Monta Ellis OVER 24pts +135???

[Speedy88]

First off I want to say that I never play prop bets. And I probably won't play this one, but I think it is worth mentioning for all you prop takers.

Monta Ellis OVER 24 pts at +135.

That juice seems very weird. At first I thought it said -135, but my book BetIslands is offering Monta OVER 24 at +135. The UNDER 24 is at -165. Is this right?

[cpatel18]

My site states the following:

<TABLE style="MIN-WIDTH: 80%"><TBODY><TR class=trlabel-1><TD>475 </TD><TD> Over </TD><TD> 24 points +120 </TD><TD><INPUT id=editx maxLength=5 size=4 name=C_4> </TD></TR><TR class=trlabel-2><TD>476 </TD><TD> Under </TD><TD> 24 points -150 </TD><TD><INPUT id=editx maxLength=5 size=4 name=C_5> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

[Speedy88]

may take a shot with it. Monta can score 10 points in 2 minutes.

[yisman]

if I had betislands I'd absolutely bet that. +135 is a gift

[Speedy88]

only thing that worries me is that GS has so many scorers that it isn't a given that Monta goes over 24.

[yisman]

5Dimes has no props at all, bovada only has points+assists for ellis at 30.5

[yisman]

only thing that worries me is that GS has so many scorers that it isn't a given that Monta goes over 24.

obviously it's not a given but you're getting +135 on something that I'd say is over 50% to at least push

[thejrichshow85]

curry points + assist Over 25.5

[Gee]

Pinny has o/23 +102/-120

Betting against the juiced pinny side on player props is asking for trouble.

[Speedy88]

yeah i'm laying off it. i'd rather take Suns ML at +140.

[yisman]

Pinny has o/23 +102/-120

Betting against the juiced pinny side on player props is asking for trouble.

But you're getting an advantageous line compared to Pinny. I'd take that every time.

[Gee]

But you're getting an advantageous line compared to Pinny. I'd take that every time.

It depends what value you are ascribing to a full point on a player prop.

I agree though, it probably isn't worth 33 cents.... I still don't like fading the pinny juiced side on a player prop, unless I get a massive edge. This isn't enough.

ps. I'm on Curry u/18 points. The way the books are juicing the Curry and Monte unders and moved GSW from -4 to -3 means Phoenix has to be the play....

[yisman]

A point on a player prop isn't worth close to that. Clearly beating the Pinny line

[Speedy88]

yeah i'm laying off it. i'd rather take Suns ML at +140.

so glad I laid off, monta has 0 points and we are nearly half way through the 2nd quarter.