I think Philly makes some defensive adjustments from Game 3 and shuts down the Celtics early on. They relaxed on Pierce in Game 3 after he struggled in the first two games, and I think they go back to the strategy of forcing Rondo and Garnett to beat them in this game. The Celtics, on the other hand, won't be making too many pre-game adjustments and will have to adjust on the fly to what Philly is doing. I think this will take them some time. Therefore, although I have the Celtics spread for the full game, I think Philly 1Q and the 1Q under are strong plays tonight.