I have slain the dragon when it comes to college basketball. I have successfully tracked over 6000 games from the previous two seasons and created my model based on that. Is it data hedging? Yes, initially but you have to start somewhere...
I have spent 3 years on this project almost every day for 4-8 hours a day. I quit my job, waited tables at night, but I finally there. I am now averaging north of 60% -110 over the course of the last 400 games. Since Dec 11 2012.
My final demon... is to remove myself from the execution equation. I was screwing it up by having too many beers etc... and betting stupid rather than just stick with the program. I have agreed to pay a buddy of mine 10% just to place the bets for me.
Anyway, picks from yesterday... use far right column...
I have spent 3 years on this project almost every day for 4-8 hours a day. I quit my job, waited tables at night, but I finally there. I am now averaging north of 60% -110 over the course of the last 400 games. Since Dec 11 2012.
My final demon... is to remove myself from the execution equation. I was screwing it up by having too many beers etc... and betting stupid rather than just stick with the program. I have agreed to pay a buddy of mine 10% just to place the bets for me.
Anyway, picks from yesterday... use far right column...
| 11:00 | Syracuse | Villanova | 137 | N | N |
| 12:00 | Georgia State | Drexel | 122 | O | O |
| 12:00 | Ohio State | Penn State | 128.5 | N | N |
| 12:00 | Notre Dame | USF | 119.5 | O | O |
| 12:00 | Louisville | Georgetown | 120 | O | O |
| 13:00 | West Virginia | Oklahoma State | 127 | N | N |
| 13:00 | Boston College | Virginia | 117 | O | O |
| 13:00 | Maryland | Duke | 139 | U | U |
| 13:00 | Rhode Island | Fordham | 136.5 | N | N |
| 13:00 | Northern Iowa | Indiana State | 126 | N | N |
| 13:45 | Arkansas | South Carolina | 152 | U | N |
| 13:45 | Kansas State | Iowa State | 133 | U | U |
| 14:00 | Minnesota | Wisconsin | 125 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Charlotte | George Washington | 124 | N | N |
| 14:00 | North Carolina-Wilmington | Hofstra | 128.5 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Rice | Tulane | 124 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Alabama | Tennessee | 122.5 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Cleveland State | Youngstown State | 137 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Dartmouth | Harvard | 127 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Providence | Marquette | 133.5 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Brown | Yale | 118.5 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Marshall | Memphis | 138 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Northern Illinois | Eastern Michigan | 107.5 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Elon | Citadel | 136 | U | U |
| 14:00 | Georgia Southern | Western Carolina | 125.5 | N | N |
| 14:00 | Davidson | Appalachian State | 141 | N | N |
| 15:00 | Northwestern | Nebraska | 116 | O | O |
| 15:00 | Wake Forest | Georgia Tech | 127 | O | O |
| 15:00 | Ball State | Miami (OH) | 128 | N | N |
| 15:00 | North Dakota State | South Dakota State | 127 | N | N |
| 16:00 | New Mexico | San Diego State | 130 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Detroit | Loyola (IL) | 139.5 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Southern Methodist | UCF | 129 | U | U |
| 16:00 | LSU | Kentucky | 141 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Boise State | Nevada | 142 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Duquesne | Dayton | 149.5 | O | N |
