I decided to start my own thread and track my plays. Ive been working on a system since the first of the season and its been running about 50/50, tweaked system a bit and seems to be running at about 60%. We will see how it goes. First pick coming up later.
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Knicks vs Bulls
Analysis:
I look for the bulls to slow the pace against the Knicks to keep their shooters off balance. The bulls are a good defensive team and will
keep the Knicks in check. The bulls will look to slow the pace and get good offensive opportunities while at the same time limiting the knicks scoring opportunities. I also think the fatique factor will come into play limiting the knicks offensive scoring.
The Knicks are 3-10 against the total when playing back to back days and the bulls are 1-4 against the total when favored 6.5 to 9 points.
After analyzing amount of opportunities each team will have scoring(factoring in free throws, field goal percentages, 3 point percentages, and turnovers), I have the total coming in at 193. This is giving us great value in the under.
The Play: Knicks vs Bulls under 198.5
Hopefully we get this thread started in the right direction.
Good luck to all.
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change your avatar and I'll play it.... hate it when posters have fukkin WWE wrestlers in the avatar.... If you had Rowdy Roddy Piper or Co-Co-Be-Ware or the fukkin Ultimate Warrior in there, then we'd be talkin.
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Not the start we we wanted. 17 points in the first 3 minutes of the 3rd quarter really hurt. The 3rd quarter overall really hurt.
Lets keep trying.
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Hawks vs Nuggets
Analysis: The Hawks seem to be improving lately and are playing extremely good ball. The nuggets are really struggling with their
rotation apparently because of players coming off injuries. I like the momentum swing of the Hawks right now as they are
5-1 against the spread in their last 6 games. The nuggets are ice cold at home lately(3-10 against the spread in their last
13 home games). I feel the line will move down as the day goes on so I am jumping on the Hawks now.
The Play : Hawks +5.5
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Told you to change the avatar...
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Just for you spreadsniper. Avatar changed.Comment -
Hit with the Hawks last night.
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the avatar did it for you
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Hawks vs Clippers
Analysis: Like I said yesterday, the Hawks are an improving team and playing really great ball. I almost like the ML in this one as
my system says the Hawks win by 1, but I will stick with the points. The Hawks have won five of their last 7 games and have covered five of the last six. The hawks are also 4-1-1 against the spread in road games after playing the night before. The Clippers are going in the opposite direction and have lost 4 of their last 5 home games and they are 0-5 against the spread in this span.
THE PLAY: Hawks +6.5
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bol on your play
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Thanks guys.Comment -
No time for a write up.
Nuggetts and Thunder over 211.5
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