DumbMoney's College Hoops

dumbmoney · 01-11-13, 06:40 AM

Decent night. Little worried about a posting jinx, but it turned out ok. [6-4 (+9.65 Units)] Will look at tonight games later.

1/10/13

Detroit -2 (5 Units) w +5
Ark St. -10.5 (5 Units) L -5.5
Ark LR -3.5 (5 Units) w +5
South Al +2 (4 units)/ML +110 (1 unit) W +5.1
Temple -3 (4 Units) L -4.4
Oregon +1.5 (3 units) W +3
Tex Arl +1.5 (3 units) W +3
Old D +11 (2 units) / half ML+290 (.2 units) (small) L -2.4
Neb-Omaha +6(2 units) / ML+210(.5 unit) (small) w +3.05
SE Miss St +17 (2 units) L-2.2

dumbmoney · 01-11-13, 09:40 AM

Some small plays tonight. Utah St doesn't blow a lot of teams out, and SJST doesn't get blown out that much. I think they have a good chance to keep within the number here. Niagara is a streaky team but if they shoot to their potential think they can win by double digit here. And a tiny play on wright st ML just because I think they are a live dog.

SJST +9.5 (2.5 units)
Niagara -2 (2 units)
SJST +5.5 (-115) 1st half (1 unit)
Wright St ML +150 (1 unit)

Will probably add a very small SJST half ML when I get the line.

Good luck.

Fade or follow at your own risk.

RavensFan2k3 · 01-11-13, 10:03 AM

I like Wright St, but I think I'll take the points

Fatjack · 01-11-13, 10:15 AM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

I like Wright St, but I think I'll take the points

Love them with the points.

dumbmoney · 01-11-13, 11:05 AM

Now that I got the line I'm adding a very small half ML on SJST
SJST 1st Half ML+260 (0.2 units)

I play a lot of basketball ML on small dogs just because I think there is usually value there although obviously it is more risky. If it was a bigger play I'd usually split it up between the points and ml, but since I'm keeping this play small decided to just put it all on the ml.

Good luck

dumbmoney · 01-11-13, 09:00 PM

Adding 1 unit Creighton/Missouri St O 67.5 2nd half

dumbmoney · 01-11-13, 11:33 PM

Nice night. [3-1 (+5.7 units)] but also hit the Wright ML that doesn't count in the record. Would have been almost perfect if I didn't lose the creighton half by the hook, but can't win them all. Did get some close ones tonight so it balances out.

Season posted plays[9-5 (+15.35 units)]

SJST +9.5 (2.5 units) W +2.5
Niagara -2 (2 units) W +2
SJST +5.5 (-115) 1st half (1 unit) W +1
Wright St ML +150 (1 unit) +1.5
Adding 1 unit Creighton/Missouri St O 67.5 2nd half L -1.1
SJST 1st half ML (.2 unit) -0.2

Just starting to look at the card tomorrow. Overall I think I have a little bit of an edge, but I don't always run this good, so once again fade or follow at your own risk.

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 01:07 AM

1/12/13
Towson Pick (2 Units) - Think this team has surprised a lot of people this year. They've been so historically bad, that people's perceptions are that they suck. But this is an almost totally different team this year, and they've shown that this year they don't suck. They've won some tough road games and have stood toe to toe with some good teams. This play does have some risks( they're last game was a double ot winner on wednesday, northeastern has been improving lately, and schools out of session so home advantage may be a little muted) but I still think they match up well against Northeastern, and have to take them in a pk em at home.

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 01:37 AM

Bradley +6 1.5 units /ML (0.5 units) [will fill in the + amount when I lock it in the morning). Even with Egolf not playing with the team they've been playing decent, and think 6 is just too many points for them at northern iowa.

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 01:50 AM

Charlottte -2 (2 units). Kind of afraid I'm missing something here which is the only reason I'm not putting more on this play. I actually was thinking RI as a team have played some teams and to keep my eye out for some value with their lines, but in this spot I feel like they are being overvalued. Think they're a decent team, but still think Charlotte wins this one, and if they win its not that hard to cover 2.

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 02:06 AM

ND -8.5 (1 Unit)

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 02:24 AM

Ill +6 1 unit / ML +.2 units - I know its kind of a square play but I think 6 is too many here.

numismatist · 01-12-13, 02:27 AM

I like the Illinois play but I am on the other side with Charlotte....BOL to you sir.

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 02:53 AM

Thanks. You too.

My saturday card (may add some later games)

SMU -1 (3 units)
Montana St +3.5 (2.5 units)/ML 0.5 units /0.3 units half ML.
Texas St +3.5 (2 units)/ML 0.4 units /0.2 units half ML
Charlotte -2 (2 units)
Towson Pick (2 Units)
Bradley +6 (1.5 units) /ML (0.5 units)
LSU +11 (1 unit)
Ill +6 (1 unit) / ML +0.2 units
ND -8.5 (1 Unit)

I know I play a ton of games. I play them very small for now, this is still kind of a trial run for me. I've been picking games for a number of years with some bad and good seasons, but I've never been organized enough to actually document my plays, and practice stricter money management. I did pretty well last season, and have been doing decent so far this one, but I'm tracking this to kind of see exactly how much of an edge I have (if any). Good luck. Fade or follow at your own risk.