| 16:00 | Baylor | TCU | 120 | O | O |
| 16:00 | Oklahoma | Kansas | 134 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Saint Louis | St. Bonaventure | 132.5 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Old Dominion | James Madison | 126 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Depaul | Pittsburgh | 139 | N | N |
| 16:00 | UCLA | Arizona State | 142 | N | O |
| 16:00 | Southern Miss | Tulsa | 129 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Santa Clara | San Diego | 137 | N | N |
| 16:00 | Western Kentucky | Middle Tennessee | 124 | N | N |
| 16:00 | North Dakota | Northern Arizona | 141.5 | N | N |
| 17:00 | Troy | Louisiana-Monroe | 122 | N | O |
| 17:00 | Vanderbilt | Missouri | 126.5 | N | N |
| 17:00 | Washington State | Oregon State | 133.5 | N | N |
| 17:00 | Western Illinois | Oakland | 123.5 | U | U |
| 17:30 | Murray State | Jacksonville State | 126 | N | N |
| 18:00 | Georgia | Texas A&M | 113 | N | N |
| 18:00 | Ohio | Kent State | 142 | U | U |
| 18:00 | Xavier | Saint Joseph's | 126 | N | N |
| 18:00 | Temple | Butler | 130 | N | N |
| 18:00 | UAB | Houston | 161 | U | N |
| 18:00 | Pepperdine | Saint Marys Ca | 128 | O | O |
| 18:15 | Nebraska Omaha | UMKC | 151.5 | N | N |
| 19:00 | UTEP | East Carolina | 131 | N | N |
| 19:00 | Bowling Green | Toledo | 127 | N | N |
| 19:00 | Western Michigan | Central Michigan | 135 | U | U |
| 19:00 | Buffalo | Akron | 132 | N | N |
| 19:00 | Cornell | Columbia | 128.5 | O | O |
| 19:00 | Illinois-Chicago | Wright State | 114 | O | O |
| 19:00 | Washington | Oregon | 138 | N | N |
| 19:00 | USC | Arizona | 138 | N | N |
| 19:00 | Towson | William & Mary | 135 | N | N |
| 19:00 | UC Irvine | Long Beach State | 141 | N | N |
| 19:00 | North Carolina | North Carolina State | 157 | U | U |
| 19:00 | Hawaii | UC Santa Barbara | 138 | N | N |
| 19:00 | Charleston | Wofford | 116 | O | O |
| 19:00 | Southeast Missouri State | Eastern Illinois | 131.5 | N | N |
| 19:00 | IUPUI | IPFW | 135 | N | N |
| 19:00 | Belmont | Eastern Kentucky | 142 | N | N |
| 19:30 | Tennessee State | Morehead State | 134.5 | N | N |
| 20:00 | San Francisco | Gonzaga | 147 | U | U |
| 20:00 | Texas Tech | Texas | 129 | N | N |
| 20:00 | La Salle | Virginia Commonwealth | 139.5 | N | N |
| 20:00 | Florida | Mississippi State | 123 | N | N |
| 20:00 | Bradley | Wichita State | 129 | N | N |
| 20:00 | Evansville | Illinois State | 141 | N | N |
| 20:00 | Arkansas-Little Rock | North Texas | 131 | N | N |
| 20:00 | Mississippi | Auburn | 140 | N | N |
| 20:00 | Tennessee-Martin | SIU-Edwardsville | 136.5 | N | N |
| 20:30 | Florida Atlantic | Arkansas State | 123.5 | N | N |
| 20:30 | Austin Peay | Tennessee Tech | 141 | N | N |
| 21:00 | Louisiana Tech | Utah State | 135 | N | N |
| 21:00 | Eastern Washington | Southern Utah | 135 | N | N |
| 21:00 | Weber State | Montana | 133.5 | N | N |
| 21:00 | Idaho State | Montana State | 122 | N | N |
| 22:00 | Air Force | Wyoming | 119 | U | U |
| 22:00 | Texas State | Seattle | 157 | N | N |
| 22:00 | Texas-Arlington | San Jose State | 121 | N | N |
| 22:00 | Texas-San Antonio | Idaho | 142.5 | N | N |
| 22:00 | Colorado State | Fresno State | 123 | N | N |
| 22:00 | Cal State Northridge | Cal Poly | 149.5 | N | N |
| 22:00 | Cal State Fullerton | Pacific | 151 | N | N |
| 22:00 | UC Riverside | UC Davis | 129 | O | O |
| 22:00 | Northern Colorado | Sacramento State | 130 | O | O |
| 22:30 | Brigham Young | Portland | 133.5 | O | O |