NBA RPI system

[riceman003]

This system is fully inspired by bettor2win and i finished it with the help of DegenGamble from covers.com. So fully credits to both of them and i cant thank degen enough for help me with this

The system focuses on moneyline play and spread play, however i will post over and under tho that has not thing to do with the system


i do not know how well this works since i cant back test it as i dont have previous RPI data for previous dates. this is not the official release and i am still tracking some stuff and tweaking a few equations here and there for Spread play.


i will post my picks daily, but right now idk how well this system is going to work for the playoffs especially with this stupid memphis game tonight.


here is the excel


https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwMUkyaDZsbk1HT0E


and once again TY DEGENGAMBLE AND BETTOR2WIN


NOTE: this system does not guarantee anything in gambling

[riceman003]

4/30/2012 picks

Unofficial plays - pick at your own risk
OKC -6 1/2
Money line Miami


not playing indiana or heats


These are something else i am testing with the system right now ill see how it works: dont pick these plays as its just a way for me to keep track
OKC vs Dallas under 200
NY vs Miami over 184
Orlando vs Indiana Over 187

[riceman003]

4/30/2012 picks

Unofficial plays - pick at your own risk
OKC -6 1/2
Money line Miami


not playing indiana or heats


These are something else i am testing with the system right now ill see how it works: dont pick these plays as its just a way for me to keep track
OKC vs Dallas under 200
NY vs Miami over 184
Orlando vs Indiana Over 187

if following caution filter
Knicks +9 1/2

[riceman003]

Regular Filter

1-1


Caution Filter


1-2


Looks like theres alot of tweaking needed for the over unders so i wont post them anymore till probably next season


also i have updated the spread play calculations for a better spread plays if following the new calculations could of have been


Regular Filter 2-1
Caution filter 2-2


Tomorrows play will be:


Regular Filter:
Chicago -6.5


Caution Filter
Chicago -6.5
Atlanta -4

[riceman003]

Been really busy with exams so i havent updated anything

YTD


Regular Filter


2-2


Caution Filter


2-4


also ive realized the spread play becomes more accurate as more games are played so i think its good to skip maybe game 1 and 2 of every new round

but for the sake of the system i was keeping up with the plays

https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0Mwa2lEMzI1b05PQ0U


the link is the spread with out the update after the 5/10 game


the system would of went 1-1 today


Denver - Win
Celtics- Loss


ALSO i forgot to keep a file of the stats from everyday cause of exams but the second link is from 5/1 and if u used it to follow the play for 5/2 you would of went


https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B960g5PPz0MwZW9USXg1SWlfcDQ


1-0 following regular filter
Spurs - win
2-0 following caution filter
spurs - win
indiana - win



also the RPI isnt really working since RPI on espn isnt being updated anymore cause of play offs. so for now its just the spread play.


I will post the plays for 5/11 5/12 and 5/13 game tomorrow once my lines update

[riceman003]

No plays today my thing says clippers will be giving point but the book says otherwise

Unofficial play:
ML Clippers +113


5/12 plays


Skipping the first few games of a new round


Unofficial:
Nuggets + 7.5
Celtics -4


5/13


Skipping the first few games of a new round