Fightboy European Basketball tips

[FightBoy]

Hey this are my second or meybe third post here ,I share my opinion about games and that is my today work,I enjoy if that help something:

match:Slovakia-Estonia
pick:Estonia -6.5
odds:1.93 pinnacle
stake:1/10

Slovak team lost every game and has nothing to play for only for their pride because they dont have real chances to qualify,Estonia lost vs very strong Montenegro and Serbia but can win vs also strong Israel on road so this is much stronger team than Slovak Republic-they also win in first quali game vs Slovak 95-74 at home, on the road I think this can be smallest victory bud I expected that Estonia cover spread easily.

match:Sweden-Bulgaria
pick:Bulgaria +6.5
odds:1.99 pinnacle
stake:1/10

Sweden lost once in first game vs Bulgaria 73-78 on road,now they play at home and they best player Jarebko are unknown to play and even if he play his form are quaestionable after ankle injury.Bulgaria play good basketball and shows that vs Germany when they lost by 12 after tough game when Germans play great.I think is very probable that they cover spread tonight.

match:Hungary-Ukraine
pick:Ukraine ML
odds:2.18
stake:1/10

Two teams in similar level but I rated Ukraine like more experience team and they once win vs hungary in first game 77-71 on road.also Ukraine lost only one game and this was vs strong Croatia and only one point lose ,Hungary lost vs Croatia by 24.So i see value in Ukraine victory.

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match:Netherlands-Romania
pick:Romania +11
odds:1.95 pinnacle
stake:2/10

Two similar level teams both have 1-3 balance and I dont understand why Netherlands are that big favourite because I dont rated them like a team that can cover big handicaaps for sure and even any handi because this game should be tough fight for victory in my opinion so +11 for Romania side is great value.Netherlands win vs Georgia was impressive but Romania also can play vs stronger teams and show that in game vs BiH when they lost by 5(yes BiH have short roster but this is they problem not Romania team).Anyway 11 is too big and should be something like 5.5 in my opinion.

match:Netherlands-Romania
pick:Romania ML
odds:7.00
stake:0.5/10

7.00 for team wchich once in first game win vs Netherland?Joke? Yes I know that Netherlands win vs Georgia at home in last game but this is too big odds to miss for very small stake.

match:Belgium-Poland
pick:Poland ML
odds:2.8 Coral
stake:1/10

In that qualification Poland play better on road because in home expectations and pressure are huge and they meybe physical dont ready for that big pressur but that team can play and on road shows that,true that they big wins are vs bad oponents but they dont are worse team that Belgians-Belgium win first game bycouple of points and game was close when Poland was favourites but when Poland are underdogs I see them like more valuable team and trust for their victory because for that big odds is worth a try.

match:Portugal-Italy
pick:Italy -14
odds:1.95 pinnacle
stake:3/10

C'mon I expected soemthing like 20 or more handi,yes Portugal play better at home and do some progress but this is too big levels vs much strogner and better quality of play opponent in first game Italy at home win vs Portugal 97-45 ! So 14 is too small handi and I think that Italians easy cover that.

match:Israel-Montenegro
pick:Montenegro +8
odds:1.93 pinnacle
stake:2/10

Israel are in form win last game vs Serbia at home by double digits but what we can say about Montenegro wchich hey win all their 5 games ? Vs Serbia they win on road and vs Israel they win by 6 at home so why Israel are that big favourite? Hmm I very like that line and expected close and tough game for two sides.

match:Israel-Montenegro
pick:Montenegro ML
odds:4.22
stake:1/10

4.22 for a team witchout any lose and win first game vs the same oponent hmmm great value for me.

[silvap]

nice write-ups sir, best of luck on these, following you on a couple. cheers

[FightBoy]

Slovakia-Estonia 70-84 FT

[FightBoy]

Sweden-Bulgaria 85-71 FT

Bulgaria really was close but play very bad last part of game

[FightBoy]

Hungary-Ukraine 76-78 FT

[FightBoy]

Netherlands-Romania 80-74 FT

[FightBoy]

Netherlands-Romania 80-74 FT


this is about Romania ML for 7.00 and it was really close at the end but Romania dont have enough time to win that.

[FightBoy]

Belgium-Poland 73-87 FT


great win and great game for polish trio Koszarek,Gortat and Ignerski ! and first of all it is great value for us!

[FightBoy]

Israel-Montenegro 76-81 FT

both tips are in! Montenegro not only cover 8 points spread but also win whole game by 5!great value and 4.22 are in Montenegro is now 6-0 team

[FightBoy]

Portugal-Italy 70-82 FT

Italians do what they whont in that game but usually dont whont to much at all

[FightBoy]

So I'm 6-3 tonight,nothing special but I exited about next games,cheers!

