated before I only play home teams in these parlays...

I usually go all home teams as well... Love Montana tonight however.. Good luck with whoever you go with

[Louisvillekid1]

Looks like JMU might bury everyone,

[BiffTFinancial]

four MLs that i like a lot:
Michigan State
George Mason
Bama
UConn

yeah, they're all pretty square, but there are good numbers in support of each. i'm not a huge trend guy, but i think that to the extent that they are relevant, they are most relevant with respect to win/loss SU in similar spots.

a couple of Sparty trends that Jeff Grant tweeted out:
Sparty 125-21 SU in Big Ten Conference home games under Tom Izzo at the Breslin Center
Sparty 34-8 ATS (40-2 SU) in their last 42 games as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points (yes, that's a long trend, but Izzo has been the coach the entire time)

also:
GMU 31-4 SU in home lined games last 3 years
Drexel 1-5 SU vs teams with winning record this season, 0-6 SU as medium dog (3'-6 pts) last three years, 1-8 SU at GMU

Bama 28-5 SU in home lined games last 3 years
Arky 2-13 SU at Bama, 6-25 SU as dog/3-20 SU on road last 3 years

UConn 7-0 SU as fave this year, 39-14 last 3 years
Providence 1-7 SU as dog this year, 8-26 SU at dog last 3 years

[Louisvillekid1]

four MLs that i like a lot:
Michigan State
George Mason
Bama
UConn

yeah, they're all pretty square, but there are good numbers in support of each. i'm not a huge trend guy, but i think that to the extent that they are relevant, they are most relevant with respect to win/loss SU in similar spots.

a couple of Sparty trends that Jeff Grant tweeted out:
Sparty 125-21 SU in Big Ten Conference home games under Tom Izzo at the Breslin Center
Sparty 34-8 ATS (40-2 SU) in their last 42 games as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points (yes, that's a long trend, but Izzo has been the coach the entire time)

also:
GMU 31-4 SU in home lined games last 3 years
Drexel 1-5 SU vs teams with winning record this season, 0-6 SU as medium dog (3'-6 pts) last three years, 1-8 SU at GMU

Bama 28-5 SU in home lined games last 3 years
Arky 2-13 SU at Bama, 6-25 SU as dog/3-20 SU on road last 3 years

UConn 7-0 SU as fave this year, 39-14 last 3 years
Providence 1-7 SU as dog this year, 8-26 SU at dog last 3 years

Good post but UConn will have their hands full tonight... Tough call

[BiffTFinancial]

also love this one: Illinois on a 1-9 SU run in Big Ten road games. they've won one conf road game this year (Nebraska), one last year (Northwestern) and two the year before (Iowa, Minnesota). and they just completely rolled over and died against Michigan when they had a prime opportunity at home with Jordan Morgan getting hurt early.

[BiffTFinancial]

Good post but UConn will have their hands full tonight... Tough call

agree. those trends are admittedly a lot weaker than the others because they treat all games as fave/dog equally. obviously, a game with a one-possession line is a lot tighter and those trends arguably less relevant. the thing that i like is that the line opened at a pk with kenpom having UConn losing by 1 and it moved 1.5 points the other way yesterday afternoon. sure, the public's on UConn, but they weren't on them at 4 pm yesterday.

[bossman71]

just curious how you ended up with +150 at the end of your ML parlay LK? not sure how you calculate that if they are all favorites...

[Louisvillekid1]

Plug them in the calculator

[Louisvillekid1]

Looks like plenty of winners in this thread!

[mets710]

Played a Mich St, FAU, James Madison ML parlay.. Feels great

[Louisvillekid1]

well done mets, this thread seems to already be productive on the first day,

We will keep it going

[mets710]

I like it, I'm a big ML guy.. Made a lot of profit off of them, you just gotta find the right plays. I mainly go for home favorites.

[bjb7223]

kid i think you might be onto something with this ml parlay thing.

[Louisvillekid1]

It can be another weapon if used right

[TheBetBuysDanK]

well done, sirs.

I was too busy today to book any action, but I hope to be able to contribute to thread as we move forward.

congrats on the cashes!

[Louisvillekid1]

Dank the thread is dedicated to you pal

[TheBetBuysDanK]

Dank the thread is dedicated to you pal

[bjb7223]

any parlays tonight?

[CashDummy]

Harvard -650
Detroit -700
Princeton -1050
Valpo -7000

Bet $10 to Win $4.65

Doesnt pay much. Guess you have to include O/U or ATS for better payout

[Big Bear]

Playing this ML Parlay tomorrow in college hoops its a long shot but it will pay out outstanding if it hits...


Gonzaga
Arizona
Washington
UNLV
Indiana
Arkansas State
Louisiana Tech
New Mexico
Iowa State
St. Marys
Colorado State
Florida
Ohio State
NC State
Kansas
Butler
Charlotte 49ers
St. Louis

[Louisvillekid1]

Illinois St is my favorite ML play today under -700 (normally the highest I'll parlay)

Maryland Looks good as well

[bjb7223]

Playing this ML Parlay tomorrow in college hoops its a long shot but it will pay out outstanding if it hits...


Gonzaga
Arizona
Washington
UNLV
Indiana
Arkansas State
Louisiana Tech
New Mexico
Iowa State
St. Marys
Colorado State
Florida
Ohio State
NC State
Kansas
Butler
Charlotte 49ers
St. Louis

i'll tail

[Louisvillekid1]

Playing this ML Parlay tomorrow in college hoops its a long shot but it will pay out outstanding if it hits...


Gonzaga
Arizona
Washington
UNLV
Indiana
Arkansas State
Louisiana Tech
New Mexico
Iowa State
St. Marys
Colorado State
Florida
Ohio State
NC State
Kansas
Butler
Charlotte 49ers
St. Louis

Bear you're crazy!

What does that pay?