The Natural's Picks (Look Inside if you want $)

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  • raiderhater9572
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-04-10
    • 226

    #1
    The Natural's Picks (Look Inside if you want $)
    I am a long time reader on the forum for all sports (NFL NCAAF NCAAB NBA..) but rarely post consistently. Yesterday I did post my plays and I rocked them go find out for yourself if you want.
    My story: I am a student in college but has been seriously betting the last few years and have had good results; currently I bet for my best friend/boss who has complete faith in me and has given me total control of his bets. Initially he was 8 K in the red but after yesterday after 6 weeks I have got him to 9 K in the green. Believe it or not but its true..and ill show you how. my system: 1 unit = 200$ I am dealing with a bookie who adds 10 pts of juice for spread bets and 20 pts for ml, prop bets coming from pinnaclesports.com
    - love to hear input/advice/banter/challenges/anything but I will post winners and show you how to make money

    San Antonio Spurs @ Cleveland Cavaliers 4pm (west coast)
    (36-14; 15-10) (17-33; 9-17)
    SAS: -9 (-118) ML -505/+427 O/U 202.5
    - Irving probable to return to lineup
    - SAS looking for 8th straight win
    Like Over 202.5 (-112)
    - SAS generally high scoring games; CLE can tend to play in fast up temp style games. Irving probable, boosts CLE offensive production; SAS may rest some starters and CLE doesn't want to lose 8 straight in front of home crowd with Irving returning.
    - Total opened at 201 and has sharply to 202.5, although early bets looked to be on under; slight reverse line movement. More bettors taking over as we get closer to gametime; correlates with taking SAS (public is on) and over. Line jumped up quick because books want more people to take under which they initially had; this signals that the over is the correct play. Safer than taking Spurs - pts (might even be game where CLE could nab them but I don't think I am going to touch it). Since public is now siding with the over I think the line will creep towards 203 as gametime approaches trying to get more under money.

    Risk 2 units Over 202.5 (-112) 448/400
  • raiderhater9572
    SBR High Roller
    • 11-04-10
    • 226

    #2
    Charlotte Bobcats @ Toronto Raptors 4 pm
    (7-43; 3-23) (18-35; 10-17)
    TOR: -9 (-117) -490/+416 o/u 188.5
    - TOR looking to avoid 7th consecutive loss to CHA
    - Last 4 TOR opponents acg: 104.5 ppg and 50% fg
    -Maggette out for CHA

    - TOR seeking back to back home win, first time since last season. CHA coming off an OT loss. Winnable game for TOR that has won 2/3. Both teams out of playoff picture. With Maggette out for CHA and others (Agustin, Thomas day-day) CHA is in a bad spot. Don't expect too much defense to be played in game; TOR lately consistently in high scoring games and CHA is focusing on pushing the pace.
    Lean: TOR -9 TOR/CHA O 188.5
    - Early money on TOR -9.5 but gradually money comes in on CHA and line goes to -9. Currently I see 75% of bets on CHA with the line staying stable. With CHA dealing with significant injuries and also just being the worst team in the NBA this is great time to bet TOR at home. Anytime CHA is getting money on their side is an immediate red flag to fade them (on road too!) Regarding the total, which opened at 187.5 and saw early under money shoot it down 187; it instantly sprang up again and now at 188.5. With about 60%+ bets on over now books want to attract under money that was initially being bet (season long stats would probably signal under in this game, but in this scenario I see little incentive to play defense between two teams that are non-playoff contenders)

    Plays:
    TOR -5 1st H (-118) 1 unit 236/200
    TOR/CHA O 94 1st H (-119) 1 unit 238/200
    TOR -9 (-117) 1.5 units 351/300
    TOR/CHA O 188.5 (-117) 234/200
    Player Prop: G. Henderson O 15 pts (-134) 268/200
    Comment
    • dsk0057
      SBR Hustler
      • 03-05-12
      • 70

      #3
      Let's see if you are really worth a shot!!! GL
      Comment
      • jayson311
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 08-18-10
        • 900

        #4
        + 85 units in 42 days
        Comment
        • raiderhater9572
          SBR High Roller
          • 11-04-10
          • 226

          #5
          less than 60 days for sure
          Comment
          • raiderhater9572
            SBR High Roller
            • 11-04-10
            • 226

            #6
            Have more plays coming (loads) would love to hear thoughts from others on some more picks onight they like..lets make some ******* money!
            - Also is there anyway Baylor loses tonight?
            Comment
            • Frisco
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-27-12
              • 6138

              #7
              Originally posted by raiderhater9572
              Have more plays coming (loads) would love to hear thoughts from others on some more picks onight they like..lets make some ******* money!
              - Also is there anyway Baylor loses tonight?
              Highly unlikely. Put 1k on Baylor ML -250. It has jumped up to -300 since the Kentucky game ended. ND has 1 great player, Skylar Diggins, but the problem is Odyssey Sims for Baylor is the best on ball defender in the country. Also hard betting against a 6'8 tranny that dominates around the rim.
              Comment
              • raiderhater9572
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-04-10
                • 226

                #8
                Have to be more brief here but:
                - If there ever was a time to bet the heat this is it...do i need to explain?
                - Q bets are at times a little bit of a crapshoot but im starting to like them of late!

