Why is MIL@DET off the board still?!

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  • NHL Pro Capper
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-06-11
    • 604

    #1
    Why is MIL@DET off the board still?!
    I want SMASH MIL, I hope its -6 or less.... MIL BUCKS BIG VALUE MINI LOCK TONIGHT!
  • PR9
    SBR MVP
    • 12-30-11
    • 2813

    #2
    bucks play bulls @ home the next day SAT for revenge game after losing by 7 in CHI a week ago. Bucks already beat DET twice "at home" by 9 and 20 so who knows if they overlook them in their first game in DET while looking forward to the bulls tomorrow. DET has beaten Indy at home , ORL when they were playing very well & hot, played MIA really well a home recently, beat PORT etc at home.

    DET only lost by 6 to ATL in their last game at home during ATL's hot road trip.. also only lost by 3 and covered on the road in their last game.

    Would not surprise me if DET covered here as they did enough to cover but didn't in their first game in MIL (i remember as i watched that game MIL was extremely lucky to cover that one winning by 9), and with everyone being on MIL after a win over MIA, and right before a big revenge game vs bulls the next day at their house

    i havee to look into the line and look into this game and spot more, but not such an easy call for MIL from here
    Comment
    • cleaveland
      SBR MVP
      • 04-04-10
      • 1559

      #3
      Teams like the Bucks usually do great as dogs and terrible as favorites, it happens every season in the NBA.
      Comment
      • PR9
        SBR MVP
        • 12-30-11
        • 2813

        #4
        Pistons play better at home on Fri/Sat nights.

        I'm interested in seeing the line and looking into this matchup further later his afternoon
        Comment
        • NHL Pro Capper
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-06-11
          • 604

          #5
          hmmm ok, well i will only take DET if it's +7 or more if i am going to swing on DET, otherwise i am on the Bucks, that's the true line i came up with and i think bucks -5 is prob where its gonna start..we will see , its 9:56AM and no book out yet, still waiting
          Comment
          • CHAZ
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-09
            • 4978

            #6
            Stuckey or Bynum or Gordon status?
            Comment
            • PR9
              SBR MVP
              • 12-30-11
              • 2813

              #7
              don't know why this line is taking this long. Detroit has lost 7 in a row but has covered in their last 3 home games. Tonight is DET's 6th game in 8 nights.
              Comment
              • PS3
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 01-29-12
                • 734

                #8
                Opened at Bucks -4.5 already.
                Goodluck man!
                Comment
                • Elad
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-20-12
                  • 251

                  #9
                  What about Gordon&Bynum,thay gonna play tonight?
                  Comment
                  • NHL Pro Capper
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-06-11
                    • 604

                    #10
                    MIL has decent bench too, I AM ALL OVER THIS, SMASHED, well, Was going to make 3 plays today, but just gonna put all the apples in this basket (HA! PUN!) so 3 U on MIL! -4.5 !
                    Comment
                    • TheSituation559
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 01-28-12
                      • 424

                      #11
                      Call me stupid but I think Pistons pts is one of the best bets of the day.
                      Comment
                      • Megatron81lions
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 10-22-11
                        • 329

                        #12
                        I have a pretty big play on the bucks tonight. I know this piston team and even tho they do play better at home, they are deflated. Even when they play well they can't win, this one could get ugly in the 4th.
                        Comment
                        • Elad
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-20-12
                          • 251

                          #13
                          For now,I see in Thespread.com that 86% on the Bucks,in Vegasinsider 97% on the Bucks,probably it's early but its look everyone gonna put is money on the Bucks,now I do not understand, because they managed to beat sleepy Miami so now they are going to be favorite for a long time??thay still poor team on the road,Bogut,one of their best players would be injured for a long time, and if his absence didnt affect them until now it must have hurt them later,for the Pistoms this is an excellent opportunity to win.
                          Comment
                          • PR9
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-30-11
                            • 2813

                            #14
                            Milwaukee has been getting the highest bet percentage of any team playing tonight, and it's almost 4pm so why the fukk hasn't the line moved by now ?

                            We see lines moving all the time for much lower bet percentages than this one.

                            covers.com/sports/odds/linehistory.aspx?eventId=838200&sport=NB A

                            ^ look at that, it hasn't moved an inch anywhere..
                            Comment
                            • Elad
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 01-20-12
                              • 251

                              #15
                              Originally posted by PR9
                              Milwaukee has been getting the highest bet percentage of any team playing tonight, and it's almost 4pm so why the fukk hasn't the line moved by now ? We see lines moving all the time for much lower bet percentages than this one.
                              Mybe thay wait for the inj update,but now I see the update,Gordon is out & Bynum is Q,but still I can not believe that Milwaukee is going to be the team that will make everyone rich..
                              Comment
                              • Speedy88
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 03-19-11
                                • 11717

                                #16
                                Originally posted by PR9
                                Milwaukee has been getting the highest bet percentage of any team playing tonight, and it's almost 4pm so why the fukk hasn't the line moved by now ? We see lines moving all the time for much lower bet percentages than this one. covers.com/sports/odds/linehistory.aspx?eventId=838200&sport=NB A ^ look at that, it hasn't moved an inch anywhere..
                                Comment
                                • PR9
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-30-11
                                  • 2813

                                  #17
                                  Holy cripes, I just realized that Detroit has not had more than one day off this season.

