Thoughts On Spurs-Grizzlies

illAdelph · 02-06-12, 07:27 PM

Whats good speedy. Its even available at Memphis +1 now..

Only 56% on spurs? Doesn't make sense.

Let me know if you figure this out

Speedy88 · 02-06-12, 07:35 PM

Originally posted by illAdelph

Whats good speedy. Its even available at Memphis +1 now.. Only 56% on spurs? Doesn't make sense. Let me know if you figure this out

That is really weird. I really liked MEM, but that line movement says otherwise. Kind of up on the air on this one now. Was hoping to hear what other people think.

That's pretty odd that a line would move 3 points without any injuries, and with the public pretty split on this one.

BigDofBA · 02-06-12, 07:40 PM

Allens injury might hae something to do with the movement.

Speedy88 · 02-06-12, 07:47 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Allens injury might hae something to do with the movement.

Tony Allen is worth 3 points???

I'd say he is worth a half point at most.

illAdelph · 02-06-12, 07:51 PM

Yeah Tony Allen is worth a point, MAYBE.

Liked Memphis alot earlier today. All signs point to laying off now though. Too much uncertainty on wtfs going on with this line.

Speedy88 · 02-06-12, 07:55 PM

Originally posted by illAdelph

Yeah Tony Allen is worth a point, MAYBE. Liked Memphis alot earlier today. All signs point to laying off now though. Too much uncertainty on wtfs going on with this line.

Agreed. Going to lay off here. I still think Memphis wins. Might wait and see how the first half plays out and make a play on the 2H.

illAdelph · 02-06-12, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by Speedy88

Agreed. Going to lay off here. I still think Memphis wins. Might wait and see how the first half plays out and make a play on the 2H.

Speedy88 · 02-06-12, 08:01 PM

Today's card is pretty tough. Can't remember the last time where I've seen the public so split on so many games. Only two games with 70% or more on one side. Most these games are very split. Likely just going to take it easy tonight and wait til tomorrow.

POR ML is tempting but something tells me OKC bounces back tonight. Would have liked Portland a lot more if it weren't for OKC getting blown out in SA two days ago.

illAdelph · 02-06-12, 08:11 PM

Yup ill probably let that one go as well. Way too much variance in the potential outcome.

Alot of lines surprised me today. Nothing really caught my eye. Made 2 very small plays on the kings and rockets and tailed BW but its definately a night to just tread lightly throughout.

The week has only just begun

Speedy88 · 02-06-12, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by illAdelph

Yup ill probably let that one go as well. Way too much variance in the potential outcome. Alot of lines surprised me today. Nothing really caught my eye. Made 2 very small plays on the kings and rockets and tailed BW but its definately a night to just tread lightly throughout. The week has only just begun

Yeah I'm on Rockets +7.5. Getting screwed royally on Nets +10 right now. Took Wiz -4.5. Anytime the Wiz are favored by more than 4, it is usually a good play because books try to get people to jump on the otherside. Line moved from Wiz -3.5 to Wiz -4.5 with the majority on Toronto.

Speedy88 · 02-06-12, 08:24 PM

Glad I stayed away. Spurs already up 18-10. Line movement was right, Spurs were the play.

PR9 · 02-06-12, 09:13 PM

taking MEM -1 for 2nd half. Spurs shot 60% in the 1st half, they're also getting some ridiculous calls going their way and don't know how that can continue, and if it does expect some protests to the league office . Everything that could go right their way went their way in the 1st half... including shooting 73% from 3, but they're only up by 6 at the half

Speedy88 · 02-06-12, 09:16 PM

Originally posted by PR9

taking MEM -1 for 2nd half. Spurs shot 60% in the 1st half, they're also getting some ridiculous calls going their way and don't know how that can continue, and if it does expect some protests to the league office . Everything that could go right their way went their way in the 1st half... including shooting 73% from 3, but they're only up by 6 at the half

Man I cannot figure out Memphis for my life. They are the most bipolar team in the NBA.

PR9 · 02-06-12, 09:19 PM

they're not that hard to figure out. Bet on SA 1st H. I expected SA to start out with a lead - so did every MEM fan ,. just check their boards. They've been a better 2nd half home team if you look at recent history (remember denver game but that's just one example of many - what happened w/ SA last week was an anomaly)

Grizz were better in the paint in the 1st half and this is important. That how you can gauge their aggressiveness coming into this game. I expect their defense to pick up a bit in the 2nd. crazy things happen in the nba but i think they cover the -1 for the 2H

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Speedy88 · 02-06-12, 09:28 PM

Originally posted by PR9

they're not that hard to figure out. Bet on SA 1st H. I expected SA to start out with a lead - so did every MEM fan ,. just check their boards. They've been a better 2nd half home team if you look at recent history (remember denver game but that's just one example of many - what happened w/ SA last week was an anomaly)

Grizz were better in the paint in the 1st half and this is important. That how you can gauge their aggressiveness coming into this game. I expect their defense to pick up a bit in the 2nd. crazy things happen in the nba but i think they cover the -1 for the 2H

.

Good luck on the 2H bet, I would have followed but missed it. You making a play on the OKC/POR tonight?