Help!!! I want to bet bos BUT rondo scored 44 last game and they still lost!!?

[kobebryant55]

Like everyone on SBR i want to play Bos and the under but my only thing is. We knew sas couldnt continue there 53% fg pct and even with that okc was down 6 late.... In game 2 so we all knew sas would shoot worse okc had home court and would rebound etc

This game (3) an older bos team comes home where everyone played big mins, rondo scored 44 shot like 14-16 (which will never ever happen again) and the heat shot OK, wade had an off game and still lost!

Not for anything but doesnt the heat improve and bos regress so not like okc v sas in game 3.

Again every expert says bos and so do i since they play great at home and heat are like 0-8 on the road as a dog ATS

I just think bos played so great the heat played ok and bos still loss how can they improve from a 44 pt 90% fg rondo game or even stay the same!??

[Bdolan33]

So then dont touch it or take the heat. You can argue both sides, and your argument is the Heat. The rest of us are going Green

[cdaniels24]

Damn so many people will lose money tonight

[matt1216]

BOS will win....... Rondo was somewhere around 15 for 24 btw wich is still great but not 14-16... if the heat give him those foul line jumpers it will happen again.

[kobebryant55]

BOS will win....... Rondo was somewhere around 15 for 24 btw wich is still great but not 14-16... if the heat give him those foul line jumpers it will happen again.

Yeah my numbers were exaggerative sorry but yeah tough game to cap.

[kobebryant55]

So then dont touch it or take the heat. You can argue both sides, and your argument is the Heat. The rest of us are going Green

Thanks for the insight (no sarcasm) yeah im just trying to give both the pros and cons and wonder what a bos backer would say to my pts on why bos is still the play. Idk just looking for reinforcement and reasons unless its all just "gutt instinct"

[Bdolan33]

Green for $Green$

[Inkwell77]

Public on Boston in this spot. I really would like to know how teams down 2-0 do in game 3 when favored the last couple of years. It may take me a few minutes to find out.

Miami seems like a decent play here. I have not believed in this Boston team all playoffs. The fact that they got this far is still surprising.

[cdaniels24]

If you want green then pick red

[Inkwell77]

Alright, so teams up 2-0 and going on the road for game 3 as an underdog have done well since the 2008-2009 season if my calculations are correct.

Here are the results for the favorite, the team down 0-2 going home in this spot:
-4.5 win by 4
-4.5 win by 2
-4 lose by 1
-3.5 win by 5
-4.5 lose by 1
-1 lose by 9
-7 lose by 14
-4 lose by 2
-3 win by 16
-3 lose by 17
-5 win by 5, push
-5 lose by 3
-3.5 win by 15
-3 lose by 16
-3 win by 3, push
-4.5 win by 20

Betting the dog (the team up 2-0 now going on the road for the first time) you would be 10-4-2 ats. Obviously a tiny sample size but from looking at these results if you would have bet the dog ML in every game you would be doing even better.