                                  that's just unbelievable to me
                                  Comment
                                  • bkeith12
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-08-11
                                    • 527

                                    #18
                                    Im a pistons fan, but Im on the Bucks tonight. Stuckeys ankle isnt a 100%. Bynum is questionable and Gordon is out. BOL
                                    Comment
                                    • Megatron81lions
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 10-22-11
                                      • 329

                                      #19
                                      Im a fan too bkeith which makes this game seems easy to cap. They are terrible and have no confidence to win a game in the 4th I'm on bucks huge
                                      Comment
                                      • bkeith12
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 11-08-11
                                        • 527

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Megatron81lions
                                        Im a fan too bkeith which makes this game seems easy to cap. They are terrible and have no confidence to win a game in the 4th I'm on bucks huge
                                        You in Michigan Bro?
                                        Comment
                                        • Darkside Magick
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-28-10
                                          • 12638

                                          #21
                                          everybody and their momma on milwaukee and this line ain't move a bit......i'm taking the pistons
                                          Comment
                                          • Megatron81lions
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-22-11
                                            • 329

                                            #22
                                            Just went to 5
                                            Comment
                                            • Megatron81lions
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 10-22-11
                                              • 329

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by bkeith12
                                              You in Michigan Bro?
                                              Ya 20 min south of the d you?
                                              Comment
                                              • PR9
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 12-30-11
                                                • 2813

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Megatron81lions

                                                Just went to 5

                                                where?

                                                covers.com/sports/odds/linehistory.aspx?eventId=838200&sport=NB A

                                                none of the sharper books have moved the line as of yet
                                                Comment
                                                • bkeith12
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-08-11
                                                  • 527

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Megatron81lions
                                                  Ya 20 min south of the d you?
                                                  Grew up In Canton, now 20 min from Lansing
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Megatron81lions
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-22-11
                                                    • 329

                                                    #26
                                                    Im in brownstown and bovada just moved to 5
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PR9
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-30-11
                                                      • 2813

                                                      #27
                                                      lol @ bovada , I guess SI is next


                                                      heh
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Riceboi
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 10-03-11
                                                        • 857

                                                        #28
                                                        pistons +4.5 for me
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Megatron81lions
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 10-22-11
                                                          • 329

                                                          #29
                                                          Why lol they pay me
                                                          Comment
                                                          • PR9
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-30-11
                                                            • 2813

                                                            #30
                                                            I'm not saying they can't cover tonight, But since when did a shorthanded Bucks team become these unbeatable juggernauts ?? And especially on the road. I mean, think about what you're saying (or maybe I should say "implying").

                                                            They beat the heat and lakers.. Big Fukking deal. They beat them last year too, and they also lost to a bunch of shit teams last year too
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Speedy88
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-19-11
                                                              • 11717

                                                              #31
                                                              Bucks are a totally different machine at home. Big difference between playing the Heat and Lakers at home, and the Pistons on the road. I'm sure Milwaukee had the Lakers and Heat game circled on their calendars once the schedule was released. And I'm sure their game against Chicago tomorrow is circled as well. I'm sure the Pistons will be much more focused than the Bucks here.

                                                              Bad teams got to win at some point.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • kdavis
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 02-01-09
                                                                • 365

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by PR9
                                                                Milwaukee has been getting the highest bet percentage of any team playing tonight, and it's almost 4pm so why the fukk hasn't the line moved by now ?

                                                                We see lines moving all the time for much lower bet percentages than this one.

                                                                covers.com/sports/odds/linehistory.aspx?eventId=838200&sport=NB A

                                                                ^ look at that, it hasn't moved an inch anywhere..
                                                                Almost 6:00 now and still nothing has changed. I think Pistons are the play.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PR9
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-30-11
                                                                  • 2813

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I was just making the point how people HEAVILY overrate teams when they go by recent play. We see it every.single.night where they're wrong.

                                                                  Just yesterday people were starting threads trying to tell us how Portland is such a lock at that low and shortened line. They were trying to tell us how Portland won by 50 the night before and will carry that play into Sacramento... and trying to tell us how Portland is such a better team, that they are better at every position so they can't lose... and trying to tell us how Sacramento can't play as a team they're just iso ballers and telling us how Portland will eat that kind of play alive... and trying to tell us how Portland just blew out Sac by 30 a week ago... and telling us how Portland was 9-1 in their last 10 games against Sac... blah blah blah

                                                                  well we saw what the fukk happened last night. lol
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BernardMadoff
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-12-09
                                                                    • 6679

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by PR9
                                                                    I was just making the point how people HEAVILY overrate teams when they go by recent play. We see it every.single.night where they're wrong.

                                                                    Just yesterday people were starting threads trying to tell us how Portland is such a lock at that low and shortened line. They were trying to tell us how Portland won by 50 the night before and will carry that play into Sacramento... and trying to tell us how Portland is such a better team, that they are better at every position so they can't lose... and trying to tell us how Sacramento can't play as a team they're just iso ballers and telling us how Portland will eat that kind of play alive... and trying to tell us how Portland just blew out Sac by 30 a week ago... and telling us how Portland was 9-1 in their last 10 games against Sac... blah blah blah

                                                                    well we saw what the fukk happened last night. lol
                                                                    Its the number one mistake by bettors to overrate a team on a good performance, teams are who they are, if they beat a spread by 10, dont expect it the next night or the next, they are who they are.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Riceboi
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-03-11
                                                                      • 857

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by PR9
                                                                      I was just making the point how people HEAVILY overrate teams when they go by recent play. We see it every.single.night where they're wrong. Just yesterday people were starting threads trying to tell us how Portland is such a lock at that low and shortened line. They were trying to tell us how Portland won by 50 the night before and will carry that play into Sacramento... and trying to tell us how Portland is such a better team, that they are better at every position so they can't lose... and trying to tell us how Sacramento can't play as a team they're just iso ballers and telling us how Portland will eat that kind of play alive... and trying to tell us how Portland just blew out Sac by 30 a week ago... and telling us how Portland was 9-1 in their last 10 games against Sac... blah blah blah well we saw what the fukk happened last night. lol
                                                                      excellent point.
                                                                      Comment
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