Thinking about taking the Heat today

Mocknroll · 05-20-12, 11:27 AM

I like the angle of this being a 'do or die' type situation for the Heat.

Lebron cops a lot of 'no-ring' and choker flack, and I would expect him to realize the importance of this game as far as the Heat's championship chances go and ensure the Heat win this one and tie it up.

Then again, if I bet this situation every other time Lebron was in this position I'd be dead broke.

Linngari · 05-20-12, 11:40 AM

I want to back the Pacers and ride the wave, but I just can't go against LeBron. Its been hurting my pocket but Id hate today to be the day that the Heat win by double digits and I wasn't on them!

samdapatriotsfan · 05-20-12, 11:55 AM

If Lebrick can score upwards of 40 points or the Pacers turn the ball over 20+ times, then the Heat will have a chance. If neither happens, I don't see how they don't get paddled again like they always do in the playoffs.

Plus I have some $$$ on IND to win it all so I may be a little biased.

intoxicolog1st · 05-20-12, 12:01 PM

Top two bets at VegasInsider are Miami point spread and Miami ML. There are a ton of people like the ones above that are betting Miami for the simple reason that it's a "do or die' type situation for the Heat" and "Well Lebron might score 40?" public money is on the Heat

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by intoxicolog1st

Top two bets at VegasInsider are Miami point spread and Miami ML. There are a ton of people like the ones above that are betting Miami for the simple reason that it's a "do or die' type situation for the Heat" and "Well Lebron might score 40?" public money is on the Heat

Ehhh, that doesn't really matter.

The public wins half of the time.

ren2_laurence · 05-20-12, 12:04 PM

Wade must have a better game for them to win. I think they'll win by a small margin later.

Mocknroll · 05-20-12, 12:10 PM

For the record, if I had to I would take the Heat.

Since I don't have to, I'm laying off. I feel much more comfortable with my money on the San Antonio covering machines.

intoxicolog1st · 05-20-12, 12:19 PM

this game smells a lot like Boston/Philly to me... everyone thought that the more experienced Boston team would come out, cover, and not mess around. but the younger, hungrier Sixers team stormed back. % of bets on Miami point spread is in that 70 range which is exactly where the percentage was on Boston in that last game

parlayin · 05-20-12, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Ehhh, that doesn't really matter.

The public wins half of the time.

If your basis for taking the Heat is "there are way too many people on the Pacers" and you think they're "overreacting to the last game," how can you then say it doesn't really matter when consensus sites show the public is on the Heat and the public wins half of the time? Either it matters or it doesn't matter, no?

rockaflocka · 05-20-12, 12:35 PM

Originally posted by parlayin

If your basis for taking the Heat is "there are way too many people on the Pacers" and you think they're "overreacting to the last game," how can you then say it doesn't really matter when consensus sites show the public is on the Heat and the public wins half of the time? Either it matters or it doesn't matter, no?

agree reasoning is flip flopping, also bad reasoning to go against the public sentiment- your like the people that take the clippers because its "Sharp" meanwhile me and a bunch of SBRs have been riding the spurs machine for some time

bleek88 · 05-20-12, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

There are way too many people on the Pacers. I also expect Miami to play a lot better than they did the previous game.

I think people are overreacting to last game.

How many air units?

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by bleek88

How many air units?

Are you stupid? I never say I'm betting 10x, 15x, ect.

My units stay pretty constant and I have never bet more than $500 on a game. Hell, rarely do I bet more than $200 on a game.

intoxicolog1st · 05-20-12, 01:11 PM

money starting to come in hard on the Heat... line is up to +2.5 for the Pacers at Bovada and BetUS

NardVa · 05-20-12, 01:29 PM

Pacers are the better team right now, but the Heat still have the best players on the floor in James and Wade who could go off and will their team to victory.

bleek88 · 05-20-12, 01:30 PM

So how many air units today BigD?

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by bleek88

So how many air units today BigD?

You're pretty funny dude. You post bets like 30 minutes after games start. Then you claim you get the Spurs -5 (+107) when the line is -5.5 (-110) every where else.

Basically, you're full of shit.

