CBB - Tuesday, 1/15/13

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    CBB - Tuesday, 1/15/13
    2 CBB Plays Tuesday


    Central Michigan -1.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
    Northern Iowa +12.5 -108 (Heritage)


    YTD: 180-170-7, -0.27
  • PorkChop
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-18-08
    • 8193

    #2
    Eastern Mich 7-2 at home, Central 1-5 on the road.
    Comment
    • LT Profits
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-27-06
      • 90963

      #3
      Every single team that Central Michigan lost to is ranked considerably higher than Eastern Michigan (297th). Central is ranked a full 100 spots higher (197th). Eastern ranks 344th out of 347 D-I teams in effective field goal percentage, and looking at the 7-2 at home. they have one good win (Purdue) and the two losses came to Oakland and 278th ranked Ball State.
      Comment
      • RetardStrength
        SBR MVP
        • 01-25-10
        • 1478

        #4
        I agree with LT here on C Mich... Good luck tonight
        Comment
        • RavensFan2k3
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 08-18-12
          • 17378

          #5
          Im alittle worried about Northern Iowa
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            CBB 4-Play

            Originally posted by LT Profits
            2 CBB Plays Tuesday


            Central Michigan -1.5 -110 (Bookmaker)
            Northern Iowa +12.5 -108 (Heritage)


            YTD: 180-170-7, -0.27
            Adding:

            Wake Forest / Clemson OVER 57.5 -110 (First Half) (Heritage)
            Wisconsin / Indiana UNDER 132.5 -105 (5 Dimes)


            CBB Card Complete
            Comment
            • RavensFan2k3
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-18-12
              • 17378

              #7
              Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
              Im alittle worried about Northern Iowa
              Do you have a write up for this? If so, I would love to read it. Thank you.
              Comment
              • LT Profits
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 10-27-06
                • 90963

                #8
                Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                Do you have a write up for this? If so, I would love to read it. Thank you.
                Northern Iowa offense plays very slow, ranking 296th in tempo rating, and Creighton doesn't have the defense to disrupt it, ranking 290th in defensive turnover percentage. McDermott has only averaged around 15 points in five games vs. UNI because the Panthers have a bigger guy (Jake Koch) that has always defended him well.
                Comment
                • AlwaysDrawing
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-20-09
                  • 657

                  #9
                  Congrats on turning your season around.
                  Comment
                  • LT Profits
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 10-27-06
                    • 90963

                    #10
                    Originally posted by AlwaysDrawing
                    Congrats on turning your season around.
                    Thanks bud!
                    Comment
                    • OhMyEli
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-17-12
                      • 1164

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      Thanks bud!
                      I have not been too active here as I've been busier and was also in Vegas, but very surprised to see you've turned it around considering how miserable you were doing earlier. Has this just been the statistical norming or did you change anything? I saw you've been getting a lot of the +1 and half point wins, but anything more fundamental?

                      My question on Creighton though is they only really struggle when a team takes jumpshots against them. UNI is pretty bad in offensive efficiency and I wonder if they can shoot enough in terms of pure bulk as Creighton is pretty poor defensively but can play offense well. I see a 15+ win for Creighton honestly, unless UNI can shoot a lot and for a high percentage.
                      Comment
                      • CashDummy
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 12-13-12
                        • 328

                        #12
                        Originally posted by OhMyEli
                        I have not been too active here as I've been busier and was also in Vegas, but very surprised to see you've turned it around considering how miserable you were doing earlier. Has this just been the statistical norming or did you change anything? I saw you've been getting a lot of the +1 and half point wins, but anything more fundamental?

                        My question on Creighton though is they only really struggle when a team takes jumpshots against them. UNI is pretty bad in offensive efficiency and I wonder if they can shoot enough in terms of pure bulk as Creighton is pretty poor defensively but can play offense well. I see a 15+ win for Creighton honestly, unless UNI can shoot a lot and for a high percentage.
                        I bet against Creighton in their last 2 games and what a fatal mistake that was. I thought this would be a good spot for UNI and should be able to hold Creighton to a close game. On the other hand if Creighton breaks lose they can easily win by DD as they did against Drake and Mo. Looking back we can see that Indiana State beat UNI at UNI's home and Creighton beat Indiana State by 13 or so at Creighton home court. Historically Creighton struggles with UNI at home but I think the 3 pointers might make the difference this time around.

                        I'm staying far from this game as possible since there are better games for wagers
                        Comment
                        • LT Profits
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 10-27-06
                          • 90963

                          #13
                          Originally posted by OhMyEli
                          I have not been too active here as I've been busier and was also in Vegas, but very surprised to see you've turned it around considering how miserable you were doing earlier. Has this just been the statistical norming or did you change anything? I saw you've been getting a lot of the +1 and half point wins, but anything more fundamental?

                          My question on Creighton though is they only really struggle when a team takes jumpshots against them. UNI is pretty bad in offensive efficiency and I wonder if they can shoot enough in terms of pure bulk as Creighton is pretty poor defensively but can play offense well. I see a 15+ win for Creighton honestly, unless UNI can shoot a lot and for a high percentage.
                          No I didn't change a thing, but the reality is that I got basically everything back in one day by going 20-3 with several + odds winners on Saturday. So the consistency still hasn't been there for me. As for this game, UNI may slow the pace down so much that Creighton may not get enough possessions to win by as much as they would with a "normal" pace, especially if Koch defends McDermitt well again. Then again, Creighton could also start the game with a 16-0 lead and blow UNI's strategy to hell. There are no guarantees, but I did see Pinny go to 10.5 a little while ago.
                          Comment
                          • OhMyEli
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-17-12
                            • 1164

                            #14
                            Originally posted by LT Profits
                            No I didn't change a thing, but the reality is that I got basically everything back in one day by going 20-3 with several + odds winners on Saturday. So the consistency still hasn't been there for me. As for this game, UNI may slow the pace down so much that Creighton may not get enough possessions to win by as much as they would with a "normal" pace, especially if Koch defends McDermitt well again. Then again, Creighton could also start the game with a 16-0 lead and blow UNI's strategy to hell. There are no guarantees, but I did see Pinny go to 10.5 a little while ago.
                            I see bud, well good luck. I'd love to tail but ill wait until you keep up the good work. I'm going with Creighton TT o72
                            Comment
                            • southpaw74
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-21-09
                              • 7104

                              #15
                              Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                              Do you have a write up for this? If so, I would love to read it. Thank you.
                              Creighton 12-3 ats is enought to worry me. But I understand the northern slow play angle to.
                              Comment
                              • nicktran808
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 12-30-12
                                • 276

                                #16
                                Heading to the Creighton game now. Will report in.
                                Comment
                                • onacloud
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-14-10
                                  • 5360

                                  #17
                                  Michigan line going crazy Central Michigan +2 and +120 ML

                                  I locked in the -1 wish I would've waited 5 min and grabbed the +120 ML
                                  Comment
                                  • RavensFan2k3
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-18-12
                                    • 17378

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by onacloud
                                    Michigan line going crazy Central Michigan +2 and +120 ML

                                    I locked in the -1 wish I would've waited 5 min and grabbed the +120 ML
                                    I was gonna ask, should we be worried about the line movement?
                                    Comment
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