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 09:31 AM

Adding Duke/NCST O 149 (1 unit) - Kelly out hurts this play but I still think it gets there. Expect a fairly close high tempo/high scoring game that should land in the range of forced fouls at the end of the game pushing the total up.

Also got ML amounts now so locking them in. Still waiting on the small half ml plays.

Good luck.

My saturday card (may add some later games)

SMU -1 (3 units)
Montana St +3.5 (2.5 units)/ML +140 (0.5 units) /0.3 units half ML.
Texas St +3.5 (2 units)/ML +150 (0.4 units) /0.2 units half ML
Charlotte -2 (2 units)
Towson Pick (2 Units)
Bradley +6 (1.5 units) /ML +220 (0.5 units)
LSU +11 (1 unit)
Ill +6 (1 unit) / ML +220 (0.2 units )
ND -8.5 (1 Unit)
Duke/NCST O 149 (1 unit)

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 12:27 PM

Early games off to a good start. Can finally lock in half ML's so I'm doing it. Surprised both of these games moved away from me. I still like them and may actually add to the plays closer to game time.

My saturday card (may add some later games)

SMU -1 (3 units)
Montana St +3.5 (2.5 units)/ML +140 (0.5 units) /(0.3) units half ML +140.
Texas St +3.5 (2 units)/ML +150 (0.4 units) /(0.2) units half ML +130
Charlotte -2 (2 units)
Towson Pick (2 Units)
Bradley +6 (1.5 units) /ML +220 (0.5 units)
LSU +11 (1 unit)
Ill +6 (1 unit) / ML +220 (0.2 units )
ND -8.5 (1 Unit)
Duke/NCST O 149 (1 unit)

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 05:54 PM

Really ugly day so far.

Adding Utah -3 (2.5 units)

dumbmoney · 01-12-13, 06:07 PM

Central Florida +1 (0.5 units)/ ML +105 (2 units)

dumbmoney · 01-13-13, 12:03 AM

Really horrible day for me in hoops. By far worst of the season. [3-9 -15.5 units]

Did great on the playoffs but it still hurts a lot. Lost everything I won the last two days. Back to the grind.

Thread total 12-14 (-0.15 units)

dumbmoney · 01-13-13, 12:03 AM

SMU -1 (3 units) W +3
Montana St +3.5 (2.5 units)/ML +140 (0.5 units) /(0.3) units half ML +140. L -3.55
Texas St +3.5 (2 units)/ML +150 (0.4 units) /(0.2) units half ML +130 L -2.8
Charlotte -2 (2 units) W +2
Towson Pick (2 Units) L -2.2
Bradley +6 (1.5 units) /ML +220 (0.5 units) L -2.15
LSU +11 (1 unit) L -1.1
Ill +6 (1 unit) / ML +220 (0.2 units ) L -1.3
ND -8.5 (1 Unit) L -1.1
Duke/NCST O 149 (1 unit) W +1
Adding Utah -3 (2.5 units) L -2.75
Central Florida +1 (0.5 units)/ ML +105 (2 units) L -2.55

numismatist · 01-13-13, 12:43 AM

Get em next time bud.....

dumbmoney · 01-13-13, 09:02 AM

Going to try and bounce back today.

Sun 1/13

My card so far:

Manhattan -6.5 (3 units)
Niagara +5.5 ( 2 units)
ASU +9.5 (1.5 units)
Evansville +3.5 (1 unit)

May add some ML's later and probably a first half play on ASU.

Good luck.

dumbmoney · 01-13-13, 09:12 AM

Locking it in now:

Updated card:

Manhattan -6.5 (3 units)
Niagara +5.5 ( 2 units)/ ML+200 (0.5 units)
ASU +9.5 (1.5 units)/ML +400 (0.15 units)
ASU 1st Half +5.5 (-115) (1 unit)
Evansville +3.5 (1 unit)/ML +135 (0.2 units)

dumbmoney · 01-13-13, 01:26 PM

Adding:

Mich/OH St O 137.5 (1.5 units)
and adding to the evansville play

Updated card:

Manhattan -6.5 (3 units)
Niagara +5.5 ( 2 units)/ ML+200 (0.5 units)
Evansville +3.5 (2 units)/ML +140 (0.4 units)
Mich/Oh St O 137.5 (1.5 units)
ASU +9.5 (1.5 units)/ML +400 (0.15 units)
ASU 1st Half +5.5 (-115) (1 unit)

dumbmoney · 01-13-13, 11:00 PM

Originally posted by numismatist

Get em next time bud.....