                PLAYS
                Raptors -3 1st Q (-118) 1 unit 236/200
                Heat -2.5 (-115) 1 unit 230/200
                Raptors/Bobcats 1st Q O 47.5 (-115) 1 unit 230/200
                Heat -3.5 1st H (-120) 1.5 unit 360/300
                Heat 1st H ML (-228) 1 unit 456/200
                Baylor 1st H -3.5 (-113) 1.5 unit 339/300
                Parlay: Raptors (-575) Baylor (-310) Heat (-320) Risk 1000 Win 1037
                Comment
                • raiderhater9572
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-04-10
                  • 226

                  #9
                  Add: Heat -8 (-110) 1.5 units 330/300
                  Comment
                  • raiderhater9572
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-04-10
                    • 226

                    #10
                    Add:
                    Suns/Kings O 213 (-110) 2 units 440/400
                    Parlay: Heat 1st H ML Raptors 1st H ML Baylor ML Lakers ML Kings ML Grizzlies ML Risk 300 Win 1999
                    Comment
                    • Nyjrkm06
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 01-25-12
                      • 562

                      #11
                      legoooo
                      Comment
                      • raiderhater9572
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 11-04-10
                        • 226

                        #12
                        Pistons +1.5 (-119) 1.5 units 357/300
                        Comment
                        • raiderhater9572
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-04-10
                          • 226

                          #13
                          Grizzlies -7.5 (-114) 342/300
                          Grizzlies/Warriors Under 195 (-118) 354/300
                          Marc Gasol O 16 pts (-121) 363/300
                          Grizzlies 1st H -4 (-115) 230/200
                          Grizzlies/Warriors 1st H U 100 (-126) 252/200
                          Comment
                          • raiderhater9572
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 11-04-10
                            • 226

                            #14
                            Griz -2.5 1st Q (-110) 220/200
                            Grizzlies/Warriors U 50 1st Q (-119) 238/200
                            Comment
                            • raiderhater9572
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-04-10
                              • 226

                              #15
                              SAS/CLE over 97.5 2nd H (-110) 220/200

                              slow start with quarter bets losing like 3 by a point but i think im looking good
                              Comment
                              • raiderhater9572
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 11-04-10
                                • 226

                                #16
                                TOR 2nd H -3 (-125) 250/200
                                Comment
                                • raiderhater9572
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 11-04-10
                                  • 226

                                  #17
                                  Heat -6 (-108) 2nd Half 648/600
                                  Comment
                                  • raiderhater9572
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 11-04-10
                                    • 226

                                    #18
                                    Grizzlies/Warriors U 95.5 2nd H (-110) 330/300
                                    Grizzlies -4.5 2nd H (-122) 244/200
                                    Comment
                                    • jayson311
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 08-18-10
                                      • 900

                                      #19



                                      Comment
                                      • raiderhater9572
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-04-10
                                        • 226

                                        #20
                                        Kings +2.5 pts (-111) 333/300
                                        Nash O 11 pts (-111) 222/200
                                        Kings +.5 1st Q-110 220/200
                                        Comment
                                        • raiderhater9572
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 11-04-10
                                          • 226

                                          #21
                                          Kings/Spurs O 108.5 1st H (-105) 315/300
                                          Comment
                                          • raiderhater9572
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 11-04-10
                                            • 226

                                            #22
                                            Lakers -8.5 (-113) 452/400
                                            Lakers -3 1st Q (-120) 240/200
                                            Comment
                                            • raiderhater9572
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 11-04-10
                                              • 226

                                              #23
                                              Lakers/Nets O 97.5 (-115) 345/300 1st H
                                              Comment
                                              • raiderhater9572
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-04-10
                                                • 226

                                                #24
                                                big 2nd half plays coming
                                                Comment
                                                • crackerjack
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-01-06
                                                  • 3366

                                                  #25
                                                  I'll be watching...good analysis on your first few posts. I think you may make a few too many bets though...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MrTwiz
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-26-10
                                                    • 913

                                                    #26
                                                    How can there be BIG 2nd half plays coming when u havent even seen the first halves yet?
                                                    God hates cowards
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jayson311
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 08-18-10
                                                      • 900

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by mrtwiz
                                                      how can there be big 2nd half plays coming when u havent even seen the first halfs yet?
                                                      chase!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • raiderhater9572
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 11-04-10
                                                        • 226

                                                        #28
                                                        yea i am on a little bit of a chase but considering how bad of a day this is for me its not too terrible so far..scared money isn't going to make money!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • raiderhater9572
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 11-04-10
                                                          • 226

                                                          #29
                                                          Kings -1 2nd Half (-120) 600/500
                                                          Kings -9 2nd Half (+384) 200/768
                                                          Comment
                                                          • raiderhater9572
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 11-04-10
                                                            • 226

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by MrTwiz
                                                            How can there be BIG 2nd half plays coming when u havent even seen the first halves yet?
                                                            im watching the games!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MrTwiz
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-26-10
                                                              • 913

                                                              #31
                                                              Wow you made my pick and said my saying, Im on board. I do like kings and over 2nd half, no bull BOL bro
                                                              God hates cowards
                                                              Comment
                                                              • raiderhater9572
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 11-04-10
                                                                • 226

                                                                #32
                                                                Lakers/Nets U 97.5 2nd H (-122) 488/400
                                                                Comment
                                                                • raiderhater9572
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 11-04-10
                                                                  • 226

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by MrTwiz
                                                                  Wow you made my pick and said my saying, Im on board. I do like kings and over 2nd half, no bull BOL bro
                                                                  I like the over but i already got 2 units on O 213 so i just let that one go..i like kings here to compete
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • raiderhater9572
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-04-10
                                                                    • 226

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I feel like that Lakers game is going to slow down
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • raiderhater9572
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 11-04-10
                                                                      • 226

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Lakers -1.5 (-105) 210/200 2nd H - I think the Nets might lay down and get ready for tommorow
                                                                      Comment
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