3 shit beats again yesterday...
Nuggets +6 -110
Nuggets +6 -110
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Hornets -9.5 -110 2h...Sac shooting over 50% and 6of11 from 3 land. Hornets playing off of rest and typically a decent 2h team. Sac on back to back road games.Comment -
Originally posted by diogee
Another shit beat...CP3 gets the offensive rebound with 13 seconds left and up 11. Instead of dribbling out the clock he misses a lay-in. Of course Sac goes down and makes a garbage dunk.
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Wow, I couldn't believe it myself. That has got to be the worst f*cking beat ever. I feel for you, diogee. That was just flat out ridiculous.
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Another last second loss...Denver in the whole game. Shaq makes a ft to go up 7 then Denver turns the ball over under their hoop.
Sunday early game
Detroit +3.5 -110 (betphoenix) 1.5 units
Det/Atl under 186.5 -107 1.5 unitsComment -
ouch... turn it around!
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Thanks mundane...just getting brutalized by bad/tough losses left and right. Not worried about my handicapping because I would make every play again. Sometimes the ball just doesn't bounce your way and that has been the case a lot early in the year. Long season ahead.Originally posted by mundaneouch... turn it around!
On to tomorrow.Comment -
Atrocious run the past few days with a few bad beats sprinkled in...3 by the Nuggets not being able to get any points in the final 3 minutes of their games
ytd
sides 11-15-1 -5.16
totals 13-7 +5.32
2h totals 2-6 -5.10
2h sides 5-6 -2.00
31-34-1 -6.94 units
Nets -2.5 -110 2h Net's shooting like shit (started out something like 4 of 22) while Houston shooting mid 50's, 7-11 from 3 ball, and have the ft edge 17-10.Comment -
LA -10.5 -110 2h...normally wouldn't make this play with the shooting % of LA being off the chart but think Kobe takes over. Would much rather have LA 3q but don't have it offered.Comment -
Ice cold...should fade myself. Teams just not regressing or improving at all during the 2h as I would expect.
SA/Sac under 98 -110 2h...SA shooting lights out and should slow up and control game with D due to big lead.Comment -
Unreal that these teams aren't declining in the 2h when shooting over 55%.
sides 11-15-1 -5.16
totals 13-7 +5.32
2h totals 3-6 -4.10
2h sides 6-7 -2.10
33-35-1 -6.04 unitsComment -
what are you expecting? like if a team is shooting 35% in the first half, what would you expect them to shoot in the second half?
Just curious.Comment -
Yeah I play the percentages expecting each team to move towards the mean. If they shoot 35% in the 1h I expect a little better shooting % in the 2h and if they shoot 57% in the 2h one would expect a fall-off in the 2h. Just not happening much early in the season...the obvious 2h plays are the ones that are cashing a lot. Last year around this time before I ever started handicapping I would play the obvious play...just look at the score and see a team is up by 7 and getting 1 pt in the 2h so I would take that play or if 120 were scored and the o/u was set at 102 I would take the over....I got absolutely killed doing this. I fully expect it to turnaround.Originally posted by pubster77Comment -
...at least the donations are going good. Time to go for -10 units.
Hou/Cle under 186.5 -110
Was/Cha over 191 -110
Sixers +13 -109
Nuggets +8 -110
Min/Sa under 191 -105
Phi/Bos under 193 -109 (like 1h a little better but not avail.)
Lal/No over 195 -107
Jazz -1 -110
Thunder +12 -110Comment -
Wolves +13.5 -110 (betjam)Comment -
Lakers +3.5 -110Comment -
Den/Por under 199 -110...wanted to wait up for 200
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big card! hit them all bud!Comment -
i love your betting style. 11-12 plays.
perfect =)
Good luck tonite. Youll be back in the +s soon.Comment
