also -1500, middle it with the +1025 at say +1200 to be generous...do the thunder really win this 12/13 times?
Speedy88
SBR Posting Legend
03-19-11
11717
#2
I think OKC blows them out. Only thing I'm worried about is that's it is their first game back home after a long road trip.
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toddorts
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-11
882
#3
I haven't even looked at tomorrow's line yet, but if it's really OKC -12.5, then I'll definitely be taking the Jazz. The Thunder win this game, but not by 13 points. No way.
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YouHave2outs
SBR MVP
07-02-11
4448
#4
Originally posted by toddorts
I haven't even looked at tomorrow's line yet, but if it's really OKC -12.5, then I'll definitely be taking the Jazz. The Thunder win this game, but not by 13 points. No way.
it is 12.5 on pinnacle and juiced slightly closer to 13 than 12
okc did just hand them a decently easy loss in utah. i'm thinking though that the line was +1 in utah less than a week ago. this is a 13.5 point adjustment, books seem to see a blow out. i just can't wrap my head around it, as much as i've seen the thunder kill it this year
and yeah, i know thunder were on 3rd leg of b2b2b and now jazz are. still seems 13.5 is a lot of a diff in the line
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Speedy88
SBR Posting Legend
03-19-11
11717
#5
To my surprise public is on Utah. Can't remember the last time OKC wasn't a public favorite. Great time to back OKC, not to mention Utah is on the last leg of a b2b2b.
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kj8210
SBR Wise Guy
02-09-12
919
#6
Spreads to high for me. Although it is the third game in a row on the road for the Jazz I just wouldnt trust it.
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Dkid
SBR Wise Guy
10-05-11
761
#7
A well rested okc at home against a tired jazz team that just lost to no. I'll take okc by 15+.
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YouHave2outs
SBR MVP
07-02-11
4448
#8
Originally posted by Dkid
A well rested okc at home against a tired jazz team that just lost to no. I'll take okc by 15+.
i'm sure this is the standard line for casual okc bettors. well said
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Speedy88
SBR Posting Legend
03-19-11
11717
#9
To be honest, you really couldn't look for a more perfect spot for the Thunder to be in:
Utah's 3rd game in 3 days
OKC rested
Public on Utah
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FilletMaster
SBR MVP
09-21-10
1096
#10
pretty sure thunder went to utah on the last leg of a longgg road trip last week and handed utah a 14 point loss ... now jazz on b2b2b, coming off a loss to a sad 4? win hornets team.. line is right!
thunder by double digits
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robinhood
SBR Wise Guy
09-12-09
916
#11
Gamblers. Listen to my message and not the bookies. The Jazz spread out the playing time so they would be ready for this game. Don't worry about the b2b2b. The Jazz are a play here.
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YouHave2outs
SBR MVP
07-02-11
4448
#12
Originally posted by FilletMaster
pretty sure thunder went to utah on the last leg of a longgg road trip last week and handed utah a 14 point loss ... now jazz on b2b2b, coming off a loss to a sad 4? win hornets team.. line is right!
thunder by double digits
i made this thread with that in mind. pretty sure every single person who bets this game will be aware of what you just said. is that one game sample really worthy of a 13.5 adjustment, again given the circumstances? i really don't think so, i'm assuming you disagree
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FilletMaster
SBR MVP
09-21-10
1096
#13
Originally posted by robinhood
Gamblers. Listen to my message and not the bookies. The Jazz spread out the playing time so they would be ready for this game. Don't worry about the b2b2b. The Jazz are a play here.
so they could of cared less bout beating the hornets??? a win is a win... do you get bonus wins for beating teams with better records now? ridiculous
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YouHave2outs
SBR MVP
07-02-11
4448
#14
Originally posted by FilletMaster
so they could of cared less bout beating the hornets??? a win is a win... do you get bonus wins for beating teams with better records now? ridiculous
have to agree with this too, i probably won't end up betting this game as much as i want to be a dummy and get +12.5...
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robinhood
SBR Wise Guy
09-12-09
916
#15
Originally posted by FilletMaster
so they could of cared less bout beating the hornets??? a win is a win... do you get bonus wins for beating teams with better records now? ridiculous
Perfect. Thank you for this response.
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hangtime
SBR Sharp
10-26-11
343
#16
Originally posted by Speedy88
I think OKC blows them out. Only thing I'm worried about is that's it is their first game back home after a long road trip.
first game back home after a long road trip. this is overrated. this game has blowout written all over it.
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hotnapkinman
SBR High Roller
11-29-11
100
#17
Jazz is to much of a good team to be getting 12.5
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Gamble32jn
SBR MVP
02-07-12
1860
#18
Originally posted by robinhood
Gamblers. Listen to my message and not the bookies. The Jazz spread out the playing time so they would be ready for this game. Don't worry about the b2b2b. The Jazz are a play here.
Im a huge OKC fan mainly cause I live in Oklahoma and I agree with this 100%. I bet Jazz last night and they played like shit. It was like they were holding back and I noticed it just didnt add up. I think OKC wins by a small margin. Sad thing is they could lose straight up but i doubt it. Look for OKC to be behind in 1Q. I always bet against them in 1Q and pays off 88% of the time.
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Intwoition
SBR High Roller
02-07-12
142
#19
If you look at trends of teams playing b2b2b so far, it is generally, toss-up, loss, win. This is a no play imo, but if I had to, Id take Jazz.
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Riceboi
SBR Wise Guy
10-03-11
857
#20
Jazz +12
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Speedy88
SBR Posting Legend
03-19-11
11717
#21
People on here give Utah too much credit on the road. OKC wins by 15+ here
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testertips
SBR MVP
11-06-09
1468
#22
Originally posted by hotnapkinman
Jazz is to much of a good team to be getting 12.5
laff
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Gamble32jn
SBR MVP
02-07-12
1860
#23
Originally posted by Speedy88
People on here give Utah too much credit on the road. OKC wins by 15+ here
Thats why i teased it to Jass +22
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Azzurri
SBR Sharp
02-14-12
348
#24
yes but they have had almost four full days off so that trend does not apply so much here and this is also UTAH'S third game in a row all on the road and they had to go all out last night while trying to come back late in the game from being down some points at the half....all points to a blow out here,,, only thing is LV has adjusted the spread enough to keep the back door cover in play for the jazz..still side with ok here tho.
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bureK
SBR MVP
01-21-10
1059
#25
Something like 113-90
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squid44
SBR Sharp
06-13-10
353
#26
hmmm, i'd think you would tease the other way. i THINK thats what i'll be doing.. just looking into seeing if the wiz can cover a 25 point spread hahahah, BOL
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ToPHeR
SBR MVP
12-06-11
1326
#27
OKC 1H
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riskyProps
SBR MVP
11-11-10
2201
#28
Originally posted by Speedy88
To be honest, you really couldn't look for a more perfect spot for the Thunder to be in:
Utah's 3rd game in 3 days
OKC rested
Public on Utah
The public is on the Thunder. Like you said, they are one their first game home from a long road trip. Plus I believe Utah was looking ahead the Hornet game and probably not as tired as you would think.