Donating money to the books...NBA style

[diogee]

3 shit beats again yesterday...

Nuggets +6 -110

[diogee]

Hornets -9.5 -110 2h...Sac shooting over 50% and 6of11 from 3 land. Hornets playing off of rest and typically a decent 2h team. Sac on back to back road games.

[diogee]

Hornets -9.5 -110 2h...Sac shooting over 50% and 6of11 from 3 land. Hornets playing off of rest and typically a decent 2h team. Sac on back to back road games.

Another shit beat...CP3 gets the offensive rebound with 13 seconds left and up 11. Instead of dribbling out the clock he misses a lay-in. Of course Sac goes down and makes a garbage dunk.

[The_Kid]

Wow, I couldn't believe it myself. That has got to be the worst f*cking beat ever. I feel for you, diogee. That was just flat out ridiculous.

[diogee]

Another last second loss...Denver in the whole game. Shaq makes a ft to go up 7 then Denver turns the ball over under their hoop.

Sunday early game
Detroit +3.5 -110 (betphoenix) 1.5 units
Det/Atl under 186.5 -107 1.5 units

[mundane]

ouch... turn it around!

[diogee]

ouch... turn it around!

Thanks mundane...just getting brutalized by bad/tough losses left and right. Not worried about my handicapping because I would make every play again. Sometimes the ball just doesn't bounce your way and that has been the case a lot early in the year. Long season ahead.

On to tomorrow.

[diogee]

Atrocious run the past few days with a few bad beats sprinkled in...3 by the Nuggets not being able to get any points in the final 3 minutes of their games
ytd
sides 11-15-1 -5.16
totals 13-7 +5.32
2h totals 2-6 -5.10
2h sides 5-6 -2.00
31-34-1 -6.94 units


Nets -2.5 -110 2h Net's shooting like shit (started out something like 4 of 22) while Houston shooting mid 50's, 7-11 from 3 ball, and have the ft edge 17-10.

[diogee]

LA -10.5 -110 2h...normally wouldn't make this play with the shooting % of LA being off the chart but think Kobe takes over. Would much rather have LA 3q but don't have it offered.

[diogee]

Ice cold...should fade myself. Teams just not regressing or improving at all during the 2h as I would expect.

SA/Sac under 98 -110 2h...SA shooting lights out and should slow up and control game with D due to big lead.

[diogee]

Unreal that these teams aren't declining in the 2h when shooting over 55%.

sides 11-15-1 -5.16
totals 13-7 +5.32
2h totals 3-6 -4.10
2h sides 6-7 -2.10
33-35-1 -6.04 units

[pubster77]

what are you expecting? like if a team is shooting 35% in the first half, what would you expect them to shoot in the second half?

Just curious.

[diogee]

what are you expecting? like if a team is shooting 35% in the first half, what would you expect them to shoot in the second half?

Just curious.

Yeah I play the percentages expecting each team to move towards the mean. If they shoot 35% in the 1h I expect a little better shooting % in the 2h and if they shoot 57% in the 2h one would expect a fall-off in the 2h. Just not happening much early in the season...the obvious 2h plays are the ones that are cashing a lot. Last year around this time before I ever started handicapping I would play the obvious play...just look at the score and see a team is up by 7 and getting 1 pt in the 2h so I would take that play or if 120 were scored and the o/u was set at 102 I would take the over....I got absolutely killed doing this. I fully expect it to turnaround.

[diogee]

...at least the donations are going good. Time to go for -10 units.

Hou/Cle under 186.5 -110
Was/Cha over 191 -110
Sixers +13 -109
Nuggets +8 -110
Min/Sa under 191 -105
Phi/Bos under 193 -109 (like 1h a little better but not avail.)
Lal/No over 195 -107
Jazz -1 -110
Thunder +12 -110

[diogee]

Wolves +13.5 -110 (betjam)

[diogee]

Lakers +3.5 -110

[diogee]

Den/Por under 199 -110...wanted to wait up for 200

[mundane]

big card! hit them all bud!

[pubster77]

i love your betting style. 11-12 plays.

perfect =)

Good luck tonite. Youll be back in the +s soon.