Paul Pierce 20.5 pts and KG 18.5 pts - analysis

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  • bureK
    SBR MVP
    • 01-21-10
    • 1059

    #1
    Paul Pierce 20.5 pts and KG 18.5 pts - analysis
    I like PP under and KG over.

    PP never scored more than 16 pts when they were playing 3 games @ home. In Philly he scored 24 3 times. Homecourt is a big advantage for players like Bass, Rondo, Allen, Stiemsma, Pietrus and even Hollins and Dooling so this means less points for Pierce. Iggy is just a great defender and Pierce really gets into tough positions to score or even impossible to score - 76ers also use double team a lot! The big factor is the switch or a screen where Pierce gets to shoot a 3 pointer. But hey, it's 21 points! Iguodala is just too good and the way Boston played with their old legs I can't see this game as a blowout where Pierce would be playing and Iguodala not. It can happen but Rondo would have to go for like 20 pts and 20 ast with RayRay scoring 6 threes. I just hope Paul doesn't get to the line like 15 times...


    KG showed great form this series scoring 21,15,27,9,20,20. Give him the credit carrying Boston and I expect the same image again today. There is no guy on Philly team that can stop KG 1v1 but it's his inconsistency and age that force him miss those shots he used to score as an auto-weapon back in the days. He can still score in the post fading away and makes good screens in the Rondo's pick'n'roll game. I think he will have to carry the team today in terms of scoring so I see him in the 20s.

    I'll also might give a shot playing Bass over 12.5 points. The guy is really a tough player and very working-hard caracter. Always in the gym 2 hours before the game shooting his mid-range jumpers. Rondo also likes to pass him the ball as he can always go to a reliable shooter.

    Good luck whatever you play in this game. Let the better one go play the Miami Heat.

  • blackgolden
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-11-12
    • 768

    #2
    nice info
    Comment
    • bureK
      SBR MVP
      • 01-21-10
      • 1059

      #3
      Let's get it.
      Comment
      • Snowball
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 11-15-09
        • 30067

        #4
        if you look at the props on Brandon Bass and Ray Allen
        i think they are very achievable. Ray is only 9.5 and Bass 12.5.

        I have Celtics ML parlayed with Texas and California in womens softball,
        and Celtics team total over 87 (bought 1 pt).

        all the player point totals are going to depend on how Rondo
        distributes the ball. Lately he's been in ball-hog mode. That
        better change tonight. He has to trust his shotmakers and
        shouldn't be going for those wild gymnastic layups. That's
        ok in the regular season but not now.
        Comment
        • Tarrum
          SBR Hustler
          • 05-14-12
          • 78

          #5
          I got all KG's correct, except for that 9 point. If you look at his attempts, it's obvious that he can score more than 18.5, and I think today it will happen. I'm a bit uncertain about the rest of his teammates, as RR may go with assists or points, and PP is unpredictable as well. KG has had one game down, one game up. Tonight should be one game up

          I also took a bet that the player with the top score will be in Boston, most likely it will be KG. Can't wait! Something like 25 points would be great.
          Comment
          • Dollaz
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-14-11
            • 115

            #6
            Originally posted by bureK
            I like PP under and KG over.

            PP never scored more than 16 pts when they were playing 3 games @ home. In Philly he scored 24 3 times. Homecourt is a big advantage for players like Bass, Rondo, Allen, Stiemsma, Pietrus and even Hollins and Dooling so this means less points for Pierce. Iggy is just a great defender and Pierce really gets into tough positions to score or even impossible to score - 76ers also use double team a lot! The big factor is the switch or a screen where Pierce gets to shoot a 3 pointer. But hey, it's 21 points! Iguodala is just too good and the way Boston played with their old legs I can't see this game as a blowout where Pierce would be playing and Iguodala not. It can happen but Rondo would have to go for like 20 pts and 20 ast with RayRay scoring 6 threes. I just hope Paul doesn't get to the line like 15 times...


            KG showed great form this series scoring 21,15,27,9,20,20. Give him the credit carrying Boston and I expect the same image again today. There is no guy on Philly team that can stop KG 1v1 but it's his inconsistency and age that force him miss those shots he used to score as an auto-weapon back in the days. He can still score in the post fading away and makes good screens in the Rondo's pick'n'roll game. I think he will have to carry the team today in terms of scoring so I see him in the 20s.

            I'll also might give a shot playing Bass over 12.5 points. The guy is really a tough player and very working-hard caracter. Always in the gym 2 hours before the game shooting his mid-range jumpers. Rondo also likes to pass him the ball as he can always go to a reliable shooter.

            Good luck whatever you play in this game. Let the better one go play the Miami Heat.


            Solid analysis! I dropped a few units on the KG prop. He looks pretty good against the sixers and he's gonna guarantee intensity tonight..He also had a great close out game against ATL so im confident with this prop

            GL Lets get It!!
            Comment
            • bureK
              SBR MVP
              • 01-21-10
              • 1059

              #7
              Totally agree on Bass, that's why I mentioned him in the first place. I also took KG to score more points than Pierce at the odds at -110. Also on Rondo over 12.5 ast but smaller stakes. He will have to be the general tonight and finding open players. Pierce won't be one of them

              I'm actually more confident in the Pierce bet than KG's but it's only the matter how many trips to the FT he will get. Hope the 6ers dont' foul him that much under the basket but try to defend it since he's getting tired and I'd also say his knees are absolutely not on 100%.


              Good luck!
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30067

                #8
                goo duck burek
                Comment
                • bureK
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-21-10
                  • 1059

                  #9
                  Bets were all on place but this is why we lost KG bet:




                  So sad.
                  Comment
                  • AceKingHigh
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-23-09
                    • 3888

                    #10
                    Sad indeed, $370 swing =//
                    Comment
                    • Dollaz
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 04-14-11
                      • 115

                      #11
                      Originally posted by bureK
                      Bets were all on place but this is why we lost KG bet:




                      So sad.
                      for some reason when i saw that play i instantly knew he was gonna go under by a basket. SMH its always tough to lose by a hook
                      Comment
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