Vegas LOVES the BLAZERS tonight. Hmm

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • eyesickk
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-20-12
    • 160

    #1
    Vegas LOVES the BLAZERS tonight. Hmm
    Roughly 77% of all bets are on Boston, yet the line keeps moving down in Bostons favor?

  • Speedy88
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-19-11
    • 11717

    #2
    Noticed the same, it is down to 2.5 at my book. Pietrus and Wilcox both out.
    Comment
    • Pauulzcappin
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 04-23-10
      • 20295

      #3
      It's unreal. Weird as I can fukking possibly imagine. I even tried to find some referee stuff that could back this up and I just couldn't. Refs are actually favorable to home team ATS.

      Doesn't get stranger than that.
      Comment
      • eyesickk
        SBR High Roller
        • 02-20-12
        • 160

        #4
        Play on the blazers?
        Comment
        • Speedy88
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-19-11
          • 11717

          #5
          Same thing happened two nights ago. Majority was on TWolves, yet the line dropped. And guess what, TWolves still covered.

          I think Celts cover. Vegas trying to get the sharps to bite on POR. I won't take POR until they show me some type of life on the road.
          Comment
          • Pauulzcappin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 04-23-10
            • 20295

            #6
            Maybe, what the hell.
            Comment
            • eyesickk
              SBR High Roller
              • 02-20-12
              • 160

              #7
              Originally posted by Speedy88
              Same thing happened two nights ago. Majority was on TWolves, yet the line dropped. And guess what, TWolves still covered.

              I think Celts cover. Vegas trying to get the sharps to bite on POR. I won't take POR until they show me some type of life on the road.
              Why would vegas care about a couple "sharps" winning bets when they have the damn near the whole public biting on their line movements. Vegas cares about money, not outsmarting a couple sharps..
              Comment
              • Speedy88
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-19-11
                • 11717

                #8
                Originally posted by eyesickk
                Why would vegas care about a couple "sharps" winning bets when they have the damn near the whole public biting on their line movements. Vegas cares about money, not outsmarting a couple sharps..
                Vegas knows there are a lot of people out there who watch for that line movement. Lets say Vegas knows that Portland will most likely lose by 10+ (which is very likely since they've been awful on the road), why not move the line backwards and hope to get some heavy money on POR.

                I honestly think that is what happened on Wednesday in Minnesota. About 65% was on MIN, I think books knew MIN would easily cover, so moving the line from MIN -2 to MIN -3 wouldn't have mattered much. Why not move it backwards (from MIN -2 to MIN -1) and create some RLM to get sharps to bite.

                Just my opinion.
                Comment
                • eyesickk
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-20-12
                  • 160

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Speedy88
                  Vegas knows there are a lot of people out there who watch for that line movement. Lets say Vegas knows that Portland will most likely lose by 10+ (which is very likely since they've been awful on the road), why not move the line backwards and hope to get some heavy money on POR.

                  I honestly think that is what happened on Wednesday in Minnesota. About 65% was on MIN, I think books knew MIN would easily cover, so moving the line from MIN -2 to MIN -3 wouldn't have mattered much. Why not move it backwards (from MIN -2 to MIN -1) and create some RLM to get sharps to bite.

                  Just my opinion.
                  What was the line moved to in this game?
                  Comment
                  • Speedy88
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-19-11
                    • 11717

                    #10
                    Opened at BOS -3.5 and closed at BOS -2.5. However Wiclox and Pietrus are both out.
                    Comment
                    • eyesickk
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 02-20-12
                      • 160

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Speedy88
                      Opened at BOS -3.5 and closed at BOS -2.5. However Wiclox and Pietrus are both out.
                      I was talking about the minnesota game your speaking of
                      Comment
                      • Speedy88
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 03-19-11
                        • 11717

                        #12
                        Originally posted by eyesickk
                        I was talking about the minnesota game your speaking of
                        Oh it opened at MIN -2 and closed at MIN -1.

                        Told ya. Books knew BOS would blow them out by 10+. Rather than moving the line up to grab a few more squares, they threw some RLM on the game and I'm sure a ton of heavy sharp betters bit. I've seen a lot of good cappers take POR tonight.
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Wow -- Blazers are getting buried.
                          Comment
                          • eyesickk
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-20-12
                            • 160

                            #14
                            Lmfao, glad I stayed away
                            Comment
                            • larry040681
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-05-10
                              • 2813

                              #15
                              16 - 0 by celtics.... hahaha nice moves by vegas..
                              Comment
                              • goduke
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-10
                                • 11580

                                #16
                                Portland is throwing this game. Its so obvious
                                Comment
                                • moshi
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-18-11
                                  • 801

                                  #17
                                  Ooo dodgy
                                  Comment
                                  • dlunc3
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 10-31-09
                                    • 9129

                                    #18
                                    this is why trying to bet games based on line movement is pure nonsense
                                    Comment
                                    • lunchbawks
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-31-10
                                      • 12873

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by dlunc3
                                      this is why trying to bet games based on line movement is pure nonsense
                                      yea i bet portland solely based on the line move, bad move atleast this one's over early! just chalk up the loss and lets move on
                                      Comment
                                      • Speedy88
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-19-11
                                        • 11717

                                        #20
                                        Books knew BOS would blow out POR. Might as well throw some RLM on it hoping to get some heavy sharps on POR.
                                        Comment
                                        • dlunc3
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 10-31-09
                                          • 9129

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by lunchbawks
                                          yea i bet portland solely based on the line move, bad move atleast this one's over early! just chalk up the loss and lets move on
                                          not saying you did at all.... but a lot of people bet games strictly on that factor
                                          Comment
                                          • dRavidC
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-22-11
                                            • 2516

                                            #22
                                            burn for all those portland backers
                                            Comment
                                            • brahmabull117
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 8622

                                              #23
                                              when will people understand line movements mean nothing either way? bet games based on what you believe will happen. Stop believing every line Vegas gives is either super accurate or is wrong because it's a trap
                                              Comment
                                              Search
                                              Collapse
                                              SBR Contests
                                              Collapse
                                              Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                              Collapse
                                              Working...