Early RLM's for Wed - Raps, Pistons, Spurs

[PR9]

Just want to keep track of this and we'll see what happens tomorrow night.

Keep in mind more upsets and wild things occur on Wed and Thurs than any other days of the week.

Understand that we don't know the exact dollars being thrown about, we can only look at the percentages. At this time, 92% of bets are being placed on miami and that line hasn't moved...

Here are the lines that have already moved in the opposite direction.

-Raps move half point to +1.5 with 75% placed on their opponent tomorrow (started at +2).

-Pistons move half pt to +4 with 79% placed on their opponent.

-Spurs move half pt to +3 with 60% placed on their opponent.


* Wizards did move a full pt from -2 to -1 after 76% placed on Knicks.. contrary to the above this line has moved in the right direction..

[Speedy88]

Thank goodness I found this thread, this forum is being overran with squares after that OKC cover.

[illAdelph]

Keep this up. It'll spark good conversation every day, providing its not ruined by trolls who feel it necessary to explain their opinion on what RLM does or doesn't mean.

Im a philly fan and will be playing against them tomorrow. Spurs have a great shot to take the game outright.

[illAdelph]

Thank goodness I found this thread, this forum is being overran with squares after that OKC cover.

Its our safe haven.

[ChiLLx]

Public all over LAC too.

[manutd19]

Nice thread.

[Pauulzcappin]

Spurs ML and there will probably RLM on Orlando but that won't matter anyway.

[Speedy88]

Spurs ML and there will probably RLM on Orlando but that won't matter anyway.

Not sure about that RLM, I'm already seeing Heat -4 at my book.

Knicks are already up to -1 at my book as well. That is 3 points in line movement since it opened at WAS -2.

[Speedy88]

I'm getting some real weird lines right now at BI. They typically follow most of the main books on lines, but right now they got some very different lines. Not sure what is going on here:

LAC -6.5 when pinny has it as -5.5
76ers -4 when pinny has it at -3
Heat -4 when pinny has it at -3
Knicks -1.5 when pinny has it at +1.5

Anyone else using BI notice this?

[migz]

Not sure about that RLM, I'm already seeing Heat -4 at my book.

Knicks are already up to -1 at my book as well. That is 3 points in line movement since it opened at WAS -2.

Not sure about that RLM, I'm already seeing Heat -4 at my book.

Knicks are already up to -1 at my book as well. That is 3 points in line movement since it opened at WAS -2.

What does it mean if opened as favs then end up as dogs?

[migz]

Not sure about that RLM, I'm already seeing Heat -4 at my book.

Knicks are already up to -1 at my book as well. That is 3 points in line movement since it opened at WAS -2.

Not sure about that RLM, I'm already seeing Heat -4 at my book.

Knicks are already up to -1 at my book as well. That is 3 points in line movement since it opened at WAS -2.

What does it mean if opened as favs then end up as dogs?

[SaffaCappa]

Are the Raptors the play from this early RLM?

[PR9]

Pistons and Spurs not only covered but won on the road outright. Raps lost though it was close at the end. And Knicks went right with the line movement early last night. Miami didn't cover as was expected by the non movement and the heavy betting.

Of the 5 lines mentioned in the OP:

4-1

[ChiLLx]

Good night for dogs.

[PR9]

The only early RLM for tomorrow night's action is the OKC line moving in the opposite direction. Two sources show 94% or higher is on OKC -- TS.com as well as scoresandodds (SI is a 3rd)

[migz]

The only early RLM for tomorrow night's action is the OKC line moving in the opposite direction. Two sources show 94% or higher is on OKC -- TS.com as well as scoresandodds (SI is a 3rd)

Do you like Kings here? The game will be shown on National Television. You think Kings will show up?

[PR9]

Do you like Kings here? The game will be shown on National Television. You think Kings will show up?

Yes I think they'll show up. I don't see any reason why they wouldn't. They played very well ever since that game in Utah on Jan 28th. Lost that game by only 3 and really played well in that one if you watched it. They clearly deserved to win. Preceding that game was a 2 hour team meeting with coach Keith Smart. They covered the game, the team responded.

Following that they split with GS, and in my mind outplayed GS in both games. Beat portland, beat NO (covered both), and just covered in Minny only losing by 2 (after minny beat houston convincingly). Moreover, Sac is fully healthy now and don't have the injury bug they had earlier in the season

http://www.cbssports.com/nba/injuries

They don't play the following day and only have 1 game to play in the next 4 days, and that one is at home to Phx. I don't see why Sac wouldn't show up for this one.

[PR9]

double post

[Speedy88]

It was ridiculous how much they moved that Pistons/Nets line. Once it moved to -3 about a half hour before tip off I felt great about my Pistons play.

Sac is 10X better with Marcus Thornton. Ever since he came back Sac has been so much better.

[PR9]

yes, Thornton does all the little things on the court every good team needs and can also chip in on the scoreboard some nights with a 17 point output. Playing superb defense, disrupting shots leading to misses, leading to fast breaks, creating turnovers, is a maniac chasing loose balls. Is very good off the ball on offense and contributes in many ways besides just scoring.He's a momentum changer. And he does it all with very high energy

He's their Tony Allen.

