Lehigh vs Pittsburgh

[SonofSwampThang]

I'm seeing Pittsburgh -12... I know Lehigh is a good mid major team, even made some money off them yesterday against Robert Morris. I know Pittsburgh is a different beast than Bobby Morris, but 12 points sounds like a lot. Anyone know much about Pittsburgh? Thanks and BOL everyone.

[Murray Rothbard]

Crazy public action on Pitt yet the line has stayed pretty steady at 12 at most books. This tells me the books are real comfortable with their position seeing as 85% of the public is on Pitt yet the line has moved half a pt (12.5-12) in Pitts favor. When so much public action is on a team and the line stays pretty steady I like fading the public. GL with your decision sir.

[Frisco]

Crazy public action on Pitt yet the line has stayed pretty steady at 12 at most books. This tells me the books are real comfortable with their position seeing as 85% of the public is on Pitt yet the line has moved half a pt (12.5-12) in Pitts favor. When so much public action is on a team and the line stays pretty steady I like fading the public. GL with your decision sir.

Books aren't always right

[Murray Rothbard]

Books aren't always right

Good point. But who side would you rather be on? The publics or the books? It's a no brainer IMO (in my opinion).

[Frisco]

I'd rather be on the correct side. Which recently has been the public more than the 'sharps'. Some of the lines being put out there have been god awful in the last few weeks (especially in football).

[Murray Rothbard]

I'd rather be on the correct side. Which recently has been the public more than the 'sharps'. Some of the lines being put out there have been god awful in the last few weeks (especially in football).

We'd all like to be on the right side my friend but if it were that easy everyone would be winning. Even taking what you said into consideration I still favor the books here. Good luck either way!

[Frisco]

We'd all like to be on the right side my friend but if it were that easy everyone would be winning. Even taking what you said into consideration I still favor the books here. Good luck either way!

Same to you bud. Just think sometimes ppl look into public vs sharp plays too much.

[Murray Rothbard]

Same to you bud. Just think sometimes ppl look into public vs sharp plays too much.

I hear ya bro and a lot of people agree with you but I've come to the conclusion that it does matter and that line movement does mean something. How much stock someone puts on line movement is always going to be subjective but I've come to the conclusion that (barring any typos on the public consensus sites) if 75%+ of the public is on one side and the line keeps favoring that side you go the other way.

[HOT WINGS]

Like Lehigh here CJ will keep them close

[SonofSwampThang]

Thanks for the info on line movements- helpful for sure. Lately all the favorites covering by landslides has me worried, but I like the underdog here. I agree that CJ can always be a difference maker, just know very little about Pittsburgh. Thanks again for the insight fellas and BOL

[Frisco]

I hear ya bro and a lot of people agree with you but I've come to the conclusion that it does matter and that line movement does mean something. How much stock someone puts on line movement is always going to be subjective but I've come to the conclusion that (barring any typos on the public consensus sites) if 75%+ of the public is on one side and the line keeps favoring that side you go the other way.

I don't have a problem w/ that way of thinking, but there are times when there are times when the books think they're being sharp when they're really setting themselves up for a burial (Oregon vs USC, Colts on Thursday, etc)

[Murray Rothbard]

Thanks for the info on line movements- helpful for sure. Lately all the favorites covering by landslides has me worried, but I like the underdog here. I agree that CJ can always be a difference maker, just know very little about Pittsburgh. Thanks again for the insight fellas and BOL

Np bro. I don't have the slightest clue who this CJ character is but I hope you're right because based on the LM i'll probably be putting money on Lehigh.

I don't have a problem w/ that way of thinking, but there are times when there are times when the books think they're being sharp when they're really setting themselves up for a burial (Oregon vs USC, Colts on Thursday, etc)

Totally agree.

[og4667]

big game for Lehigh, getting lots of points...worth a shot

[Murray Rothbard]

Bout to the hook and took LeHigh +12.5 for the game and I also took LeHigh +7 1H. Been basing all of my college plays this year on RLM and so far I am fairing well. Good luck to everyone!