ADZ's picks

[adz122]

Hey there,

I will be posting my sides here. My model focuses on opening line, therefore I will post picks for the day after.

I won't always post the line and if I don't post it, just assume I'm talking about Pinnacle opening's line.

Aswell, since I focus more on handicapping the line movement than the game itself, my record will be a record of 2 things : my picks (aka opening of a game) versus pinni's closing line. And of course I'll keep a record of the more standard against the spread results.

For monday

ATL
NJN
BOS
HOU
MIN
WAS
LAC

Remember, I don't think it's worth it to bet if you can't have the same number as the opening at pinnacle.

[adz122]

got LAC -2 -110 and MIN +4.5 -110 at CRIS. Everything else is better at Pinnacle

[adz122]

Not doing very good so far with 2 lines that have moved against me and only 1 in my favor. We'll see when they close.

For tomorrow only 2 games follow the model :

SAC
POR

[adz122]

We did good yesterday with 2 lines that moved in our favor (the SAS/POR game had moved 0.5pt our favor before the announce of parker/duncan out for SAS) and both won ATS.

I missed the opening lines today so we have a day off. For entertainment purpose only I'll post the games I'd have bet. Those won't go into the record I post at the end of the week.

BOS
ATL
ORL
MIL
PHX
DEN


For tomorrow (I bet those) :

NYK
ORL
DEN

[adz122]

We already won 1 point in the NYK MIA game aswell as 2.5pts in the ORL/ATL game. Easy.

[adz122]

Okc -1
lac -3.5

[adz122]

2/2 for yesterday. One line didn't move, we did win 0.5pt on the other game.

NJN +6

missed the other openings

[adz122]

For monday 05

ORL
WAS
DAL
POR

[adz122]

Finally found time to update the record. I'll try to do it daily from now. Maybe the thread will get more followers.

Line moves : 6-4-5 (moved in our favor - moved against - didn't move)

ATS : 8-7-0 (W-L-Push)

[Frisco]

Toronto has been pretty good at home to take an inconsistent Magic team to cover 6.5

[adz122]

For tuesday 06

ORL
HOU
NJN
NYK

[adz122]

Won 1 point in both the NYK DAL and the HOU BOS game. Line moved 0.5 pt against us in the ORL CHA game. So far so good.

[adz122]

wed 07 - 7 games follow the model

HOU
WAS
LAC
POR
PHX
DEN
SAC

[adz122]

Line moves : 8-6-5 (moved in our favor - moved against - didn't move)

ATS : 8-10-1 (W-L-Push)

I'll now post totals given that I've had decent success this season. Don't expect a ton of plays tho.

[adz122]

Bos phi o 176.5 -105

[adz122]

thursday 07

ORL +7

[adz122]

under NYK SAS game

[adz122]

Line moves : 12-7-7 (moved in our favor - moved against - didn't move)

ATS : 9-16-1 (W-L-Push)

totals : 0-2

1-8 yesterday lol. We did very good on the line changes tho.

[adz122]

Dal phx u 190.5 -110

[adz122]

2/2 yesterday.

13-7-7
10-16-1
1-2

missed the opening for today.

We'll only play totals :

CLE OKC u204.5
NYK MIL u206.5
NOH DEN u195.5

[adz122]

For saturday 10

TOR
HOU
CHA
PHX
DAL

[adz122]

1/3 yesterday

13-7-7
10-16-1
2-5