Lakers +4 and ML

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  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #1
    Lakers +4 and ML
    I said i was taking denver earlier in this week but i got ahead of myself and didn't look at the big picture. The Lakers are a great play tonight. I'm thinking about unloading on them, like 10-20 units.

    LA knows how to win in Denver. This line is screaming at us right in the face and even the ML seems a bit short at +150 or so. A well-rested Lakers team will go into Mile High and get it done tonight. I'm expecting a big game from Kobe tonight but more importantly the size of LA will wear down the Nuggets who are on the second night of a tough back to back.

    If Denver was the right side this line would be 5.5 minimum.
  • PR9
    SBR MVP
    • 12-30-11
    • 2813

    #2
    Not sure if Denver is beat down tired at the moment. They have a much better and deeper bench, and have had 2 days off over the last 4 days before tonight's matchup.

    They've also only played 5 games in the last 12 days
    Comment
    • agarcia
      SBR High Roller
      • 01-29-12
      • 205

      #3
      Great point there about the Nuggets depth. Don't think they will he all that tired. I'll take the over in this one. Cause it can pretty much go any way.
      Comment
      • t-wizzle
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-18-09
        • 38099

        #4
        Originally posted by PR9
        Not sure if Denver is beat down tired at the moment. They have a much better and deeper bench, and have had 2 days off over the last 4 days before tonight's matchup.

        They've also only played 5 games in the last 12 days, compare that to a schedule like Detroit recently who will be playing their 6th game tonight in 8 nights
        It's been a tough week for Denver. Lose at home to Clipps sunday, lose in OT at grizz tuesday, big win @ clips last night, and now they have to come right back and play the lakeshow. I think Denver is a better team but the Lakers know what they are up against in Denver. LA will pound with Bynum and Gasol all night and it will wear on the Nugs. On top of that, Denver has a big DIVISION GAME at Portland tomorrow night.
        Comment
        • PR9
          SBR MVP
          • 12-30-11
          • 2813

          #5
          Originally posted by t-wizzle
          It's been a tough week for Denver. Lose at home to Clipps sunday, lose in OT at grizz tuesday, big win @ clips last night, and now they have to come right back and play the lakeshow. I think Denver is a better team but the Lakers know what they are up against in Denver. LA will pound with Bynum and Gasol all night and it will wear on the Nugs. On top of that, Denver has a big DIVISION GAME at Portland tomorrow night.
          I think if you were to take a vote and ask any Nuggets fan or player if they'd rather beat the lakers or blazers they'd choose beating the lakers, and by a wide margin.

          the nuggets looked far better and far more motivated (and interested) in the 2nd halves vs the lakers in their 2 games vs them, than they did in the game against portland
          Comment
          • The Special One
            Restricted User
            • 01-08-11
            • 3972

            #6
            Denver played an incredible game yesterday, they are excited and with high confidence..

            Lakers will use this to beat them tonight.

            Plays look good, GL.
            Comment
            • jmonkres
              SBR Hustler
              • 01-27-12
              • 65

              #7
              Denver is 5-1 ATS playin b2b.. they're deep and young for the most part. Don't think they'll be tired.
              Comment
              • PR9
                SBR MVP
                • 12-30-11
                • 2813

                #8
                Originally posted by t-wizzle
                I said i was taking denver earlier in this week but i got ahead of myself and didn't look at the big picture. The Lakers are a great play tonight. I'm thinking about unloading on them, like 10-20 units.

                LA knows how to win in Denver. This line is screaming at us right in the face and even the ML seems a bit short at +150 or so. A well-rested Lakers team will go into Mile High and get it done tonight. I'm expecting a big game from Kobe tonight but more importantly the size of LA will wear down the Nuggets who are on the second night of a tough back to back.

                If Denver was the right side this line would be 5.5 minimum.
                The line is set the way it is because Denver is playing on a b2b while the lakers had 2 days off. The last time they played in Denver BOTH teams were on a b2b , so the lakers didn't have this extra rest advantage, hence the line set at -5 for the earlier matchup.