Happy that I did. Really nice bounce back day for me. [5-1] (+9.26 units)] with a lot of ML money. My only regret was that I really liked some of the plays today but probably played them a little smaller because I was a little gun shy after yesterday. But can't get greedy. Good to get back on the plus money side. This is kind of the way the whole season has been going for me. Feast or famine every day with not a lot in between.

Thread total (17-15 [+9.11 units])

Manhattan -6.5 (3 units) W +3
Niagara +5.5 ( 2 units)/ ML+200 (0.5 units) W +3
Evansville +3.5 (2 units)/ML +140 (0.4 units) W +2.56
Mich/Oh St O 137.5 (1.5 units) L -1.65
ASU +9.5 (1.5 units)/ML +400 (0.15 units) W +1.35
ASU 1st Half +5.5 (-115) (1 unit) W +1

dumbmoney · 01-14-13, 10:10 AM

Monday 1/14

Jackson St/Prairie View A&M U 134.5 ( 3 units)
Baylor +10.5 (2 units)/ML +475 (0.2 units)
Baylor/Kansas O 142.5 (1.5 units)
Parlay: Baylor +10.5/O142.5 +264 (0.5 units)

Will probably add a small play on Baylor 1st half.

Good luck. Fade or follow at your own risk.

dumbmoney · 01-14-13, 10:37 AM

Adding Baylor +6 1st Half (0.7 units)/ML +280 (0.2 units)

Updated Card:
Jackson St/Prairie View A&M U 134.5 ( 3 units)
Baylor +10.5 (2 units)/ML +475 (0.2 units)
Baylor/Kansas O 142.5 (1.5 units)
Baylor 1st Half +6 (0.7 units)/ML +280 (0.2 units)
Parlay: Baylor +10.5/O142.5 +264 (0.5 units)

dumbmoney · 01-14-13, 03:04 PM

Adding:
Louisville Over 132 (1.5 units)
Louisville -6.5 (1 unit)
Parlay: LVille -6.5/O132 (0.2 units)

Updated Card:
Jackson St/Prairie View A&M U 134.5 ( 3 units)
Baylor +10.5 (2 units)/ML +475 (0.2 units)
Baylor/Kansas O 142.5 (1.5 units)
L'Ville/UCONN O 132 (1.5 units)
L'ville -6.5 (1 unit)
Baylor 1st Half +6 (0.7 units)/ML +280 (0.2 units)
Parlay: Baylor +10.5/O142.5 +264 (0.5 units)
Parlay: L'Ville -6.5 /O 132 +264 (0.2 units)

dumbmoney · 01-14-13, 11:33 PM

Ugly day. Baylor didn't show up, and just missed the total/parlay in louisville/ uconn game. The difference between a winning and losing day.
Day: [2-4 (-3.37 Units)]

Thread Total [19-19 ( +5.74 units)]

Jackson St/Prairie View A&M U 134.5 ( 3 units) W +3
Baylor +10.5 (2 units)/ML +475 (0.2 units) L -2.4
Baylor/Kansas O 142.5 (1.5 units) L -1.65
L'Ville/UCONN O 132 (1.5 units) L -1.65
L'ville -6.5 (1 unit) W +1
Baylor 1st Half +6 (0.7 units)/ML +280 (0.2 units) L -.97
Parlay: Baylor +10.5/O142.5 +264 (0.5 units) -.5
Parlay: L'Ville -6.5 /O 132 +264 (0.2 units) -.2

-3.37 Units

dumbmoney · 01-15-13, 12:29 AM

Tuesday:

Some early plays for me

Bradley -5.5 (3 units)
Creighton -13 (2 units)

dumbmoney · 01-15-13, 12:16 PM

Adding:
Wake/Clemson U 59 1st Half (2.5 units)
Wake 1st Half +4 (2 units)/ ML +205 (0.5 units)
Wake +7.5 (1.5 units)/ ML +280 (0.5 units)
Wake/Clemson U 126.5 (1.5 units)
Indi -10 (2 units)

Updated Card:
Bradley -5.5 (3 units)
Wake/Clemson U 59 1st Half (2.5 units)
Wake 1st Half +4 (2 units)/ ML +205 (0.5 units)
Indi -10 (2 units)
Creighton -13 (2 units)
Wake +7.5 (1.5 units)/ ML +280 (0.5 units)
Wake/Clemson U 126.5 (1.5 units)

dumbmoney · 01-15-13, 07:54 PM

adding ND/ ST. J Over 70 (2nd Half) 2 Units

dumbmoney · 01-15-13, 08:45 PM

Adding Miss -8 (1.5 units)
Miss 1st half -4.5 (1 unit)

dumbmoney · 01-15-13, 09:51 PM

Adding:

Miss 2nd half -6.5 (-105) (2.5 units)