Testing out a simple little system tonight

[Romocide]

It's a simple as betting teams that are very strong ATS at home/road against teams that are very weak ATS home/road. That's it. I'm putting very little on these games unless they were one of my picks anyway. I'm just curious to see how well the ATS from this season hold up when matched against each other.

These games tonight qualify:


Miami (3-7 ATS Away)

VS

Philly (11-3 ATS Home)

BET: PHILLY +2



Cleveland (8-4 ATS Away)

VS

Orlando (4-7 ATS Home)

BET: Cleveland +9



T-Wolves (7-2 ATS Away)

VS

NJ Nets (3-6 ATS Home)

BET: MINN -4 1/2



Suns (5-6 ATS Away)

VS

Houston (8-4 ATS Home)

BET: Houston -7



Lakers (2-7 ATS Away)

VS

Denver (6-4 ATS Home)

BET: Denver -4

[laddder]

Maybe narrow it down to exclude B2B's? =]

BOL though.

[Romocide]

That's definitely possible. I need to break things down some more to see how factors like B2B's have affected the numbers.

[mbs4]

5-6 = very weak? Need to define very weak and very strong.

[Romocide]

5-6 = very weak? Need to define very weak and very strong.

No doubt that is the weakest matchup. Compared to the Houston ATS Home record, I thought the PHX record was weak enough to be included. It is the weakest link though. Houston has a 20% ATS win advantage against PHX in this matchup compared to 30%+ advantages for the other matchups.

[mbs4]

if its a system you should quantify it to keep it consistent. good luck

[Romocide]

true and thank you