Rolling with the 3 home dogs

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  • Speedy88
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-19-11
    • 11717

    #1
    Rolling with the 3 home dogs
    I'm going to roll with the three home dogs today:

    HOU +3
    UTA +3.5
    SAC +3.5

    All three teams are going up against heavy public favorites. There is nothing I like more than taking home dogs, especially when the public is pounding the opposite side.

    73% on LAL and the line has moved from -3 to -2.5
    91% on OKC and the line hasn't moved all day
    74% on MEM and the line moved from -3.5 to -3

    Looks like one of those days where the books don't mind taking some chances. All those lines are very telling IMO.

    Good luck everyone.
  • YouHave2outs
    SBR MVP
    • 07-02-11
    • 4448

    #2
    on them too besides rock. been tryin all day to get +3 on them
    Comment
    • Speedy88
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-19-11
      • 11717

      #3
      Yeah I'm going to make a play on HOU 1Q or 1H. LAL has been crap early in games, and they typically make a push in the 2nd half.

      LAL @ NOH: Hornets up by 8 after 1Q, up 14 at Halftime
      LAL @ MEM: Grizzlies up by 8 after 1Q, up 1 at Halftime
      LAL @ MIN: TWolves up 12 after 1Q, up 9 at Halftime
      LAL @ DET: Pistons up by 4 at Halftime
      Comment
      • PR9
        SBR MVP
        • 12-30-11
        • 2813

        #4
        you and Billy think alike:

        Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
        Comment
        • Speedy88
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-19-11
          • 11717

          #5
          Originally posted by PR9
          Comment
          • PR9
            SBR MVP
            • 12-30-11
            • 2813

            #6
            Raja Bell out. The primary defender for Durant
            Comment
            • MoreWaysThanOne
              SBR Hustler
              • 02-16-12
              • 94

              #7
              I gotta say I like Utah with Jefferson out. I am a firm believe of other players stepping up 10 fold in the absence of one of their stars. If bettingwizard was posting he would take Utah too.
              Comment
              • MoreWaysThanOne
                SBR Hustler
                • 02-16-12
                • 94

                #8
                Originally posted by PR9
                Raja Bell out. The primary defender for Durant
                oh well that's not good. Nevermind then.
                Comment
                • YouHave2outs
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-02-11
                  • 4448

                  #9
                  Originally posted by MoreWaysThanOne
                  I gotta say I like Utah with Jefferson out. I am a firm believe of other players stepping up 10 fold in the absence of one of their stars. If bettingwizard was posting he would take Utah too.
                  and jefferson is playing, pretty sure
                  Comment
                  • Speedy88
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-19-11
                    • 11717

                    #10
                    Yeah Jefferson is in, and Bell is out. Josh Howard is also done for the season. Two really solid perimeter defenders. If there is one thing you need against the Thunder, it is perimeter defenders.

                    I'm not too worried about it, CJ Miles, Gordon Hayward, and Alec Burks will step up.

                    BTW, am I the only one who thinks Alec Burks is going to be a stud in like 2-3 years. He is really raw now, but damn that kid has some game.
                    Comment
                    • as99
                      SBR MVP
                      • 03-25-10
                      • 1585

                      #11
                      I'm fading the SBR public and going with OKC.
                      Comment
                      • mbs4
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 05-14-10
                        • 388

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Speedy88
                        Yeah Jefferson is in, and Bell is out. Josh Howard is also done for the season. Two really solid perimeter defenders. If there is one thing you need against the Thunder, it is perimeter defenders.

                        I'm not too worried about it, CJ Miles, Gordon Hayward, and Alec Burks will step up.

                        BTW, am I the only one who thinks Alec Burks is going to be a stud in like 2-3 years. He is really raw now, but damn that kid has some game.
                        Burks is so slick. If he improves his jumper hell be a star.
                        Comment
                        • OUKUSFBOS
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 03-17-12
                          • 35

                          #13
                          1 down.... hopefully 2 more to go
                          Comment
                          • OUKUSFBOS
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 03-17-12
                            • 35

                            #14
                            2 out of 3

                            Still waiting on Kings +3
                            Kings ML

                            Parlay:
                            Kings +3
                            Rockets +3- Win
                            Utah +3.5- Win
                            Comment
                            • PR9
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-30-11
                              • 2813

                              #15
                              Woot !! Speedy kickin ass.

                              I couldn't roll with Sac tonight but we got the other 2


                              Comment
                              • pacocn
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-05-10
                                • 12934

                                #16
                                Speedy, nice work, i had them in my leans,
                                but didn't pul the trigger
                                Comment
                                • BigDofBA
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 09-30-09
                                  • 19313

                                  #17
                                  Nice plays. If I could just have the guts to bet against my team when I felt like they were going to lose I would be rich. As it is, I say I don't like them and then I just watch them lose and make no money off it.
                                  Comment
                                  • Speedy88
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-19-11
                                    • 11717

                                    #18
                                    Yeah great night so far. Just need the Kings to come through for the clean sweep.

                                    And damn those boys in Houston play with some heart, that was one of the best comebacks I've seen this year.

                                    Best of all, Lakers hit the road again tomorrow in Dallas. More money to be made.
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDofBA
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-30-09
                                      • 19313

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Speedy88
                                      Yeah great night so far. Just need the Kings to come through for the clean sweep.

                                      And damn those boys in Houston play with some heart, that was one of the best comebacks I've seen this year.

