Another Melo point props night?

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  • blanco
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-06-12
    • 876

    #1
    Another Melo point props night?
    I can't seem to pull the trigger on over 26.5 (-145). Books are getting smarter and this seems like this has to be a huge tax on people blindly betting him to go over.

    Anyone seen a better line?
  • 5mike5
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-21-11
    • 52014

    #2
    way too much juice for any bb player prop imo...but he has been lights out

    if i see anything better ill let ya know
    Comment
    • jasper90
      SBR Rookie
      • 02-20-12
      • 29

      #3
      Originally posted by blanco
      I can't seem to pull the trigger on over 26.5 (-145). Books are getting smarter and this seems like this has to be a huge tax on people blindly betting him to go over.

      Anyone seen a better line?

      betonline has -125 over 26
      Comment
      • Speedy88
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-19-11
        • 11717

        #4
        Books are catching on, I've been expecting that kind of juice for about a week now.
        Comment
        • Speedy88
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-19-11
          • 11717

          #5
          Any BetIsland players here? Anyone notice that they won't be offering player props til the playoffs. Really disappointing.
          Comment
          • tullamore21
            SBR MVP
            • 05-12-09
            • 1929

            #6
            bet365 gives 28,5 line
            Comment
            • tullamore21
              SBR MVP
              • 05-12-09
              • 1929

              #7
              Originally posted by Speedy88
              Any BetIsland players here? Anyone notice that they won't be offering player props til the playoffs. Really disappointing.
              pinnacle too
              Comment
              • 5mike5
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-21-11
                • 52014

                #8
                25.5 at 5D

                but i wouldnt pay the juice anywhere near what it is on any of melo latley
                Comment
                • Speedy88
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-19-11
                  • 11717

                  #9
                  John from BI just responded and said that player props will be available within the next 72 hours. They are just going through some software changes.
                  Comment
                  • Cheme82
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-03-08
                    • 7823

                    #10
                    Just played it at Bovada

                    (BOS vs NY) - Total Points - Carmelo Anthony (NY)
                    (5148) Over vs. (5149) Under
                    (5148) Over 25½ (-135) Apr 17/12@06:05p
                    Risking US$ 202.50
                    To win US$ 150.00

                    I have it at -150 at that line so I see value there.
                    Comment
                    • Speedy88
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-19-11
                      • 11717

                      #11
                      Good luck Cheme, you should find that it will be on pace to hit by the end of the 1Q. Knicks run their offense through Carmelo more than any other team runs through one player right now. Once Amare comes back that all changes, but this offense is centered around Melo.
                      Comment
                      • 5mike5
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 09-21-11
                        • 52014

                        #12
                        0 value in that much juice OVER imo

                        every1 and their brother on the Over...not even sure ill bet the Under

                        GL guys ill be pullin 4 ya if i dont take it
                        Comment
                        • Speedy88
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-19-11
                          • 11717

                          #13
                          Originally posted by 5mike5
                          0 value in that much juice OVER imo

                          every1 and their brother on the Over...not even sure ill bet the Under

                          GL guys ill be pullin 4 ya if i dont take it
                          At the sametime everyone and their brother have been playing it for the past 5-10 games and he has pretty much gone OVER everytime. However I will say this, if there is a team to hold him UNDER, I think it would be the Celtics. But the fact that he went for 40+ against the Bulls says a lot IMO. When Carmelo is ON, he is the best scorer in the NBA. Yes, I said it. Better than Durant, better than LeBron, etc.
                          Comment
                          • 5mike5
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 09-21-11
                            • 52014

                            #14
                            yeah hes been on fire...just not much value at that juiced up price imo...

                            but i never said u shouldnt hammer it if u love the bet...just personal prefrence thing...

                            im thinkin bout taking the under just for the value, but havent decided yet just accoring how high it goes
                            Comment
                            • Les_Nuts
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-01-12
                              • 931

                              #15
                              Definite pass for me. I don't mind juice but this is too much, only way I would play it is in a parlay. Don't know how I got him at +102 vs Heat
                              Comment
                              • Cheme82
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-03-08
                                • 7823

                                #16
                                I definitely wouldn't play it at the OP's posted line and juice, but I have him getting to at least 26 2 out every 3 games like this one so -135 is a deal. Whether it ends up cashing or not is a different matter.
                                Comment
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