Chris Paul FT's made over 2.5

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Seto
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-16-11
    • 12906

    #1
    Chris Paul FT's made over 2.5
    I know he's shot 0, 0, and 2 FTs in the first 3 games and the Spurs and doing a great job on him but surely this can't continue? Also I expect this game to be a bit closer and who knows, if by some miracle the Clippers are actually leading towards the end the Spurs could have to intentionally foul him. Also Joey Crawford could give me a hand here, he gave Kobe 18 FTs.
    Only thing bothering me is -180 juice (on 5Dimes). I'd much rather over 3 or 3.5 with less juice but that's the only thing on offer.
  • Dollaz
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-14-11
    • 115

    #2
    yea i had to lay off that line..too much chalk even with crawford reffing. I took the under on cp3 17.5 instead.

    GL
    Comment
    • Seto
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-16-11
      • 12906

      #3
      Originally posted by Dollaz
      yea i had to lay off that line..too much chalk even with crawford reffing. I took the under on cp3 17.5 instead.

      GL
      Good luck to you too. I think I'm gonna have a look at the lines 10 mins before tip-off and make a decision then. Can't see myself laying that much juice in 99% of cases tbh, but I just might make an exception for this one.

      If only we could bet on shooting percentages. Lol
      Comment
      • Dollaz
        SBR High Roller
        • 04-14-11
        • 115

        #4
        yea thats a good idea i can see the juice decreasing a little on that one closer to tip-off
        Comment
        • greenhippo
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-15-12
          • 9091

          #5
          I don't even like -150 lines, but I'd go as far as -200 on that tonight. Clips will make this a game through 3 quarters, that's a given, by then Paul would have shot several FTs.
          Comment
          • Vinnie Paz
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-27-12
            • 12177

            #6
            I also took Cp under 17.5 the most hes had in a game this series has been 12 with 38 minutes books must be expecting a big game out of him but I still couldnt pass it up

            Duncan on the other hand has scored 26/18/19 so decided to also roll with over 16.5. Good luck guys
            Comment
            • Seto
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-16-11
              • 12906

              #7
              Yeah Timmy is abusing Griffin badly. I can just see the announcers showing when Paul has 8 FT attempts that he's had 4 times more in this game than in the whole series and making a big deal out of how much more agressive he is and how the Clippers need him to be more agressive and blablabla... Juice just increased to -205 though LOL. This is a tough one. Need to have about 70% confidence in this one at least for it to be an EV+ bet.
              Comment
              • Seto
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-16-11
                • 12906

                #8
                Just took it for 3 units. This is a 75-80% confidence thing for me, gotta go with it when both the gut feeling and the reasoning are there. Wish me luck
                Comment
                • Seto
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-16-11
                  • 12906

                  #9


                  No attempts from CP to get to the rim throughout until clutch time when he finally did what I expected he would all game. Not the cleanest win you'll see but they all count.
                  Comment
                  • greenhippo
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-15-12
                    • 9091

                    #10
                    Looked like a good call all the way.
                    Comment
                    SBR Contests
                    Collapse
                    Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                    Collapse
                    Working...