                A one point move considering that is totally in line and there's no conspiracy theories here.

                The Lakers had two days off before playing a road game on two occasions in January, and both times they got their asses kicked (in MIL and in MIA). Now, if you think this can't continue and you're playing the law of averages card I can understand that... or if you think the lakers will make better use of the matchups in this game, fine. But it won't be because the Nuggets will lack motivation for this game by looking forward to the trailblazers tomorrow
                Comment
                • Pross1
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 02-03-12
                  • 136

                  #9
                  DEN already had a B2B (A/H) with LAL this year and beat them by 9 at home in the second game. I know LAL is rested this time around but DEN will be too much for them tonight. DEN is deep and LAL has NOBODY on their bench. Also only Afflalo and Lawson played over 30 min. last night in their win over the Clips. I'm going with DEN -4 here. On a FRI night at home the crowd should be jumpin'.
                  Comment
                  • thebestthereis
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-01-09
                    • 11459

                    #10
                    Inside information game of the year type of situation. Good luck!
                    Comment
                    • Bbobbi
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 12-29-11
                      • 181

                      #11
                      The Lakers get ready for this Grammy trip every year. they were in Denver already resting last night. They will be prepared for this game as I believe this is their best shot at a win on this 6 game road trip, besides Toronto and maybe Knicks/Celtics. Ill take the points. BoL
                      Comment
                      • riffraff24
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 04-20-11
                        • 7234

                        #12
                        PR9....cut to the chase bro. Tail Heat Fade Lakers every day.
                        Comment
                        • riffraff24
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 04-20-11
                          • 7234

                          #13
                          Although I think you may be right on this one. Lakeshow struggles in Denver but they have a much better chance pulling this win off than they did in their last Denver visit when they were +200+ ML dogs
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Not sure I'd go that big, but I think it's Lakers or nothing.
                            Comment
                            • Bbobbi
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 12-29-11
                              • 181

                              #15
                              the line is at +4.5 will it go back down to +4 or up to +5?
                              Comment
                              • homerbush
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-17-08
                                • 2317

                                #16
                                Nuggets will cover this.
                                Comment
                                • Future24
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 01-03-12
                                  • 102

                                  #17
                                  Lakers on a friday night? 0-3 ats this year. 17-27 over last three years. Theyve also been awful on the road. No thanks. This is a no play.
                                  Comment
                                  • cheesehead004
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 12-24-08
                                    • 715

                                    #18
                                    The old ass slow Lakers up against the fast paced up and coming youngsters is a 10-20 unit play? Ehhh...
                                    Comment
                                    • t-wizzle
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 12-18-09
                                      • 38099

                                      #19
                                      10x on lakers +4... GL everyone
                                      Comment
                                      • paco
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-07-09
                                        • 62873

                                        #20
                                        Let's get it T. 3x for me
                                        Comment
                                        • PR9
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-30-11
                                          • 2813

                                          #21
                                          right before game i heard denver players got home at around 4:30am last night, much later than usual because of the late flight and snow storm. should give LA an advantage
                                          Comment
                                          • bleek88
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-12-11
                                            • 6385

                                            #22
                                            LakersML is gonna hit
                                            Comment
                                            • migz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-11-10
                                              • 1160

                                              #23
                                              I hope Lakers win, then lose to Utah tomorrow.
                                              Comment
                                              • bleek88
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-12-11
                                                • 6385

                                                #24
                                                ^ very possible.
                                                Comment
                                                • t-wizzle
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 12-18-09
                                                  • 38099

                                                  #25
                                                  are lakers in good shape? I am our
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MidgetTossers
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-06-09
                                                    • 13376

                                                    #26
                                                    cash it!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • The Special One
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 01-08-11
                                                      • 3972

                                                      #27
                                                      Great job
                                                      Comment
                                                      • lakerboy
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-02-09
                                                        • 94379

                                                        #28
                                                        Great call pal.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • t-wizzle
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 12-18-09
                                                          • 38099

                                                          #29
                                                          Thanks guys...

                                                          I didn't watch the game but from the looks of it, it went according to plan.
                                                          Comment
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