4/3 Charlotte in Toronto - This looks like a good spot for a middle

[brainfreeze0]

As PR9 has pointed out in his thread here:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1652126-charlotte-1st-quarters-ultimate-fade.html

Charlotte loses its covers on 1st quarter spreads around 85% of the time and playing in Toronto looks like a good spot as you will be laying Toronto -2 or 2 1/2 for the first quarter. It's winrate is high enough that its worth laying as it will win more often then lose.

Myself and a few others pointed out in T-wizzles thread that 9 1/2 points is a pretty big line for a team like the Raptors for several reasons in this thread:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1660484-been-big-raptors-lately.html

Seems like a good spot to fade Charlotte 1Q and bet them for the game. Charlotte recently lost to Detroit 110 - 107, just 3 points. I think they can hold the Raptors to within 9. Probably might be able to use this same tactic in other games to come as well. Thoughts on success rate here?

[Speedy88]

I'd prefer to fade CHAR 1Q against a stronger opponent. Either way good luck.

[brainfreeze0]

Yeah that was one worry, but they beat Wizards by 1 on the 1st quarter the other night at home, and even without Nene, I still think they're stronger than Charlotte. Apparently Vegas thinks so as well because without Nene they were 6 1/2 dogs and Charlotte is 9.

[SaMSoLeeT]

im also thinking 1st q bet on Spurs/cavs game what you think.

[shadymcgrady]

cle 1st qt

[pepero428]

As PR9 has pointed out in his thread here:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1652126-charlotte-1st-quarters-ultimate-fade.html

Charlotte loses its covers on 1st quarter spreads around 85% of the time and playing in Toronto looks like a good spot as you will be laying Toronto -2 or 2 1/2 for the first quarter. It's winrate is high enough that its worth laying as it will win more often then lose.

Myself and a few others pointed out in T-wizzles thread that 9 1/2 points is a pretty big line for a team like the Raptors for several reasons in this thread:

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-betting/1660484-been-big-raptors-lately.html

Seems like a good spot to fade Charlotte 1Q and bet them for the game. Charlotte recently lost to Detroit 110 - 107, just 3 points. I think they can hold the Raptors to within 9. Probably might be able to use this same tactic in other games to come as well. Thoughts on success rate here?

5dimes has toronto -3 1st quarter, what book are you using

[brainfreeze0]

5dimes has toronto -3 1st quarter, what book are you using

Heritage. Yeah I wrote that last night so it was more of an assumption. They usually divide the game score by 4, but not here. Maybe their reading our threads. I still took the 1st quarter anyways, but Im not as confident in it.