You mad bro · 05-20-12, 03:25 PM

Lebron James is just overrated come playoff time

Vinnie Paz · 05-20-12, 03:27 PM

Someone needs to step up

Lebron could drop 60 and theyd still lose by ten.

Speedy88 · 05-20-12, 03:29 PM

Everyone on the Pacers......are you drunk BigD?

Everyone is on Miami.....as usual.

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 03:36 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Everyone on the Pacers......are you drunk BigD?

Everyone is on Miami.....as usual.

Probably still drunk from the previous two nights.

And yes, I have one unit on Miami -1.5

Speedy88 · 05-20-12, 03:39 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Probably still drunk from the previous two nights.

And yes, I have one unit on Miami -1.5

Should have figured you'd still be drunk after that OKC win from last night. Why did I even ask.....

You mad bro · 05-20-12, 03:43 PM

Okc gets lucky ... They are good but if that play that bad against the spurs then cyaaaa thunderrrrr

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 03:53 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Should have figured you'd still be drunk after that OKC win from last night. Why did I even ask.....

LOL.

I've said all year the Spurs are winning the West. With that said, I think OKC has proved they're one of the best teams in the league. Our time will come.

Speedy88 · 05-20-12, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

LOL.

I've said all year the Spurs are winning the West. With that said, I think OKC has proved they're one of the best teams in the league. Our time will come.

Can't argue with anything you said there. Should be an entertaining series between you guys and SA. Should be a whole lot of scoring, curious what the totals will be for those games, I'd imagine somewhere around 200.

jsmithj88 · 05-20-12, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by You mad bro

Okc gets lucky ... They are good but if that play that bad against the spurs then cyaaaa thunderrrrr

OKC did not win cuz of luck

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 05:03 PM

Indiana was the square play here. People were overreacting afer one bad game by the Heat.

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 05:08 PM

Winner!

ThaTopMoron · 05-20-12, 08:21 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

You're pretty funny dude. You post bets like 30 minutes after games start. Then you claim you get the Spurs -5 (+107) when the line is -5.5 (-110) every where else.

Basically, you're full of shit.

he is full of it BigD... after he sees this... see's my thread on Heat and stalks it... see's other ppl leaning Heat... he makes his thread playing Heat

never even says anything about the game or what will happen

Heat were a nice cash today, the NBA is too predictable at times

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 08:27 PM

Originally posted by ThaTopMoron

he is full of it BigD... after he sees this... see's my thread on Heat and stalks it... see's other ppl leaning Heat... he makes his thread playing Heat

never even says anything about the game or what will happen

Heat were a nice cash today, the NBA is too predictable at times

Yeah, it's funny how he comes into my threads talking shit after I post a play, then like 20 minutes later he makes a thread playing the same thing I am.

Whatever. I know it's probably some kid in their late teens or early 20s trying to be cool.

He always acts super confident then he buys half points all the time.

5mike5 · 05-20-12, 08:29 PM

the pacers win a few games and 99% of this forum acts like they are on a title run

never seen so much overreaction after every single game in my life

heat were better ALL year, and will win the series....every1 riding pacers is laughable

BigDofBA · 05-20-12, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by 5mike5

the pacers win a few games and 99% of this forum acts like they are on a title run

never seen so much overreaction after every single game in my life

heat were better ALL year, and will win the series....every1 riding pacers is laughable

Yeah. I love how everyone calls me a homer when I predicted Spurs/Thunder and Heat/Celtics like a month ago.

What's even funnier is that all these Laker bandwagon fans come at me from all directions after they barely win one game at home when they were gifted 41 points from the free throw line. All of the sudden the Lakers are going to blow out the Thunder and win the series and I'm a homer because I think otherwise.

This place is annoying. I don't know how much longer I will stay here. I'm a homer for saying OKC is the second best team in the West? I don't understand. They are the second best team in the West. It's been that way all year.

People are dumb if they really thought LA was the better team after OKC has won 5 of 7 against them this year and scored over 100 in 5 of those games.

LA needs a point guard and a coach. They also need some more depth.

As for the East, it's funny people keep betting against Boston taking teams like Atlanta and Philly to advance. Boston will win that series.