[nosaij]

niceeeee

[silvap]

Very nice, looking forward to your next plays. the italy game was annoying, up by 25 at some point, watched the last few minutes of the game and saw all kinds of super irritating plays - galinari going for a break-away lay-up, slipping and falling, a 3 pointer by portugal on the last second of the shot clock from way downtown and a super dumb technical foul by the italian center after a block for pointing and tauting the portuguese player. oh well. Cheers and thanks for sharing your plays sir

[FightBoy]

thanks , and if I had time I always share witch you,and I can do better

[FightBoy]

We have the line now! I see some early value(so you must be hurry because lines can change) in that games:


match:Ukraine-Austria
pick:Austria +13
odds:2.04 pinnacle
stake:2/10

Yes I know that Ukraine have much better balance 4-1 than Austria 2-3 and than one lose Ukraine have vs strong Croatia by only one point difference.But when we see how Ukraine play it is nothing marvelous because they have close games and win at the end by couple of points ,vs Hungary 77-71 at home and 78-76 away,vs Austria 61-57 away and only one big margin win vs Cyprus 68-47 away but Cyprus is team in much lower standards than otchers in this group.Austria have only two wins and two was vs that pour Cyprus 89-86 away and 77-52 at home but when they lost they lost in really close games vs Hungary 75-81 away,vs strong Croatia 75-82 at home and vs Ukraine in very close game 57-61 at home.So they really should be motivated to win vs Ukraine after that close game,they have one more chance and that Ukraine team dont are group that cover big handicaps if they can cover any handi at all.

[FightBoy]

match:Romania-Georgia
pick:Romania +13
odds:1.98 pinnacle
stake:2/10

Georgia can lost some confidence after last game when they lost vs weak Netherlands on road 88-91.In first game Georgia win vs Romania by 80-64 at home but Romania play much better at home-they results are 90-84 win vs Netherlands and 79-84 lost vs strong Bosnia and Hwercegowina.This should be different game like on road and I expected that they cover that big spread,this should be something about 8 point not 13.



match:Belarus-Turkey
pick:Belarus+5
odds:1.98 pinnacle
stake:2/10

Lets be honest-Turkey are so favourite here meybe only by big name-for sure no for their great performances because they play tragic basketball in fact how many tallents they have even witchout their stars like Turkoglu or Ilyasova.In first game Turkey win at home 77-74 after really hard battle and tomorrow they play on the road and they still 5 point favourite....not for me,they tragic shoot the ball especially from fre throw line and dont play nothing they play in past.Belarus are not strong team but they are ambitious and at home they should whont revenge after last lost game vs Turkey.



match:Estonia-Israel
pick:Estonia+7
odds:1.94 pinnacle
stake:2/10

Estonia win on the road in first game 88-86 and still Israel are that big favourites.Israel lost vs Montenegro 75-81 and have 3-3 balance , Estonia have 4-2 and have big oportunity to qualification ,at home they should be super motivated to big win and they really have chance for it so +7 points for them is value bet.



match:Montenegro-Serbia
pick:Montenegro +5
odds:1.97 pinancle
stake:2/10

Montenegro team are 6-0, Serbia team are 4-2 and once in first game lost vs Montenegro 71-73. Still favourites are Serbia.Yes I know that they have great roster and etc but this means nothing on paper and I see only true facts and they told me that Monenegro +5 is great value and they can win that game also.



match:Montenegro-Serbia
pick:Montenegro ML
odds:2.60 bodog
stake:1/10

like I said in my previous post about that game 2.60 is good value for great home side.

[FightBoy]

Ukraine-Austria 68-57 FT

[nosaij]

not bad. what you got for tonight?

[FightBoy]

today I have something from Euroleague,check it:

match:Fenerbache-Panathinaikos
pick:Panathinaikos +7
odd:1.94 pinnacle
stake:4/10

Two teams witch similar level so why that big odd difference ? Home team are favourite here only because they play at home,they are really good team but many new faces dont play good witch team yet and need time, in Panathinaikos new faces are really strong points now especially Sofo and witch him Ulker should have many problems.50/50 game in my opinion so I see value in +7 for Pana.


match:Fenerbache-Panathinaikos
pick:Panathinaikos ML
odd:3.54 pinnacle
stake:1/10

Like I said in my previous bet in +7 handi for Panathinaikos-this is 50/50 game so when we have situation like that and odd for one side are that high it is really worth to try, but of course for small stake.

