Thurs, Dec 4 Dogs that should be Favs, YTD 112-89 +7,500 units

[MoneySportsGuy]

curious how do you do round robin parlays i dont get how you do that?

[curious]

curious how do you do round robin parlays i dont get how you do that?

Did you see my explanation? Go to your sportsbook website and there will be a way to bet round robins. Give a list of teams you want and then say how many teams in each parlay. Then give an amount to bet. That is the amount per game, so whatever you put wil be multiplied by the total number of games.

[dob08]

Not sure what you are talking about. The moneyline dogs win at a ratio > 50%. Moneyline dogs where the spread is greater than 10 points don't have to win very much. I also hedge the moneyline play with 2X on the spread.

I mentioned that the model works. I just said that the bigger spreads, where you bet the money line, are costing you money. Buffaloe will not win, and will not ever win. So why bet the moneyline. I agree on the smaller spreads, crackhead, but not the ones that there is no chance. I'm not killing your strategy, just think it would work even better with a couple extra formulas.

[curious]

So it looks like if they are only 1-6 point favs, they sometimes work. But 10point +, doesn't look so good.

I don't know what that spreadsheet shows, it isn't showing all the games when I try to look at it, I don't know what is wrong with it.

[curious]

I mentioned that the model works. I just said that the bigger spreads, where you bet the money line, are costing you money. Buffaloe will not win, and will not ever win. So why bet the moneyline. I agree on the smaller spreads, crackhead, but not the ones that there is no chance. I'm not killing your strategy, just think it would work even better with a couple extra formulas.

I think I have only played 3 or 4 with spreads that large. As soon as I don't bet one of them it will win. I'm not worried about it

[MoneySportsGuy]

curious checek the other thread and see if you can help me out with round robins

[dob08]

I don't know what that spreadsheet shows, it isn't showing all the games when I try to look at it, I don't know what is wrong with it.

You have to double click on it, then it will show it. But some spreads are missing. Listen, I like your model and think it is a fascinating way to beat the odds. I just think you can put some equations in to tweak it and make it better to win even more money. That's all. NOT hating on you at all.

[curious]

You have to double click on it, then it will show it. But some spreads are missing. Listen, I like your model and think it is a fascinating way to beat the odds. I just think you can put some equations in to tweak it and make it better to win even more money. That's all. NOT hating on you at all.

Don't worry, I call everyone crackhead.

[Wizard]

He picked Michigan St last night over UNC. OH, that's right, that was a 35 point win by UNC. The fact is, the model isn't very accurate on the fact that the underdog upsets the larger spreads, but the overall system works. No way is it smart to take Buffaloe ML, or MICH St. money line last night, when clearly there is no way it will pay off. Unless a terrorist takes out the team. But, who am I to say it won't happen.

i agree wholeheartedly. i was thinking the exact same thing. for instance...you dont freaking bet New Mexico State ML against Kansas last night. come on. save yourself some money.

[africanroller]

The bottom line is if you are winning money then who cares. If the system works then use it until it doesnt.

[curious]

Most of our plays had line moves in our favor...

I just noticed that most of our plays had line moves in our favor. Hmmm, I wonder if that is happening every night. I wasn't watching that before.

[africanroller]

The Okie St is moving away. Now -6.5, dont think im touching that one

[curious]

The Okie St is moving away. Now -6.5, dont think im touching that one

Oklahoma St is +6 1/2 crackhead. Easy money

[Goldfisch]

Curious, please dont be offended by the guys who are criticizing you, you are doing a great job!!!

[africanroller]

sorry I meant +6.5. This game opened at 5. Heavy money coming in on Washington to move the spread that much on this one.

[Lout84]

curious, what thread are you going to post 2Half plays in?

[curious]

curious, what thread are you going to post 2Half plays in?

separate thread for each 2H play

[MoneySportsGuy]

another fun night in college basketball!

[curious]

ALL of our plays are green lights right now!!!

[MoneySportsGuy]

yeah right on cruious lets keep this up man!!!!!

[Husker36]

I just noticed that most of our plays had line moves in our favor. Hmmm, I wonder if that is happening every night. I wasn't watching that before.

No. That has NOT been a trend. I have been tracking line movements along with your picks this week. This is the first night that the line has moved in your favor. The majority of your picks (like Rhode Island and Penn St last night) the line kept moving yet still covered.

So where are all the crackheads that were laughing when you said Buffalo had a chance to beat Uconn??

[Lout84]

Losing Youngstown St

[MoneySportsGuy]

I did various teasers and parlays

[curious]

I did various teasers and parlays

I wish you had done that 6 team round robin rr 2,3,4,5,6 like I told you to!!

[africanroller]

Kent st wont hit but the rest of the early games are looking good.

[MoneySportsGuy]

yeah i think that one was risk 114 win 1200 but in that book didnt have much so didnt want to pull it

[MoneySportsGuy]

so for that, do they all have to win or can like 3 of combos win and you still win those?

[Lout84]

Charleston Final!!! Win!!

[MoneySportsGuy]

what was score on that?I had Charleston -4.5

[curious]

so for that, do they all have to win or can like 3 of combos win and you still win those?

each parlay is graded separately

[curious]

Citadel wins on the moneyline!!!!

charleston covers!!!

[MoneySportsGuy]

wow curious going to definitely do some round robins with picks tomorrrow never tried them before

[africanroller]

77-69

[Lout84]

77-69, cover!

what is the deal with youngstown?? the game isn't even close anymore! anyone watching it?

[Lout84]

Curious, do you like Butler -.5 in the 2H?