Sick of losing ATS when opponents key players are NOT PLAYING!!!!

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  • last-1-2-know
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-23-12
    • 151

    #1
    Sick of losing ATS when opponents key players are NOT PLAYING!!!!
    OMG....is it me???? Tonight (3/26) it's the Knicks (minus Lin & Amare) that beat my MIL +6....the other night it was San Antonio covering with Duncan out against Philly....Boston (-Ray Allen) covering against MIL the other day......other countless ones I've managed to forget....


    Also, on the flip side of that....I've lost more times when a player COMES BACK....from injury or suspension and their team plays like shee-it.....
  • brainfreeze0
    SBR MVP
    • 03-19-12
    • 2146

    #2
    Debut games from return players seem to be a dud a lot of the time. Same with going against a team who just lost a key player for whatever reason
    Comment
    • dlunc3
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-31-09
      • 9129

      #3
      Don't forget the best one... Miami covering and winning straight up in atl with no lebron or wade.
      Comment
      • Illusivecone
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-08-08
        • 771

        #4
        Ewing Rule

        Ur betting against a long term +ev trend
        Comment
        • Frisco
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-27-12
          • 6138

          #5
          Sixers and Bucks are both pretty bad so it doesn't matter if 1 player is missing that game. I think the worst example was the Heat losing to the Bulls w/ Rose out tho
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          • ChiLLx
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-24-11
            • 5412

            #6
            Originally posted by dlunc3
            Don't forget the best one... Miami covering and winning straight up in atl with no lebron or wade.
            This was the worst one of the season

            ATL losing in 3OT at home against a team without the 2 best players in the league
            Comment
            • Frisco
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-27-12
              • 6138

              #7
              Another terrible one was Magic losing in Atlanta with Collins, Horford, Joe Johnson, and Marvin Williams being out. D-12 attempted like 6 total shots w/ Hawks missing their 2 best big men
              Comment
              • last-1-2-know
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-23-12
                • 151

                #8
                There has to be something to this trend....I know how to fix it.....If I start betting FOR the team that is missing the player (or against the team when they get a player back) then that will SWING the wins in the other direction......Just like when I start tailing DAD tonight....that 6 game win streak is gonna be over....sorry DAD, u can blame it on me.....
                Comment
                • last-1-2-know
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 03-23-12
                  • 151

                  #9
                  Only major game that I can think of in which key players were absent and the team actually lost was when SAS sat starts against Portland....but that didn't help me much..............because I was the "last-1-2-know"....conveniently found out shortly after tip....
                  Comment
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