[FightBoy]

pick lost :

Fenerbache-Panathinaikos 73-64 FT

[FightBoy]

match:Montepashi Siena-Elan Chalone
pick:Monyepashi -9.5
odd:1.91 William Hill
stake:5/10


This is only one game for tonight but really I like that bet.Montepashi lost all 3 games now,first game was disaster because they lost vs Alba by 10 points but another two games they lost by 2 points vs really great rivals like Unicaja and Maccabi.Elan Chalone is team on different level,they win one game vs also not so strong team Prokom and also have two losses,they also lost vs Maccabi not by 2 but by 29 points-every game are different story but this show us something.This is great occasion to back on good track for Montepashi -great team wchich have slow start and lack of luck on this time.Normally this handi should be something like 16 points or even more.Middle stake.

[FightBoy]

my two last pick are lost but today I have really good value game so I'm good felling :

Azomash Mariupol +3.5 1.94 Sbobet,Pinnacle


I really dont know why team from Wurzburg are favourite here-that team are new power in german league but lets be honest dont have aby experience in Eurocup and any European contest so far ,tey at home should be more efective than on road but lets be honest they dont should be favourite vs team like Azomash wchich have many experience players who play at national strong teams and have great experience in Eurocup, also on that group Azomash have much stronger oponents so they should win that kind of games-,great value in +3.5 for Azomash team.

[FightBoy]

and my second bet about the same game:


Azomash ML 2.45 Bet 365


Like I wrote in my previous bet about Mariupol +3.5 handi that game really should be Mariupol win and I be surprised if team from Wurzburg win that,for that odd it is great value,of course for smaller stake than Mariupol handi because risk are little bigger.

[zinde12]

Good start!

[aussieH]

Good third.

[FightBoy]

Today Spanish ACB play so I have something :

match:Valencja-Unicaja
pick:Unicaja +5.5
odds:1.98 in my local
stake:2/10

Two great teams,especially Valencja at home but Unicaja is a Euroleague team and also contenders ,I expectd close game here.This two teams really are good and +5.5 for one side is good value in my opinion especially witch such a great odd.


match:Barcelona-Real Madrit
pick:Real+3.5
odds:1.91 188bet
stake:2/10

Both great teams but Barca have really problems in last games and even losses in their ACB league,they usually win almost every game now they are 7-7 balance.Real Madrit is also strong Euroleague team like Barca but in domestic leagur dont lost even game and have 14-0 balance so I cant se them like underdogs here, that two teams dont like each oder a lot so I ecpected close ,hard derby game and that small points advantage can be huge for Real Madrit and also they really have chance to win that game.

[FightBoy]

match:Khimki-Barcelona
pick:Barcelona ML
odds:1.55 pinnacle
stake:1/10

Barcelona after they last ACB derby game are really wake up and now play great basketball in my opinion best in Europe.They trash Real even in fact that team from Madrit play really good basketball so I expected that they also win vs Khimki.

[FightBoy]

now is even 1.67 so it is even more valuable,fact that Khimki at home court are tough to beat but in my opinioon that Barcelona team shoul do it in that great form .

[nappa]

Barcelona -2 is a lock. GL fightboy.

Edit: I can't believe I'm doing this but I had to go against Barcelona to balance it out in live betting. Khimki up by 15 right now.

Edit 2: Barcelona -2 (78-65) Loss

[FightBoy]

yes Barcelona sucks because they play wtchout best player Navarro wrr

[FightBoy]

match:fenerbahce-caja laboral
pick:Caja+6
odd:1.88 unibet
stake:8/10


Caja win 15 games in a row and are in amazing shape,I dont uderstand bookie here that they are underdogs, anuwhone knows??? Fene are in wery bad form in defence and in bad form at all-they defence are crap so I see huge value on Caja handi here for big stake.

[FightBoy]

match:Fenerbahce-Caja Laboral
pick:Caja ML
odds:3.10 pinnacle
stake:2/10

Like I said in my previous post about those game, 3.10 for better team , are you kidding me??? huge value.

[FightBoy]

match:Khimki Moscov-Maccabi Tel Aviv
pick:Khimki-3.5
odds:1.88 pinnacle
stake:8/10

I also dont understand bookie here, Khimki play great at home and play vs team that are always bad travellers and much weaker like in previous years so value are for home side and I expected that they cover that small spread easy in that big form.

[GIVEMETHEMONEY]

I am tailing you

Hello Fightboy,

This is my first time betting International.

I placed small bets Caja + 7.5 and Khimiki and bought the points to - 3.

Let's get the wins!

I like the research on your posts!

[FightBoy]

thanks, I hope that we win tonight a lot of money khimki start now and I'm exited