Going Big on NYK +8

Filmoz · 05-06-12, 12:32 PM

An equally compelling argument is that the Knicks are a defeated team, and Miami will finish this one off in decisive fashion. Look at the Mavs game last nite. Home dog facing elimination doesn't mean much when they are just plain outmatched. If your prediction holds any water, I would go with the O183.5 rather than picking sides.

zilchy · 05-06-12, 12:35 PM

Ballsy play. BOL man not touching this game myself, but Jazz are +8 tomorrow you taking that too? That would be balls of steel.

BigDofBA · 05-06-12, 12:39 PM

I don't think it's a bad play but I hate your logic.

Pretty sure Dallas was in the same position last night.

Filmoz · 05-06-12, 12:44 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I don't think it's a bad play but I hate your logic.

Pretty sure Dallas was in the same position last night.

Yeah this was my thinking too. Home team facing elimination isn't any more compelling than a superior visiting team with an opportunity to decisively end the series right there.

Snowball · 05-06-12, 12:45 PM

yeah well after seeing Utah play it close until the second half
last night
my appetite for home dogs against obviously superior teams
has waned.

Philly and Boston probably enough for me today
let's keep it profitable and not unecessarily risk money
on vague notions like "pride"

walv89 · 05-06-12, 12:54 PM

both utah and mavs covered 1h last night.. maybe knicks will cover 1h as well

Speedy88 · 05-06-12, 01:01 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I don't think it's a bad play but I hate your logic.

Pretty sure Dallas was in the same position last night.

Big difference between getting 2 points and 8 points.

From what I read on this game, NY badly wants to keep it close. Chandler and Melo mentioned multiple times that a sweep will not sit well with hem. Do I think NY can win? Yes but they most likely won't. But they should be able to keep it w/in 8.

Snowball · 05-06-12, 01:07 PM

half the NY fans are there to see the Heat anyway

LOL · 05-06-12, 01:11 PM

No bet for me. NY are losers man. I can very well see them just give up if miami goes on a run. Watch the videos on the nba.com/heat side. They are talking about closing it out strong. If I bet this I go with miami but Im not sure if thats a good bet.

BigDofBA · 05-06-12, 01:14 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

From what I read on this game, NY badly wants to keep it close.

I'm sure New York wanted to keep it close the first three games too. I'm sure the Bobcats didn't want to be the worst team ever. Just because the Knicks want to be close and win, doesn't mean they will.

Originally posted by Speedy88

Chandler and Melo mentioned multiple times that a sweep will not sit well with hem.

I'm sure going down 3-0 and getting blown out in game three didn't set well with them either. That doesn't mean it prevented it from happening.

The good thing here is that you're getting 8. The bad thing is, the Knicks are garbage. I don't think it's a bad play but I don't think it's worthy of going huge on either. Good luck.

Speedy88 · 05-06-12, 01:21 PM

I just really like the value in getting 8 points. And to be completely honest, the Knicks have played like crap for most this series, I expect them to play better.

ren2_laurence · 05-06-12, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

I just really like the value in getting 8 points. And to be completely honest, the Knicks have played like crap for most this series, I expect them to play better.

I also like the value here. But NYK's really garbage and Miami's a beast. So I took Miami-7.5 here. Just don't want to over-analyze some lines just like what I did to Utah+5.5.

blackgolden · 05-06-12, 01:25 PM

lets go knicks

tail 1 U

csknight3 · 05-06-12, 01:53 PM

Take Knicks 1st half. Miami 2nd.

georgejung · 05-06-12, 01:59 PM

Miami 1st quarter and Miami whole game. Knicks aint hittin on shit

Sport_Fish · 05-06-12, 02:02 PM

Knicks played like crap for the first 2 games...and if there was a time that they would play better and/or Heat would play worse, it was Game 3. Clearly it did not happen, and it won't happen game 4. You can be sure after watching their main competition from the West take care of their series 4-0, Miami will not want to look 'inferior' and will be sure to match their efforts with a sweep themselves. Not to mention the Heat have absolutely no interest in playing another game in this useless series. Their aiming for the championship and the last thing they need is to waste energy in a pointless game (which is what game 4 will be if they lose). The angle to back the team down 0-2/0-3 did not work on Dallas, didn't work on Utah, and I don't see it working on Knicks.

Hate the play...good luck though.

texhooper · 05-06-12, 03:23 PM

seems like for 5 or 6 years, lebron james-led teams have just crushed everyone in the first round. i hope it stays reasonably close to create value in miami 2nd half, as derrick rose before me has already mentioned. and if i don't take that then i hope speedy gets his cover as i have nothing on this one at the moment.

burchfield · 05-06-12, 03:36 PM

I got a small play on Miami Speedy. If u reimburse my small play I will swap sides and pull for the Knicks here just for you lil buddy. May not help your chances much but it be good for morale.

BigDofBA · 05-06-12, 04:04 PM

Miami sleep walking and up 6.

If you're on the Knicks, I don't know how you could feel comfortable right now.

Speedy88 · 05-06-12, 04:15 PM

Both teams are sleep walking. NYK still hasn't had one big run where the crowd has gotten into it. Home teams usually make at least one or two big runs in a game. I think we see at least one big run out of NYK here in the 2nd half.

My Melo OVER 27 pts at -115 is looking good as well. Just hoping NYK can keep it close here in the 2H. Someone other than Melo needs to start scoring.

BigDofBA · 05-06-12, 04:54 PM

Looking good so far.

bleek88 · 05-06-12, 04:58 PM

I wish you luck young grasshopper.

Speedy88 · 05-06-12, 05:05 PM

Originally posted by bleek88

I wish you luck young grasshopper.

haha thanks.

bleek88 · 05-06-12, 05:15 PM

You got this speedy cash money baby

lunchbawks · 05-06-12, 05:29 PM

nice

totally legit game, bosh pulls up for 3 and NY ices the game...

ohhhh the NBA

Sport_Fish · 05-06-12, 05:35 PM

Unreal hit man...Who knew Knicks had this in them.

Hope u sprinkled some on the ML too

Vulcan300 · 05-06-12, 05:37 PM

jumped on it too, good stuff!

Speedy88 · 05-06-12, 05:38 PM

Originally posted by Sport_Fish

Unreal hit man...Who knew Knicks had this in them.

Hope u sprinkled some on the ML too

Almost did, but couldn't quite pull the trigger.

Wow, really needed this one. I've had a pretty rough start to the playoffs, but this brings me back to pretty much even.

SteelRain · 05-06-12, 06:14 PM

really nice hit speedy

unbelievable that lebron didn't take the last shot.

notoriouz · 05-06-12, 06:19 PM

put 100 on knicks ml live betting +500 when they were by 7 in the 2nd quarter
then 100 on heat ml live betting +205 when they were down by 3 in the final minute to hedge

burchfield · 05-07-12, 05:02 AM

Good hit Speedy. Congrats. Lost a little myself but couldn't miss Friday and Saturday I lost down to $100 above even but nothing like I was Sunday when I woke up. Couldn't pick a winner for anything on Sunday

domi · 05-07-12, 07:47 AM

Good call speedy88