                                      Best of all, Lakers hit the road again tomorrow in Dallas. More money to be made.
                                      Dallas is a team I might start riding. I think they have gotten their shit together.

                                      As for my Thunder, I'm worried about the playoffs. We could be out in the second round. We blew our load early while the Spurs and Mavs were coasting.

                                      I would definitely take their experience over OKC in the playoffs. We're still too young. It's not quite our time yet. I think the Bulls, Heat, Spurs, and Mavericks are all better teams.
                                      Comment
                                      • OUKUSFBOS
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 03-17-12
                                        • 35

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                        Dallas is a team I might start riding. I think they have gotten their shit together.

                                        As for my Thunder, I'm worried about the playoffs. We could be out in the second round. We blew our load early while the Spurs and Mavs were coasting.

                                        I would definitely take their experience over OKC in the playoffs. We're still too young. It's not quite our time yet. I think the Bulls, Heat, Spurs, and Mavericks are all better teams.
                                        As a Nuggets fan, I can definitely appreciate what OKC brings to the table. I think you guys will be fine, and I full expect for OKC to be in the Western Conference Finals. They are still young and will lay eggs every now and again.
                                        Comment
                                        • PR9
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-30-11
                                          • 2813

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                          Nice plays. If I could just have the guts to bet against my team when I felt like they were going to lose I would be rich. As it is, I say I don't like them and then I just watch them lose and make no money off it.
                                          Don't be afraid. I've made alot betting against the Heat when the spots are right. I already knew PHX was up for tonight's game, then when I saw the heat dragging their feet in pregame warmups looking bored, and the fact that the Heat just had a revenge win against Orlando and barely covered, I laid 3u on PHX +10.5

                                          No one knows their team better than a fan. When everyone and the world bet on the Heat vs the Bulls on SBR last week w/out Rose, I think i was the only one who knew the Heat were going to lose in that particular spot on that night, and posted non stop about it. It was a great spot for the bulls and just a terrible spot for the Heat on that particular night.

                                          No one knows the daily ebbs and flows of a team than a fan. That's why part of me tries to be a fan of every team on any given night by following their shit in local news and local beats. Gives you a good read for situational betting
                                          Comment
                                          • crispix
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 03-20-12
                                            • 89

                                            #22
                                            Long time lurker, first time postin' on here.... I tailed you, but cautiously with .25 unit - pissed now I didn't go a full unit.

                                            Great eye for the picks, man - thank you!
                                            Comment
                                            • ShogunRua
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-23-09
                                              • 4668

                                              #23


                                              Nice job speedy.
                                              Comment
                                              • PR9
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-30-11
                                                • 2813

                                                #24
                                                Speedy is quickly becoming the best NBA capper on SBR..


                                                easily..

                                                a solid understanding of situational angles mixed in with the lines, timing, and matchup issues
                                                Comment
                                                • t-wizzle
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-18-09
                                                  • 38099

                                                  #25
                                                  Nice work speedy
                                                  Comment
                                                  • crispix
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 03-20-12
                                                    • 89

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by PR9
                                                    Speedy is quickly becoming the best NBA capper on SBR..

                                                    a solid understanding of situational angles mixed in with the lines, timing, and matchup issues
                                                    Quoted for truth! I'm paying attention.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PR9
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-30-11
                                                      • 2813

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by crispix
                                                      Quoted for truth! I'm paying attention.
                                                      it has nothing to do with tonight, but rather over the past couple of months.

                                                      impressive resume I have to admit ..

                                                      a high majority of the time his "reasonings" for the outcome hold true (whatever reasoning or angles that might be). Which is difficult to do in this condensed season

                                                      He also nailed Indiana for an easy cover, and his reasonings he stated last night were 100% correct
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Speedy88
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-19-11
                                                        • 11717

                                                        #28
                                                        The lines said it all. 90% on OKC yet the line never moved and the Jazz were being juiced up. And line moving in the opposite direction with the public pounding LAL and MEM.

                                                        I didn't post it here, but I hopped on the Bucks as well. Once I saw LB on it for 10X and that the line opened at -5 and moved to -3.5 was all I needed to make a play on MIL.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • crispix
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 03-20-12
                                                          • 89

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by PR9
                                                          it has nothing to do with tonight, but rather over the past couple of months.
                                                          Yea, I've been lurking a long time....have learned who to pay attention to, who to fade, and who to ignore altogether. But, I just finally decided it was time to register, and I started off saying Thanks to Speedy!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • OUKUSFBOS
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 03-17-12
                                                            • 35

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by crispix
                                                            Yea, I've been lurking a long time....have learned who to pay attention to, who to fade, and who to ignore altogether. But, I just finally decided it was time to register, and I started off saying Thanks to Speedy!
                                                            Same thing here
                                                            Comment
                                                            • OUKUSFBOS
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 03-17-12
                                                              • 35

                                                              #31
                                                              Perfect night speedy.... congrats.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • moshi
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 12-18-11
                                                                • 801

                                                                #32
                                                                Great night tonight...which means watch out tomorrow!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • therocket
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 01-08-12
                                                                  • 869

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Thanks for postin speedy. Good work.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Speedy88
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-19-11
                                                                    • 11717

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Clean sweep, 3-0.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MagicsFan
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 11-04-10
                                                                      • 32

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Lol, this guys a clown

                                                                      Posting the same plays billy posts a couple of hours later.
                                                                      clown man.....
                                                                      Comment
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