[laddder]

Good thread, I also like SAC at home

[PR9]

[PR9]

[T4k]

Great thread PR!

[PR9]

Not an RLM but sando is showing 65% of the bets are on GS, and 88% of the moneyline is on them as well. But that line has yet to budge from -6

http://www.scoresandodds.com/casinogrid.html

One hour ago 88% were on GS and 91% of the moneyline.

[ChiLLx]

GSW are getting way to much love because everyone saw that game against OKC. Denver is the play tonight.

[Love The Action]

Yes I think they'll show up. I don't see any reason why they wouldn't. They played very well ever since that game in Utah on Jan 28th. Lost that game by only 3 and really played well in that one if you watched it. They clearly deserved to win. Preceding that game was a 2 hour team meeting with coach Keith Smart. They covered the game, the team responded.

Following that they split with GS, and in my mind outplayed GS in both games. Beat portland, beat NO (covered both), and just covered in Minny only losing by 2 (after minny beat houston convincingly). Moreover, Sac is fully healthy now and don't have the injury bug they had earlier in the season

http://www.cbssports.com/nba/injuries

They don't play the following day and only have 1 game to play in the next 4 days, and that one is at home to Phx. I don't see why Sac wouldn't show up for this one.

Why fade okc tonight, when there will be better fade spot tomorrow night in utah? Okc will give max effort tonight, but tomorrow will have to deal with the altitude, plus they will be on a b2b, 4 in 5, 6 in 8 & they will be playing in the last game of a 5 game road trip.

IMHO, it's a better spot to fade okc tomorrow than tonight. Good luck though, I hope you guys cash your kings tickets!

[Speedy88]

Kings are going to be fired up. Just heard on the radio that it is a "blackout," and everyone should be wearing black in the stands. I wonder if the Kings will be rocking their black uni's.

With the whole arena situation up in the air, the fans are going to be loud and that stadium should be rocking.

[PR9]

Why fade okc tonight, when there will be better fade spot tomorrow night in utah? Okc will give max effort tonight, but tomorrow will have to deal with the altitude, plus they will be on a b2b, 4 in 5, 6 in 8 & they will be playing in the last game of a 5 game road trip.

IMHO, it's a better spot to fade okc tomorrow than tonight. Good luck though, I hope you guys cash your kings tickets!

like the 7 pts at home, tomorrow you may not get the value with pts. They've been playing markedly better lately ( ironically since that utah game which they had every right to win) and covering, they're fully healthy now., and looking for a token win/cover against a very good team.

Both Cousins and Tyreke Evans shot poorly 2 nights ago (inn a 2 point loss) after playing REALLY well before that. Expect a bounce back.

Then of course you have this:

http://aroyalpain.com/2012/02/08/sacramento-king-fans-continue-to-show-their-heart-with-black-thursday/

It's TNT Thursday - where amazing happens. And let's hope so tonight.

Sing it with me !

[Love The Action]

Hmmm...i agree about the kings value at home and actually love the bounce back angle for evans and thornton.

Not too crazy about the black uniform angle or the hillbilly kings fan angle either. But who knows, I hope we see an okc 5 point win so your kings cover and my planned okc fade for tomorrow can go according to plan (assuming I can get +2 or more).

Good luck gentlemen

[Speedy88]

like the 7 pts at home, tomorrow you may not get the value with pts. They've been playing markedly better lately ( ironically since that utah game which they had every right to win) and covering, they're fully healthy now., and looking for a token win/cover against a very good team.

Both Cousins and Tyreke Evans shot poorly 2 nights ago (inn a 2 point loss) after playing REALLY well before that. Expect a bounce back.

Then of course you have this:

http://aroyalpain.com/2012/02/08/sacramento-king-fans-continue-to-show-their-heart-with-black-thursday/

It's TNT Thursday - where amazing happens. And let's hope so tonight.

Sing it with me !

agreed. tonight the books are giving the kings great value with 7 points at home. I was lucky enough to get it late last night at +7.5. You are not going to get close to that line tomorrow. My guess is the Jazz will be +2 at most tomorrow.

[PR9]

Tyreke always gets up for Westbrook. Westbrook is prone to mistakes and maybe Tyreke forces mistakes behind that raucous crowd tonight.

[Love The Action]

agreed. tonight the books are giving the kings great value with 7 points at home. I was lucky enough to get it late last night at +7.5. You are not going to get close to that line tomorrow. My guess is the Jazz will be +2 at most tomorrow.

Agreed. Plus you got a GREAT number. I expect to get +2 or so tomorrow. However, there is a reason for that (ie its a horrible spot for okc). This is not nearly as bad a spot. With that said, I would be very surprised to see okc cover 7.5. GL

[PS3]

Hmmm...i agree about the kings value at home and actually love the bounce back angle for evans and thornton.

Not too crazy about the black uniform angle or the hillbilly kings fan angle either. But who knows, I hope we see an okc 5 point win so your kings cover and my planned okc fade for tomorrow can go according to plan (assuming I can get +2 or more).

Good luck gentlemen

UTA tomorrow night!

[PR9]

although Utah hasn't looked as crisp at home recently compared to earlier in the season, going Utah if Sac doesn't cover tonight.